r/polyman

Whale Watch May 20 - someone bet $701K on the thunder for a $1M payout. another dropped $142K on trump kissing someone before may 31. who wins this week?

this week's whales: 1) $701K on thunder in one game - if they lose, this trader goes from $575K lifetime profit to break-even. 2) $142K on "trump kisses someone before may 31" - the most unhinged bet of 2026. 3) fresh wallet drops $54K on iran closing airspace by may 31. insider pattern again? who's craziest?

reddit.com
u/polymanAI — 2 days ago
▲ 3 r/polyman+1 crossposts

I am making 300$ + a day on Polymarket

Built a bot that gives me signals for every upcoming 5 min candle, either UP or DOWN, so far it’s been working really great for me!👍🏼

u/Character_Hold4390 — 3 days ago

CBS/60 Minutes: suspected insider accounts made $2.4M on polymarket iran war bets with 98% accuracy. polymarket then banned all weather markets. what's next?

cbsnews.com
u/polymanAI — 3 days ago

a former TV weatherman is up $125K on polymarket from 2,646 weather predictions. $23 into $3,438 on seoul temperatures alone. turns out checking the forecast is literally alpha lmao

i.redd.it
u/Foreign-Character461 — 4 days ago

Fortune: kalshi's sports betting fight is headed to the supreme court. a judge just ruled tribes will likely win. is prediction markets sports trading about to get banned?

fortune.com
u/polymanAI — 6 days ago

Why real-time wallet tracking on Polycool feels better than most prediction market tools

I’ve tested a bunch of wallet tracking platforms for Polymarket recently, and one thing I keep noticing is how delayed or cluttered most of them feel once you start seriously monitoring active traders. A lot of sites show basic wallet stats, but they don’t really help you understand trader behavior in real time. What I liked about Polycool is that the tracking actually feels built around active market research instead of just displaying random wallet data. You can follow trade timing, category patterns, sizing behavior, consistency, and overall strategy much more clearly compared to most alternatives I’ve tried. Another thing that stands out is how readable everything feels. Most platforms overload the screen with numbers, while Polycool makes it easier to quickly understand what a trader is actually doing without digging through endless tabs. For me, the biggest advantage of real-time wallet tracking is spotting patterns early instead of reacting after markets already move. Curious if anyone else here has compared it with other tracking tools and noticed the same difference.

reddit.com
u/Critical_Builder_902 — 5 days ago
▲ 13 r/polyman+3 crossposts

Polyman 2.0 is here 🎉

Brand new design. Instant fills. Real-time prices.

The smartest way to ride alongside the top traders on Polymarket:

• See exactly what they're buying

• Copy any of them in one tap

• Deposit from any chain

https://www.polyman.fun?utm_source=reddit

u/polymanAI — 7 days ago

Weekly Discussion - trump said "iran" and a market went from 99.5% to 0% in seconds. what are you watching this week?

wild week: a polymarket market nuked from 99.5% to 0% when the resolution criteria didn't match what traders assumed. fed rate hike odds doubled to 34%. israel targeted hamas leadership and iran deal markets are moving. world cup basket trade strategy went viral. what markets are you in?

reddit.com
u/polymanAI — 7 days ago

this trader is down $909K on polymarket and just dropped $222K on the cavaliers to win it all back in one game. the desperation is real

u/Foreign-Character461 — 7 days ago

what's your current polymarket position? drop a screenshot and your thesis - curious what everyone's holding

new recurring thread - show us what you're actually holding. screenshot your portfolio or just name the market + your side + entry price. no wrong answers, this is how we all learn what's working and what's not. weather, sports, politics, crypto - anything goes.

reddit.com
u/polymanAI — 7 days ago

Whale Watch May 14 - someone bet on 46 out of 48 world cup teams for a $4.37M payout. who's craziest this week?

this week's whales: 1) $85K across 46/48 world cup teams - excluded only france and belgium. max payout $4.37M. 2) down $668K and went all-in $521K on the spurs to recover everything at once. 3) $920K on US-Iran peace deal from a single wallet. who's smartest?

reddit.com
u/polymanAI — 8 days ago
▲ 2 r/polyman+1 crossposts

Could Europe develop a healthier prediction market ecosystem than the US?

One thing I find interesting is that US prediction markets increasingly drift toward:
- political spectacle
- meme markets
- gambling dynamics

I wonder whether Europe could actually build a different model:
- more forecasting-oriented
- more research/media integrated
- more reputation-based
- less dopamine-driven

Do you think there’s room for that kind of ecosystem?

reddit.com
u/Ok_Reporter_5272 — 12 days ago

someone made $651K in 10 days on polymarket sports markets. brand new wallet from this month. what am i doing wrong lol

u/Foreign-Character461 — 12 days ago

Built a telegram bot that notifies me on market changes

Hey :)

I got tired of constantly refreshing Polymarket to check price moves, so I built myself a Telegram bot that sends alerts for things like:
- price changes
- market resolution/endings
- other market events

A few people from my previous post asked if they could use it too, so I cleaned it up a bit and decided to share it.

Looking for a few early users to try it out for free and give honest feedback.

If you’re interested, comment here or DM me.

reddit.com
u/itayo134 — 13 days ago
▲ 7 r/polyman+1 crossposts

BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP Historical 5 & 15-Min Up/Down Data

Would anyone be interested in second-level (1s frequency) market data for backtesting or research purposes?

I have up/down market data (best ask price) for BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP markets, scraped from the Gamma API (by auto-slug mapping to the right 5/15mins market). This dataset is at 1-second intervals (while Polymarket API only provides 1-minute granularity last I checked).

Coverage:

5-minute intervals: 20 Feb 2026 to 4 May 2026, 15:42:34
15-minute intervals: 7 Jan 2026 to 4 May 2026

I stopped updating due to work commitments and some (lack of) trading success, but I'm happy to share or discuss the dataset if anyone's interested.

Curious what else would you use this kind of data for?

Sample as attached.

u/unitytravels — 13 days ago

Weekly Discussion - the $135K strickland bet just paid out $735K. what are you watching this week?

wild weekend - the guy who dropped $135K on strickland at 18% odds cashed $735K after the UFC upset. polymarket is reportedly IPO'ing on nasdaq by year end. sports spreads just got cut from 2¢ to 1¢. what markets are you in this week?

reddit.com
u/polymanAI — 11 days ago
▲ 5 r/polyman+1 crossposts

Free play for tonight

Been following this new group. Their reasoning is solid.

u/pabloooohav — 13 days ago

Weekly Discussion - what markets are you watching this week?

big week ahead - swisstony's $7.7M football latency edge went viral, weather traders are printing $4K from $13 bets, and someone just dropped $135K on strickland vs chimaev at 18% odds. what are you watching or betting on? drop it below.

reddit.com
u/polymanAI — 14 days ago