r/WallStreetBetsTopMost

A lot of the discussion around ARM today centers on its ~18% China revenue exposure (mostly royalty revenue through licensees like Samsung and SK Hynix). Ran the EPS sensitivity instead of just looking at the headline percentage: a 10% cut to that China revenue only moves EPS by about $0.01. The royalty/licensing model has enough operating leverage that revenue shocks don't translate 1:1 into earnings hits.

HPE was up almost identically (+10.0%) the same session, which points more toward broad tech/infra rotation than an ARM-specific catalyst. The AI infrastructure and custom silicon design-win narrative ("physical AI buildout" robotics, edge, data centers) is getting cited as the underlying driver.

Full writeup: https://metricshour.com/briefs/2026-07-10/

Curious if others are seeing the same EPS math or reading the exposure risk differently.

IBM puts on a dress rehearsal for a market crash.

Everyone loves a stock when it's making new highs.

The real test is what happens after it drops.

Some names never recover.

Others shake out weak hands before making another run.

So here's the question.

What's one stock you'd happily buy if it suddenly dropped 30% tomorrow?

Not because it's cheap...

Because your conviction in the business wouldn't change.

Curious to see which names people would actually keep buying instead of panic selling.

Hi all, sharing my first ever post on substack on Stellantis. Appreciate your time in reading this and please feel free to share your feedbacks.