u/Due_Butterscotch8814

I have been building a football prediction model, it covers 20 leagues in Europe. It's built using approx 20 seasons worth of data for most of the leagues. Metric coverage is patchy at points, particularly in the earlier seasons but in total I have approx 350 million data points.

I have got it to a point where it is 66% plus accurate in its predictions. I'm fairly confident i can push this up to 70%. That is currently the rate when run indiscriminately against all fixtures but I plan on filtering it further as some analysis indicators produce much higher accuracy rates.

However, I understand all of the above is meaningless unless I can establish that the odds offered on the games were such that a profit could be generated.

Does anybody know an accurate historical odds database that I can pull from that would allow me to get exact profit/loss figures for the model?

Any advice appreciated.

Was wondering where Tony was today when he was noticeably absent from the historic victory down in Cork.

Those of who dare to dream could see the possibility of a victory over the Dutch and the setting up of an epic clash in France and the possibility of a table topping auto qualification to the World Cup.

It was there, the vision, we could see it coming. The performances against Belgium that saw us qualify for group A. How unlucky we were to walk away from the first games against France and the Netherlands empty handed. We have goals in us, you can draw up a list of the players now than can nick us a goal, Sheva, Larkin, McCabe, Murphy, Barrett, Carusa....the girls from the back who come up for the set pieces. When you can nick goals you can win games and we nicked three beautiful goals today.

What a win, it was coming, I'm not surprised I allowed for the possibility. In a genuine way I allowed for it. Not just beating the dutch...topping the group. Not in a mathematical sense, someone with a baby infants level of maths could have worked that out. I mean in a football sense, based on progression and performances and the proven ability to score goals.

Tony O'Donoghue is, apparently, not one of us people. Decided to take his ass on an expenses paid jaunt to a meaningless friendly to Canada. He may say he was forced to go!!! , but he could have insisted on covering the meaningful potentially historic game instead.

Always felt he was not genuinely interested in the Womens football. You can tell by the questions he asks that he is not keeping an eye on them at club level. I'm a man, I'm not sure what they mean by "the patriarchy", but when i see Tony talking to the players I'm sure he is emitting that type of energy.

And it's not just Tony, it's much of the slop coverage we get from the male sports media. Phoneing it in. Not even the minimum effort of checking sofascore on a weekend to see who is playing/scoring etc just to have a general idea of where everyone is at. But today Tony got FRAUD CHECKED in a bad way.

I'd be amazed if he doesn't show is face in France on Tuesday. Pretending to care and be excited and supportive. I'll have to listen to his patronising questions. But he has been FRAUD CHECKED. He has been exposed. And I'm sure some of the women will have clocked him, wondered where Tony was on their big night. Well, now they know. There was a better expense paid trip on offer, a more important one!!!

So he'll be in France on an all expenses jaunt, and I'll be hate watching him from my gaff. But I'm not going to let him spoil it for me. O'Sullivan and Murphy are back and they will be fresh, FRESH! , we can nick f**kin goals , we got set pieces, we got options from the bench. And this time a French girls big head being on the goal line might not save them.

Top of the table...world cup qualification...we're playing for all the marbles.

Honestly, in Carla Ward we have one of the best managers, football people, in the womens game. And this job is perfect for her to show it.

Fingers crossed. Can not wait for Tuesday. COYF******GC.