u/Healthy-Matter-4218

Recycling vs Mining - the Edge of a proprietary Recycling Method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Financial-sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 2 days ago

Mining vs Recycling - the Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Balance sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 3 days ago

Mining vs Recycling - the Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Balance sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 3 days ago

Mining vs Recycling - the Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Balance sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 3 days ago

Mining vs Recycling - the Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Balance sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 3 days ago

Recycling vs Mining - the Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Balance sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 3 days ago

Mining vs Recycling - The Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Balance sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 3 days ago
▲ 2 r/MetalsOnReddit+1 crossposts

Mining vs Recycling - The Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.
_________________________________________

Here is a post about Campine nv, which I also made a few days ago:

I’ve been looking into Campine NV and wanted to sanity-check the thesis here.

The company had a monster 2025, mostly because antimony prices went crazy. So I’m not assuming the recent EBITDA is a normal run-rate. That’s probably the biggest risk in the whole story.

The obvious bear case is that lead-acid battery makers may reduce antimony content over time. Campine itself basically said high antimony prices pushed some customers to reduce usage or look at alternatives.

But I’m not sure the conclusion is as simple as “less antimony = thesis dead.”

The part I find interesting is tin. Some newer lead-acid battery designs use lead-calcium-tin systems instead of traditional lead-antimony grids. So if antimony use declines in some battery types, tin content may rise at least partly.

Campine already recovers tin in its Metals Recovery segment, along with antimony, silver and gold. Management also mentioned that high tin prices helped the business in 2025. Tin prices have been strong, so this could be a partial offset.

To be clear, I’m not saying tin perfectly hedges antimony. It depends on scrap mix, recovery rates, pricing, and how battery chemistry actually evolves. But I do think the bear case needs to account for the fact that Campine recovers more than just antimony.

Other things I like:

Campine has been around for more than 100 years, so this is not some new promotional small-cap.

They bought Ecobat’s French battery recycling assets, which expands their footprint, and they did it without issuing shares.

Share count is still around 1.5m.

Balance sheet still looks reasonable after the acquisition (even improved)

Management seems fairly conservative. They don’t come across as super promotional, and over the last year they seem to have guided cautiously and then delivered better numbers.

There may also be another acquisition in 2026 or 2027. In a Trends Talk interview on YouTube, the CEO talked about looking at further acquisition opportunities. The video had almost no views, which surprised me.

EU regulation is another possible tailwind. Stricter recycling rules should favour companies that already have permits, scale, compliance and proper facilities. It should make life harder for low-standard recyclers and increase the value of local recycling capacity.

Main risks as I see them:

2025 earnings may be peak-cycle.
Antimony prices could normalize.
Customers may substitute away from antimony.
Lead prices are weak.
Recycling businesses can have environmental liabilities.
Small-cap liquidity is limited.
Commodity spreads can move against them quickly.

So I’m not saying this is obviously cheap or risk-free. I just think it may be more than an antimony spike story.

My current view is that Campine is a small, underfollowed recycler with unusually strong exposure to antimony, tin and battery recycling. The tin angle is what makes the antimony-substitution risk less black-and-white for me.

Curious if anyone here has looked at the company or sees a flaw in the tin/antimony argument.

Not financial advice. I own shares / am considering adding, so assume I’m biased.

The risks are obvious too:

Antimony prices could normalize.
2025 may have been peak earnings.
Lead prices are weak.
Battery chemistry can change.
Commodity businesses are volatile.
Environmental liabilities always matter in recycling.
And small-cap liquidity is not great.

So this is not a “risk-free compounder” or anything like that.

But I do think Campine is more interesting than the market gives it credit for. The easy take is that it is just an antimony spike story. My view is that it is slowly becoming a European circular-metals platform, with antimony, tin and battery recycling all feeding into the same broader trend.

The tin point is especially important to me: even if antimony content in some batteries declines, that does not necessarily destroy the thesis. If tin content rises at the same time, Campine may be partially hedged through its Metals Recovery business.

Not a perfect hedge. Not guaranteed. But enough to make the story more resilient than it first looks.

Not financial advice. I own shares (over 99% of my portfolio) / am researching the company, so assume I’m biased

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 3 days ago
▲ 3 r/MetalsOnReddit+1 crossposts

Mining vs Recycling - the edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively. (with oil being up over 50% mining is less and less lucrative.)

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat. What are your thoughts? Am I overlooking something?

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 5 days ago

Mining vs Recycling - the edge of a proprietary recycling method over mining

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 5 days ago

Mining vs Recycling - the edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 5 days ago
▲ 2 r/SmallCapStocks+1 crossposts

Mining vs. Recycling: the Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 5 days ago

Mining vs. recycling - The Edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 5 days ago
▲ 1 r/stocks+1 crossposts

Mining vs. recycling - the edge of a proprietary recycling method

Investors looking at the antimony supply crisis are missing the ultimate asymmetric play. While traditional U.S. mines struggle to bring supply online by 2027/2028, Campine NV (Euronext: CAMB) is uniquely positioned to dominate the European (and global) market without digging a single hole in the ground.

The primary mining thesis has a major flaw: high oil prices. A traditional Western mine must extract and haul 100 tons of raw rock just to produce 1 ton of pure antimony. This massive energy requirement pushes primary production costs to an estimated $18,870 per ton.

Campine completely bypasses this bottleneck. As a leading circular economy player, they extract antimony directly from recycled industrial waste and lead-acid automotive batteries. This secondary recycling model requires up to 90% less energy than traditional mining. When oil prices spike, primary miners must raise prices to survive, while Campine’s costs remain flat, causing their profit margins to expand massively.

Financially, the proof is already there. Following the integration of Ecobat's French assets (just Q4 of 2025), Campine's annual revenue doubled to €766 million, while EBITDA in its Specialty Chemicals division skyrocketed by 300% to €52.4 million. While primary mines require a market price of $22,000+ just to incentivize production, Campine’s estimated cost basis is a lean $12,000 to $15,000 per ton.

The real game-changer arrives in mid-2027. Campine is currently deploying a €7 million investment into proprietary, third-generation recycling technology. This will allow them to process complex waste streams directly into pure, commercial-grade antimony metal ingots for the Western defense and solar sectors.

While the market fixates on mining permits, Campine has already built a highly profitable, energy-insulated moat.

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 5 days ago

A question about valuation and multiples..

Why are people paying 1,3BILLION $ for UAMY when it PROJECTS 250 Million $ in revenues for 2027 and only 0,30$ EPS so almost 30x 2027 P/E when you could pay 320 Million € for 760 Million€ in revenues and EPS of around 30€ (10€ in dividens) for 2026 so a P/E of around 6-7 with no share dilution, little debt, top-notch management and a unique recycling technology - Campine nv is the only company world wide which is able to recycle antimony (trioxide) direcltly from waste stream! This is mind boggling!

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 6 days ago

A question about valuations and multiples..

Why are people paying 1,3BILLION $ for UAMY when it PROJECTS 250 Million $ in revenues for 2027 and only 0,30$ EPS so almost 30x 2027 P/E when you could pay 320 Million € for 760 Million€ in revenues and EPS of around 30€ for 2026 so a P/E of around 6-7 with no share dilution, little debt, top-notch management and a unique recycling technology - Campine nv is the only company world wide which is able to recycle antimony (trioxide) direcltly from waste stream! This is mind boggling!

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 6 days ago

Question about Valuations and multiples!

Why are people paying 1,3BILLION $ for UAMY when it PROJECTS 250 Million $ in revenues for 2027 and only 0,30$ EPS so almost 30x 2027 P/E when you could pay 320 Million € for 760 Million€ in revenues and EPS of around 30€ for 2026 so a P/E of around 6-7 with no share dilution, little debt, top-notch management and a unique recycling technology - Campine nv is the only company world wide which is able to recycle antimony (trioxide) direcltly from waste stream! This is mind boggling!

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 6 days ago

Question about multiples and geography

Why are people paying 1,3BILLION $ for UAMY when it PROJECTS 250 Million $ in revenues for 2027 and only 0,30$ EPS so almost 30x 2027 P/E when you could pay 320 Million € for 760 Million€ in revenues and EPS of around 30€ for 2026 so a P/E of around 6-7 with no share dilution, little debt, top-notch management and a unique recycling technology - Campine nv is the only company world wide which is able to recycle antimony (trioxide) direcltly from waste stream! This is mind boggling!

reddit.com
u/Healthy-Matter-4218 — 6 days ago