AI is getting pretty good at poker (plo5)
prompt:
what does a top 15% of hands look like in plo5
Google gemini falsh :
In 5-Card PLO (PLO5), the "power creep" caused by that fifth card drastically shifts what constitutes a top 15% hand compared to standard 4-card PLO. Single-asset hands—like naked high pairs or loose 3-card rundowns with dead cards—get crushed.
To sit in the top 15% of a tight, GTO-aligned opening or 3-betting range, a hand must possess multi-dimensional coordination. This means combining high pairs, clean straight connectivity across all five cards, and active flush draws (ideally double-suited).
Here is exactly how that 15% breaks down across the core categories:
1. The Aces (AAxxx)
While almost all AA combinations carry high raw "versus random" (VR) equity, their actual post-flop playability splits them significantly:
- Premium (Top 1%–5%): Double-suited, connected, or heavy Broadway components (e.g.,
AAKQJds,AAJT9ds,AATT8ds). These are mandatory 3-bets and 4-bets from any position. - Marginal/Fringe (10%–15%): Completely unsuited, disconnected low cards (e.g.,
AA852rainbow). In tough games, these sit right at the bottom edge of the 15% tier. They have high preflop equity but terrible post-flop playability, meaning they are often just flatted or even folded from early position to avoid getting trapped in low-SPR (stack-to-pot ratio) multiway pots.
2. High Pocket Pairs (KKxxx & QQxxx)
The barrier to entry for non-AA pairs is incredibly high in PLO5.
- Pocket Kings: The average VR rank for KK in PLO5 is roughly 10%, meaning only the top half of all KK hands make the 15% cut. To qualify, they must have elite side cards—either an Ace blocker (
AKKQTds), a strong double-suited Broadway wrap (KKQJTds), or tight rundown connectivity (KKJT9ds). Naked, rainbow, or low-card Kings (KK952r) fall completely out of the top 15%. - Pocket Queens: The average VR rank for QQ is around 16%. This means the majority of QQ hands are completely outside the top 15%. Only ultra-premium, perfectly coordinated Queens make the cut (e.g.,
QQAKJds orQQJTSds).
3. Premium 5-Card Rundowns & Wraps
In PLO5, you cannot afford to play "dangling" cards. Top 15% rundowns must feature continuous connectivity across all 5 cards, ideally double-suited (ds) or single-suited to the Ace/King (ss).
| Hand Type | Example Structure | Strategic Value |
|---|---|---|
| Pristine Broadway | AKQJT ds / KQJT9 ds |
Maximizes the nuts on both straight and higher-flush boards. |
| Mid-Rundowns | QJT98 ds / JT987 ds |
Incredible wrap potential; needs to be double-suited to withstand the power of PLO5 field equities. |
| Single-Gap Wraps | QJ987 ds / JT976 ds |
Acceptable if double-suited, but the gap must be at the top or bottom, not splitting the middle. |
4. High Double-Suited / Nut-Suited Combos
Hands without a pocket pair or a perfect rundown can still easily crack the top 15% if they are double-suited to the Ace or King and have strong Broadway blocking power.
- Examples:
AJT98ds (with Ace-high and Jack-high suits) orAQT97ds. - These hands rely on generating dominant flush draws alongside robust straight structures, allowing you to safely push equity on dynamic boards.
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