u/BipartizanBelgrade

All courtesy of Antony9991 from r/ussoccer:

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Possible R32 matchups based on statistical probabilities depending where we finish at in the group stage (using current OPTA stats and 3rd place matchup probabilities):

If we're group winners: (1 July in Santa Clara)

Bosnia 21.4%

Qatar 18.1%

Canada 16.3%

Switzerland 10.9%

Algeria 4.4%

Senegal 4.0%

Austria 3.9%

Jordan 3.8%

Ivory Coast 3.5%

Norway 2.7%

Iraq 2.7%

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Second in the group: (3 July in Dallas)

Egypt 28.5%

Iran 26.9%

Belgium 25.7%

New Zealand 18.9%

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Third in the group:

Germany 38.6% (29 June in Boston)

France 18.1% (30 June in NJ/NY)

Ecuador 17.9% (29 June in Boston)

Norway 7.6% (30 June in NJ/NY)

Ivory Coast 6.7% (29 June in Boston)

Senegal 3.6% (30 June in NJ/NY)

Portugal 3.4% (2 July in Vancouver)

Colombia 1.7% (2 July in Vancouver)

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Most likely R16 matchups should we get there:

Group winners: Belgium (6 July in Seattle)

Second in group: Argentina (7 July in Atlanta)

Third in group: France (7 July in Philadelphia)

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I think we go through in 3rd place, though it's worth remembering that we're still the favourites to finish last in the group.