Interactive model: other clubs could plead about £1.41bn if City’s 2009/10–2017/18 results were set aside
Its a a model rather than a report. It is not legal advice and it is not a sum anyone has been awarded.
The question it asks is narrow. If Manchester City’s results from 2009/10 to 2017/18 were set aside, and those seasons were rerun with City fixed at 12th, what prize money and European-place money might other clubs plead they lost? 12th is their average finish over the five seasons before the 2008 takeover (actual average 12.4, all in the Premier League). A 10-year lookback is about 18th once the pyramid is adjusted; a 15-year lookback is about 20th. The page lets you switch those.
On the default setting, the lost prize money and places come to about £380m. Interest is then added at 11.81%, the rate in the Burnley v Everton damages case, compounded yearly to 1 October 2026. That takes the combined figure to about £1.41bn. An 8% statutory rate and simple interest are both on the page if you think the Burnley rate is too high.
Largest modelled claims, default settings, updated 3 October 2026:
- Tottenham, £383m (2010/11–2017/18): 3 Champions League places, 6 league-place steps
- Everton, £226m: 1 Champions League place, 8 league-place steps, 3 Europa places
- Manchester United, £176m: 1 Champions League place, 2 title steps, 4 league-place steps, 1 Europa place
- Newcastle, £126m: 1 Champions League place, 4 league-place steps
- Arsenal, £117m: 1 Champions League place, 7 league-place steps
- Chelsea, £111m: 1 Champions League place, 5 league-place steps
- Liverpool, £63m: 1 title step, 7 league-place steps, 1 Europa place
The two assumptions doing most of the work are the 12th-place counterfactual, and applying the Burnley interest rate and compounding it to 2026. A points deduction, a relegation, or no interest at all would move the total a lot. Happy to be told which input is wrong.
Interactive table, by club: https://www.numbersdeck.com/man-city-liability