u/Apart-Ad-1684

Hello,

À l’approche de l’éclipse de ce mercredi, j’ai créé un petit site pour visualiser où elle se trouvera depuis n’importe quel point en France.

C'est une superposition des images de Google Street View, des calculs d’Astronomy Engine pour positioner le Soleil et la Lune au fil de la soirée, des prévisions de couverture nuageuse d’Open-Meteo et, pour Paris, des données LiDAR de l’IGN afin de dessiner la carte des zones où la vue devrait être dégagée.

J'espère que ça pourra vous aider à trouver un bel endroit pour l'admirer ! 🕶️

Hi everyone,

I’m from France, so naturally I started wondering who we might face in the 2026 World Cup knockout rounds 🥐

But with the new 48-team format, it’s surprisingly hard to reason about the bracket — especially because the Round of 32 depends on which eight third-placed teams qualify.

So I built a small interactive simulator where you can edit any future group score and immediately see the bracket update:

https://worldcup.louisguichard.fr

For any selected team, there’s also a "likely path" view showing their most likely opponents in each round, conditional on them reaching that stage.

The model combines completed/live results, FIFA ratings, market-implied probabilities, a small host adjustment, and Monte Carlo simulations. I tried to keep the assumptions visible rather than make it feel like a black-box prediction model.

I’d love feedback, especially on the methodology and whether the path view makes the new format easier to understand!

The home page

Most likely opponents for your team at each stage

Interactive bracket