u/Cranberry-Practical

NVDA earnings mediocre with disappointing guidance…did you listen?

mediocre earnings and meh guidance. I hope you listened to me…I hate being right. it’s a curse.

u/Cranberry-Practical — 2 days ago

NVDA Valuation

Lets talk NVDA valuation. It's trading at 25x sales (P/S) which is historically well well above avg for any mega caps. Apple in it's prime was 10-12x...currently the other mega caps are at 8-12x.

So we know NVDA will revert to the mean at some point, history tells us that. Yes revenue will grow and P/S will come down but the stock can't keep doubling every year while revenues "only" grow 30-40%....which is what it will be in 2027-2028, if they are lucky.

The YoY comps are only getting worse...trailing 12 month rev is $215B. Just putting simple 40% growth in 2027-2028 would yield revenue of $300B in 2027 and $420B in 2028. The revenue isn't going to grow to infinity...which brings us back to P/S ratio of 25x....it will revert to a mean of 10-12x...whether that happens in 2027 or 2028..we shall see. Tread carefully...

u/Cranberry-Practical — 2 days ago

Anyone else excited to watch NVDA implode after earnings?

Jensen and his daily pumping has gotten so old...can't wait for this to crater on Thursday and Friday.

u/Cranberry-Practical — 2 days ago

NVDA - post earnings prediction

It kind of looks like NVDA will rollover after earnings and head sub $200...don't you agree?

It would make sense...

u/Cranberry-Practical — 4 days ago

NVDA - call flow today...what is wrong with you people

What is wrong with you people...this thing on it's way to $6T market cap and it's trading retail meme stock. 🤦‍♂️

u/Cranberry-Practical — 9 days ago

NVDA - lagging really bad v/s MU and AMD

Its a real shame you guys bought NVDA instead of the real leaders like AMD/MU. Just look at how bad NVDA is lagging...that's a shame....just a real shame. My heart bleeds for you guys. 🤡

Guess which I own...😘

u/Cranberry-Practical — 10 days ago

NVDA - unreal breakout

Clear breakout after a 10 month consolidation....can't believe this is headed for $6-7T market cap

u/Cranberry-Practical — 11 days ago

Qs, SPY, SMH all at parabolic highs and NVDA still can’t break out. Still right at its Oct highs. 🤔

I’m sure it’s nothing 😬🫣

u/Cranberry-Practical — 14 days ago

NVDA - I guess it is going to $300 and 7.5T market cap

You can't fight this market...highly manipulated...the macro economic numbers are all cooked...the capex ponzi scheme that is ongoing and Potus with consistent social media tweets to solely pump the market.

I was wrong...NVDA going to the moon. But so are the rest of the semis...I think you would do better with MU or AMD but NVDA going higher. It's been in this 11 month channel and looks like it's going to break out finally.

u/Cranberry-Practical — 14 days ago

This whole market is one big casino...and NVDA is the latest stupidity going on. $320m in call flow past 2 days...textbook manipulation that will end soon enough. These gamma squeezes are violent but always short lived.

u/Cranberry-Practical — 15 days ago

last gasp move to try and make new highs. stout -divergence. I can’t stop what’s about to happen…nobody can 😳

u/Cranberry-Practical — 15 days ago

I just put on a $90k 3x leveraged short via SOXS on the semi ETF....once you dummies are done fooling around with NVDA I can really start banking on this short.

There is a reason they call me the best...💪

u/Cranberry-Practical — 15 days ago

Market very irrational right now...they are selling everything and piling into the high growth, low market cap semi names (MU/INTC/AMD/MRVL/ETC). Every semi is virtually parabolic.

NVDA stock isn't a growth story anymore....that trade ended. Yes, they will sell a lot of chips but the parabolic move is done and this will be headed lower. I can't stop it...nobody can.

u/Cranberry-Practical — 17 days ago