so where did the French draws go?
Seeing a lot of "is the French category over" posts since there's been no draw after Aug 19. I went through the rounds and the targets and I really don't think so.
This year's quota is basically filled, that's all. 50,500 French ITAs since February, more than all of 2025. Anyone invited now would land in 2027 anyway (60 days to apply, ~6 months processing), so it makes sense they stopped for the year.
But the count starts over in January and the target goes UP. 9.5% French speaking PRs outside Quebec in 2027, then 10.5%, and 12% by 2029. The last two years it took around 48-50k invitations a year to get there. They're going to need at least that many again, and the people who already had their scores got picked up this summer. So the next rounds are going to be filled by people who are studying right now.
Same thing happened in 2025 btw. Nothing from March 21 to August 8, everyone said it was done, then six French draws before the end of the year.
And look at the gap in scores. Every French draw this year was between 382 and 420. CEC is at 518. I can't think of anything else that moves your chances like that, and that's before the extra CRS points you get for French.
So if you're halfway through TEF or TCF prep, don't stop now. A few months with no draws is exactly the time you need to get to NCLC 7 before they start again.
No clue on the exact date, IRCC hasn't said anything. New levels plan should be out around Nov 1, I'd watch for that.
https://moving2canada.com/2026/07/9900-new-francophone-pr-between-jan-and-may-2026/