u/Fakirhun

▲ 3 r/eb1a+1 crossposts

Let’s predict DOF and FAD for PD April 2024 for EB-1 India: Are we filing I-485s by late 2026, or is the backlog deeply structural?

The massive 46K Family-Based spillover announcement has everyone recalculating their timelines. For those of us stuck with an April 2024 Priority Date (EB-1 India), there seem to be two very loud sides to the debate in this community right now:

  • The Optimistic View: With FY2026 spillovers and country-specific immigrant visa pauses pushing more allocations to EB-1, some believe the Date for Filing (DOF) could push past April 2024 as early as the October Bulletin, with Final Action Dates (FAD) catching up soon after.
  • The Realistic/Pessimistic View: Massive EB-2 to EB-1 porting, soaring EB-1C executive approvals, and a dense 2023 pending I-485 inventory mean an April 2024 PD won't see a green card until closer to 2028 or 2029.

Given the latest USCIS pending inventory numbers and historical patterns, where do you actually see the dates landing?

Drop your predictions below:

  1. DOF Month/Year for April 2024:
  2. FAD Month/Year for April 2024:
  3. The main factor driving your math (Spillovers, Porting, or USCIS Processing Sluggishness)?

Thank you in advance.

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u/Fakirhun — 1 day ago