How do you know when you’re early and not just wrong?
I feel like every bad trade starts with the same sentence: “I’m early.”
Stock drops 10%? I’m early.
Drops 25%? Market doesn’t understand it yet.
Drops 50%? Long-term conviction.
Company misses earnings? Great chance to average down, apparently.
Then one day you realize “early” was just a nicer word for “wrong with extra steps.”
So how do you actually separate being early from being delusional?
Do you use a hard stop, thesis checklist, earnings results, chart levels, position sizing, or do you just accept that some ideas are garbage and move on?
Because I’m trying to stop turning failed trades into emotional support positions.
u/ChartRobt900 — 6 days ago