
Behçet's and Organ Involvement Predictions
AB0404 (2026)
BASELINE CLINICAL AND LABORATORY PREDICTORS OF NEW MAJOR ORGAN INVOLVEMENT IN BEHÇET’S DISEASE: RESULTS FROM AN INCEPTION COHORT
Keywords: Prognostic factors, Biomarkers, Uveitis, Descriptive Studies, Rare/orphan diseases
R. Deniz1, O. Altun1, A. Gül2, C. Bes1
1University of Health Sciences Başakşehir Çam ve Sakura City Hospital, Rheumatology, Istanbul, Türkiye
2İstanbul University Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine Division of Rheumatology, İstanbul, Türkiye
Background: Behçet’s disease (BD) is a chronic, relapsing, multisystem inflammatory disorder characterized by a wide clinical spectrum ranging from mucocutaneous manifestations to severe, life-threatening major organ involvement (MOI), including ocular, vascular, neurological, and gastrointestinal disease. Early identification of patients at risk for progression to MOI is a major unmet need in routine clinical practice, as delayed recognition is associated with irreversible organ damage, disability, increased morbidity, and mortality. Although several clinical features have been associated with MOI in cross-sectional studies, there is limited prospective inception-cohort evidence evaluating which baseline clinical or laboratory characteristics may predict the development of new major organ involvement (NMOI) during follow-up. Understanding these predictors may support risk stratification and guide early intensified monitoring or tailored immunosuppressive strategies.
Objectives: This study aims to address this gap by investigating the prognostic value of baseline demographic, clinical, and routine laboratory parameters for predicting incident NMOI in a well-defined cohort of newly diagnosed BD patients whether a MOI is present or not at diagnosis.
Methods: This study was designed as a prospective inception cohort including patients newly diagnosed with BD according to the International Study Group (ISG) criteria. Demographic features, clinical manifestations, and routine laboratory parameters were systematically recorded at diagnosis and at scheduled follow-up visits. Major organ involvement (MOI) was defined as ocular, vascular, neurological, or gastrointestinal involvement meeting accepted clinical and radiological criteria. Patients were classified into two groups: those who developed new MOI (NMOI) during follow-up in addition to MOI at diagnosis and those who did not. Follow-up outcomes included type and timing of new MOI, relapse frequency, treatment response, and cumulative organ involvement.
Results: A total of 117 patients were included in the inception cohort, of whom 16 developed at least one new major organ involvement (NMOI) during follow-up. Sex distribution was similar between groups, whereas patients who developed NMOI were older at baseline (32 vs 39.5 years, p=0.087). Although MOI at diagnosis appeared more frequent in the group without NMOI, none of the phenotypes differed significantly. Detailed characteristics are presented in Table 1. Among the 16 NMOI cases, the distribution was as follows: 5 ocular, 9 vascular, 1 neurological, and 2 gastrointestinal events; 1 patient developed both ocular and vascular involvement.
Baseline clinical manifestations were generally comparable between the two groups, with the exception of folliculitis, which was significantly more common in patients who did not develop NMOI (64.4% vs 37.5%, p=0.040). Genital ulcers also tended to be less frequent among patients who later developed NMOI, although this difference did not reach statistical significance (66.3% vs 56.3%, p=0.302).
During follow-up, thrombotic vascular events, specifically uveitis, superficial thrombophlebitis, deep venous thrombosis, arterial, and gastrointestinal involvement, were more frequent in the NMOI group (Table 2). Presentation with MOI at diagnosis did not differ between groups; however, baseline CRP and ESR levels were tended to be higher in patients who subsequently developed NMOI (CRP 6 vs 22.7 mg/L, p=0.034; ESR 11.5 vs 25 mm/h, p=0.005). HLA-B51 positivity was not associated with NMOI development (p>0.05). By the last visit, the NMOI group had significantly higher frequencies of ocular, vascular, and gastrointestinal involvement. Cumulative follow-up duration was longer in NMOI group (24 vs 28.5 months, p=0.06). Relapse rate was similar during follow up and patients with NMOI has more active status at last visit (10.9 vs 31.1%, p=0.025).
Conclusions: In this inception cohort, some certain baseline clinical and laboratory features were associated with the development of NMOI in Behçet’s disease. While recurrent oral ulcers appeared to be a universal and phenotype-independent manifestation, folliculitis and genital ulcers were more characteristic of a stable phenotypic course and seemed to be associated with a lower likelihood of progression to NMOI.
Conversely, elevated acute phase reactants (CRP, ESR) at diagnosis emerged as potential predictors of NMOI, likely reflecting subclinical inflammatory and ischemic pathways that predispose to vascular and ocular complications. Importantly, HLA-B51 positivity did not differentiate patients who developed NMOI from those who did not, indicating limited prognostic value in this context.
These findings highlights the importance of a comprehensive baseline clinical and laboratory assessment in newly diagnosed BD patients. Identifying high-risk individuals early may allow clinicians to personalize follow-up intensity, implement more vigilant monitoring strategies, and potentially initiate timely therapeutic interventions to prevent irreversible organ damage.
Table 1. Clinical characteristics of Behçet’s disease patients with and without major organ involvement (MOI) at diagnosis