r/KellyLetter

Being within 1% of a reset and then coming back down to 68

Up huge in this latest surge and my fill price for Q2 was 43.66, meaning my reset technically was 87.32. Also, the intra day hit above Jason's spike number of 88.06. But wanting to stick with the letter and rules, I held to execute the official reset. I feel like the rule should be altered to either go with the original quarter fill price (43.33/86.66) or executes even if it hits the number at any point (not just close).

The timing of today's drop really sucks after being a slight percent off the reset. I really need to pay less attention to all this short term stuff. Blerg.

Hello all, long time lurker here wanting to start doing 9sig. I have researched, back tested, and learned the rules from a lot of you( thank you efficientcarry). I was wondering though what benefits are there to subscribing to the letter? I’m hesitant to do so just because I don’t trust people trying to sell me something in general. But if I already understand the rules, then what extra would I gain by subscribing? Thanks in advance

And there is the cold hard truth of trading TQQQ. Can you hold through this pain knowing that eventually we will hit ATH again. Now we’re only 10 points away from 30 down.

My limit order triggered and sold at 88.05 this morning and I officially hit the spike reset.

This is an awesome moment.

First time in 9 SIG history!! ;)

Rebalanced on Monday, to the 9% line, as planned earlier. Roughly 53/47 TQQQ/SGOV.

Will do it again in 13 weeks.

Let's go ahead and assume 9sig hits a Spike Reset this month before the quarter end. You rebalance to 60/40 the next trading day. What, then, is the new signal line to be followed? Would we skip the July buy/sell signal since we just rebalanced? And use June 30th price vs Sep 30th price to follow a new 9% signal line for TQQQ? I'm confused due to the timing of the spike reset.

I have been reading a lot about the 9Sig plan and recently joined the paid subscription as well. I'm looking to understand when is the best time for me kick off 9Sig plan.

I understand that no one can predict the market but at current highs it's hard to justify an entry. Thoughts on how best to make this decision? Let me know if there is any info I can help clarify

For those who follow the official letter, when’s the next calculation and execution dates? Doing some research but it’s quite confusing.

Fidelity only does full shares in premarket, no fractional and no dollars. I didn’t want to do full shares and wanted to get more exact numbers. The market hit my 100% 60/40 reset. I was holding out till the open to sell dollars or exact fractional shares. We still might get back up there for the number two…..

Trading Week	Approx. Weekly Gain
Mar 30 – Apr 3, 2026	+11.7%
Apr 6 – Apr 10, 2026	+13.5%
Apr 13 – Apr 17, 2026	+19.2%
Apr 20 – Apr 24, 2026	+6.8%
May 4 – May 8, 2026	+16.8%
May 26 – May 28, 2026*	+5.6% Trading Week Approx. Weekly

I asked chatGPT, in the last 120 days how many times did TQQQ increase more then 5.5% in 1 trading week. It came up with 6 times. We have about 5 weeks left in Q2. TQQQ has about a 76% chance of another 5% week by the end of Q2. It could also drop 50% too....