u/GrrNom2

How well did r/ValComp do for preds in Stage 1? Results for the Stage 1 Preds contest!

Prior to the start of Stage 1, we ran our own little competition to find out which r/ValorantCompetitive user knows ball across all regions.

It was a relatively simple exercise; list your TOP 3s in Americas, EMEA and APAC, plus a few hot takes as tiebreakers.

Using the following metric, I was able to determine the most accurate preds here:

1 point for getting the correct team in top 3

0.5 bonus credit for getting the correct placement

0.5 credit for having the 4th place team in the list

Interesting facts:

  • 0 people had Eternal Fire in their Top 3, despite the team ending 4th overall. They were thus the most unexpected team to place high in Stage 1.
  • FNC appeared in 80% of submissions**, BBL** were at 70%, NS at a whopping 85%. This makes NS the most unexpected team to underperform in Stage 1.
  • Only 3 predictions had TH in their top 3. No one had TH going 1st seed.
  • u/lueukel was 1 of only 2 user that had FUT at all, and they were the only one who had FUT in the correct placement.
  • u/Elkiiiii, u/MirrorCraze, u/Still_HD all had the highest scoring APAC preds (3.0)
  • Only one user predicted all 3 Americas team correct. u/Fun_Will_2688 had G2/NRG/LEV, in the wrong order but all the right teams.
  • Every single submission only had 1 eventual EMEA Top 3 in their submissions. u/washyrr is the only user who had 2 EMEA podium teams (VIT and TH). Most people had BBL/FNC instead.
  • There were 8 Full Sense believers, but all of them had FS in 3rd place. No one had them in 2nd, which was where they eventually ended up.
  • AMERICAS was the most predictable region overall with the highest average score. (1.80)
  • EMEA was the least predictable region overall with the lowest average score. (0.9)
  • APAC had the most predictable winner in PRX.

Best scorers (tied at 6 points each)

✅ - 1.5, 🟢 - 1, ⭕ - 0.5, ❌ - 0

u/Livid-Effective-9173

Americas EMEA APAC
MIBR ❌ FNC ❌ NS ❌
NRG 🟢 VIT ✅ PRX 🟢
G2 🟢 BBL ❌ GE ✅

u/BugCollector11

Americas EMEA APAC
G2 ✅ BBL ❌ NS ❌
NRG 🟢 FNC ❌ PRX 🟢
MIBR ❌ VIT 🟢 GE ✅

u/Still_HD

Americas EMEA APAC
NRG 🟢 VIT 🟢 PRX ✅
G2 🟢 FNC ❌ GE 🟢
C9 ❌ M8 ❌ T1 ⭕

u/Fun_Will_2688

Americas EMEA APAC
G2 ✅ VIT 🟢 PRX ✅
NRG 🟢 BBL ❌ NS ❌
LEV🟢 FNC ❌ RRQ ❌

u/MirrorCraze

Americas EMEA APAC
NRG 🟢 FNC ❌ PRX ✅
G2 🟢 TL ❌ NS ❌
FURIA❌ VIT 🟢 GE ✅

Tiebreakers

Each user submitted two extra comments or takes that will determine who eventually won the contest

User CN first seed pick Correct Biggest upset pick Correct
MirrorCraze AG TS beats GE
Still_HD XLG T1 upset NS for final Pacific spot
Livid-Effective-9173 XLG 100T no playoffs
BugCollector11 BLG Team Secret beats Gen.G
Fun_Will_2688 XLG GE beats NS at group stage and playoffs ✅/❌

My inclination is to give it to u/BugCollector11 for having arguably the bigger upset and the objectively correct truth statement. But u/Fun_Will_2688's upset was also more consequential, and they might have beaten NS in playoffs.

r/ValorantCompetitive, what do you think? Another round of tiebreakers? Or are you team u/BugCollector11 or team u/Fun_Will_2688?

Reminder that the prize of this contest is a custom made flair and one year of infinite aura, plus absolute authority on pred related matters.

/j this is all for-fun. I did not at all expect it to be so close! e will definitely run this again in Stage 2 and maybe for Londons. Do let me know any feedback or ways to spice up this contest. Thank you to everyone who participated in this!

reddit.com
u/GrrNom2 — 15 days ago

They've somehow avoided each other this whole year, so having their first match up as the London qualifiers is pure CNEMA

u/GrrNom2 — 1 month ago