Player props 5/15 let's get it
For the Cavs Pistons game I liked Paul Reed over 6.5 PRA because he can get there without needing a big scoring night. Couple rebounds, a bucket or two, maybe an assist and suddenly the line looks small. Jalen Duren over 7.5 points feels solid too because most of his offense comes from easy looks around the rim, so efficiency does a lot of the work for him.
Evan Mobley over 23.5 PRA is probably my favorite leg in that game. He impacts everything, not just scoring, so I’d rather take a combo line with him instead of depending on pure points.
In Wolves Spurs I actually went with a few unders because I don’t think every player is in a smash spot. Jaden McDaniels under 20.5 points just felt too high for his usual role, and De’Aaron Fox under 21.5 is more about matchup and pace. I don’t see it turning into a super high scoring game for him.
Rudy Gobert over 4.5 points is basically me trusting him to get easy baskets. That line is low enough where a couple dunks and free throws can clear it. Dylan Harper over 14.5 PRA is more of an involvement pick, I just need him active across multiple categories instead of forcing one stat.