u/ClosingEdge

Prediction Market vs Sportsbook Pricing Inefficiencies

I have recently been working on an algorithm that identifies pricing inefficiencies between prediction markets like Kalshi and Sportsbooks (specifically sharps like Pinnacle). I have gathered a lot of really interesting data and I am starting to spot some profitable trends. For example, treating Sportsbook odds (after taking out vig etc.) as a baseline for true probability, we can effectively create closing live value via taking advantage of prediction markets inability to accurately price in new data flow. I would love to work with some like minded individuals on this project so please reach out if you are interested. (Not advertising, just want to share my interest with people like you guys).

reddit.com
u/ClosingEdge — 1 day ago