r/marketrodeo

▲ 57 r/marketrodeo+35 crossposts

ARM +10.3% today — the China exposure math is more interesting than the headline

A lot of the discussion around ARM today centers on its ~18% China revenue exposure (mostly royalty revenue through licensees like Samsung and SK Hynix). Ran the EPS sensitivity instead of just looking at the headline percentage: a 10% cut to that China revenue only moves EPS by about $0.01. The royalty/licensing model has enough operating leverage that revenue shocks don't translate 1:1 into earnings hits.

HPE was up almost identically (+10.0%) the same session, which points more toward broad tech/infra rotation than an ARM-specific catalyst. The AI infrastructure and custom silicon design-win narrative ("physical AI buildout" robotics, edge, data centers) is getting cited as the underlying driver.

Full writeup: https://metricshour.com/briefs/2026-07-10/

Curious if others are seeing the same EPS math or reading the exposure risk differently.

metricshour.com
u/metricshour — 4 days ago
▲ 15 r/marketrodeo+11 crossposts

Top 25 Large Cap August 2026 Part 1 of 13 🏛️ Large Cap Market cap ≥ $10B

Ownfolio is a portfolio tracker built for people who buy quality companies and hold them — not for people trying to time the next move.

Most portfolio tools are built around signals, alerts, and "sell now" urgency. Ownfolio does the opposite: it gives you clean fundamentals, long-term performance tracking, and a monthly "Top 25" ranking of the best-performing stocks by cap size — all using a disclosed, checkable methodology. No black box, no hype.

youtube.com
u/Ownfolio — 4 days ago