GROSSES ANALYSIS- Week Ending May 17
Source- Broadway Grosses, Broadway Box Office -05/17/2026 (broadwayworld.com)
Another ok-ish week for Broadway, this week was largely the same compared to last, a good sign given Tom Felton's absence from Cursed Child. But this year continues to be significantly behind the highs of last year, with average ticket price lagging $10 below last years mark, though that metric saw a slight increase from last week. But that said, many of the new shows are still struggling, with a couple notable exceptions. This week is the annual road conference, where many touring presenters come to New York City and (among other things) see all of the new shows, which will have an impact some on these grosses.
For Award Wins/Nominations, a * demarcates a best musical/best revival nomination/win.
Grosses (chronological order from opening)-
➡ The Great Gatsby - $820k, 76% capacity, $91 atp (Up ~$28k from last week). Began performances March 29, 2024, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $721k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)
2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2), Drama Desk (1), Tony (1)
Gatsby showed some signs of improvement but by and large held station from last week, which is not a great sign for the show. But with tourist season on the way, they're likely fine for the most part. Starting to become one's to keep an eye on though.
Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%
➡Maybe Happy Ending- $1.1 million gross, 95% capacity, $157 atp (Up ~$138k from last week). Began performances October 16, 2024, Open-Ended
Gross Less-Fees: $1.017 million; Weekly Operating Cost: $765k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $100k+
2025 Award Wins: New York Drama Critics (1*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama League (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tony (6*)
As expected Maybe Happy Ending put up some very nice grosses to coincide with Darren Criss's final week of performances. They'll be interesting ones moving forward.
Estimated percentage recouped: 30%-50%
➡Death Becomes Her- $692k gross, 66% capacity, $87 atp (Down ~$70k from last week). Began performances October 23, 2024, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $602k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)
2025 Award Wins: Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)
Of course the big news this week, Death Becomes Her has announced their final performance will be on June 28. First thoughts of course go to the cast and crew of the show. I break this all down more fully on BroadwayWorld, but long story short it's very much a shame and a shock that a show that did as well as DBH did in its first year fell apart so much in it's second. That said, 600 performances is nothing to be ashamed of and the show has had a good run. Hopefully the next six weeks they get to play to full houses.
Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%
➡Operation Mincemeat- $705k gross, 92% capacity, $122 atp (Down ~$9k from last week). Began performances February 15, 2025, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $613k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $560k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($50k)-$50k
2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)
Operation Mincemeat continues to hold around that $700k mark, plenty strong for them at this point.
Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%
➡Buena Vista Social Club- $959k gross, 97% capacity, $117 atp (Up ~$68k from last week). Began performances February 21, 2025, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $834k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $700k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-100k
2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1)
2025 Award Wins: Chita Rivera (2); Tonys (5); Grammy (1)
BVSC had another really nice rebound back up into the $900s, which is more than enough for them to sustain for a while if they can keep it here, great week for them.
Estimated percentage recouped: 20%-40%
➡Just in Time- $890k gross, 102% capacity, $158 atp (Up ~$52k from last week). Began performances March 31, 2025, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $774k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $600k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k
2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (2)
Just in Time finally announced their recoupment after just over a year of performances on Broadway, and they continue to do well over at the Circle in the Square Theater. This will be my final week covering them on these reports, huge congratulations to the cast and crew and everyone working on the show! Well done all.
Or to put it in lyrics from the show: That's all (buh bah da duh), That's all
Estimated percentage recouped: 100%
➡️Ragtime-* $1.2 million gross, 100% capacity, $149 atp, (Up ~$56k from last week), Began performances September 26, Limited Through August 2, 20*26
Gross Less-Fees: $1.090 million; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (5*); Outer Critics Circle (6*); Drama Desk (8*); Tonys (11*)
2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (2); Outer Critics Circle (5*); Drama League (4*); Drama Desk (5*)
Ragtime continues it's fantastic run of awards, picking up a basketful of hardware last weekend between the Drama Leagues and the Drama Desks. And their grosses have responded well, getting towards the higher weeks of their initial LCT run.
Estimated percentage recouped: 50%
➡️Chess-* $927k gross, 73% capacity, $109 atp, (Up ~$59k from last week). Began performances October 15, 2025, Open-Ende*d.
Gross Less-Fees: $807k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-($100k)
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desk (2*); Tonys (5)
2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (4)
Lea Michele was in for the full week this time around, and so Chess had a marginally better week. But likely still a week that's a bit too low for them to call it successful or sustainable, would really like to see them back up over that $1 million mark.
Estimated percentage recouped: 20%-40%
➡Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)- $576k gross, 77% capacity, $89 atp, (Down ~$22k from last week). Began Performances November 1, 2025, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $509k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $480k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama Desk (3*); Tonys (8*)
2026 Award Wins: Drama Desk (1)
Two Strangers was unable to capitalize on their momentum from the previous week and slid some, not a great sign for the show. They did manage to win their first major award of the season, for Outstanding Lyrics at the Drama Desks. Hopefully we get national tour news from them soon, that would certainly help in their Tony push.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡Cats: The Jellicle Ball- $952k gross, 91% capacity, $112 atp, (Down ~$5k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $807k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($0)-($100k)
2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2*)
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (4); Tonys (9*)
2026 Award Wins: Drama Desk (3)
Cats remains just under their weekly breakeven, their needle did not get moved much. This makes it one of the weaker starts we've seen for a revival, which is potentially troubling given how revivals typically fare, especially if they don't win some major awards at the Tony's.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡Titanique- $860k gross, 87% capacity, $92 atp, (Up ~$122k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited through September 20.
Gross Less-Fees: $736k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Drama Desk (1); Tonys (4*)
Titanique posted their best week yet after securing a handful of Tony Nominations, including one for Best Musical. Still below their breakeven, but moving in the right direction. They have also announced a national tour!
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡The Rocky Horror Show- $1.0 million gross, 100% capacity, $128 atp, (Down ~$49k from last week), Began Performances March 26, 2026, Limited Through November 29.
Gross Less-Fees: N/A; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): N/A
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tonys (9*)
Rocky Horror's impressive run continues, holding over that $1 million mark, even with the decrease.
Estimated percentage recouped: N/A
➡Beaches- $441k gross, 44% capacity, $77 atp, (Down ~$34k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited Through September 6.
Gross Less-Fees: $377k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (1)
If you want to see it, get your tickets sooner rather than later. That capacity number is rough.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡The Lost Boys- $1.1 million gross, 89% capacity, $98 atp, (Up ~$25k from last week), Began Performances March 27, 2026, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $993k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (11*); Drama Desk (5); Tonys (12*)
2026 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2); Drama Desk (2)
The Lost Boys continues their strong run, picking up a pair of technical awards with the Drama Desks. And they have announced both a cast album and a national tour. Both Lost Boys and Schmigadoon are starting to try and increase their average ticket price it seems, both saw increases there and decreases in overall attendance.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡Schmigadoon- $842k gross, 85% capacity, $106 atp (Down ~$1k from last week), Began Performances April 4, 2026, Open-Ended.
Gross Less-Fees: $721k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)
2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (8*); Drama Desk (4*); Tony (12*)
2026 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (5*); Drama Desks (2*)
Schmigadoon has now picked up two of the major theatre awards for Best Musical, setting them up potentially well for the Tonys next month. Grosses wise, they mostly held station from last week, increasing their average ticket price while decreasing their attendance.
Estimated percentage recouped: 0%
➡Play Roundup:
Stranger Things: The First Shadow- Whiplash of a week for them, once there are more tourists over the summer I suspect they'll do better. Open-ended.
Every Brilliant Thing- Death, taxes, and Daniel Radcliffe being an insane commercial draw on Broadway- the highest average ticket price of the week. Congratulations to Daniel Radcliffe as well for winning the Outer Critics Circle Award for Best Solo Performance. Great week for them all around, final week to see Daniel Radcliffe! New extension too through the summer, glad to see it! Limited through August 9.
Death of a Salesman- Huge week for them, selling out and total gross over $1.7 million. Limited Through August 9.
Giant- Second recoupment of the spring! Congratulations to the cast and crew and production team at the Music Box. Limited Through June 28
Dog Day Afternoon- They've continued to slip with the lukewarm responses at awards ceremonies, though they're still in an ok spot week to week. Just unlikely to recoup. Limited Through July 12.
Becky Shaw- Becky Shaw has been building pretty consistently for like two months now, and they're in a really solid spot, love to see it! Limited Through June 14
The Fear of 13- Fear of 13 is still struggling for a star led play. They won't recoup but they'll make it through their run. Limited Through July 12
Proof- Grosses continue to be strong in spite of the lack of Tony Nominations. Limited Through July 12
Joe Turner's Come and Gone- $1 million club for them, after a phenomenal response last week, great for them and I hope it continues! Limited Through July 26
The Balusters- Grosses are picking up, which is good. Limited Through June 7..
Fallen Angels- Fascinating that this show is straight up outgrossing Pirates from last year, but it's really great for all those involved that this is such a success! Limited Through June 7.
Celebrity Autographs- I'm glad the theatre has a tenant. Limited Through August 9.
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