Caleb Wilson vs. AJ Dybantsa
Not saying Wilson should go over Dybantsa or that he’s the better overall prospect. I get why AJ is projected higher. He’s a more polished scorer and creator right now. But I honestly think people are acting like these guys are in completely different tiers when the numbers and measurements say otherwise.
Official combine measurements:
Dybantsa:
6’8.5 barefoot
217 lbs
7’0.5 wingspan
8’10 standing reach
42 max vertical
Caleb Wilson:
6’9.25 barefoot
210.8 lbs
7’0.25 wingspan
9’0 standing reach
39.5 max vertical
AJ is the slightly better pure athlete vertically, but Wilson is taller with a better standing reach. Physically these guys are a lot closer than people think.
The production was also really interesting.
Per 36:
Wilson: 22.8 pts / 10.8 reb / 3.1 ast / 1.6 blk / 1.7 stl
Dybantsa: 26.4 pts / 7.1 reb / 3.8 ast / 0.4 blk / 1.1 stl
Wilson was also more efficient almost across the board:
62.6 TS%
59 eFG%
127.7 ORTG
97.8 DRTG
14 BPM
Compared to:
60 TS%
55 eFG%
122 ORTG
108.8 DRTG
11.7 BPM for Dybantsa.
AJ clearly has the advantage as a perimeter scorer and offensive creator. That’s why he’ll go higher. But Wilson impacts games in so many other ways. Defensive versatility, rebounding, rim protection, transition play, weakside help, finishing, overall chaos defensively.
Everybody already talks about Wilson’s upside. My point is more that his CURRENT impact and production are probably getting overlooked a little because so much of the conversation focuses on his long-term ceiling.
Different strengths. Different weaknesses. But I definitely think they belong in the same overall tier of prospects.
What are your thoughts? Do you believe that Wilson and Dybantsa are on the same tier or is Dybantsa on a different tier?