How well did r/ValComp do for preds in Stage 1? Results for the Stage 1 Preds contest!
Prior to the start of Stage 1, we ran our own little competition to find out which r/ValorantCompetitive user knows ball across all regions.
It was a relatively simple exercise; list your TOP 3s in Americas, EMEA and APAC, plus a few hot takes as tiebreakers.
Using the following metric, I was able to determine the most accurate preds here:
1 point for getting the correct team in top 3
0.5 bonus credit for getting the correct placement
0.5 credit for having the 4th place team in the list
Interesting facts:
- 0 people had Eternal Fire in their Top 3, despite the team ending 4th overall. They were thus the most unexpected team to place high in Stage 1.
- FNC appeared in 80% of submissions**, BBL** were at 70%, NS at a whopping 85%. This makes NS the most unexpected team to underperform in Stage 1.
- Only 3 predictions had TH in their top 3. No one had TH going 1st seed.
- u/lueukel was 1 of only 2 user that had FUT at all, and they were the only one who had FUT in the correct placement.
- u/Elkiiiii, u/MirrorCraze, u/Still_HD all had the highest scoring APAC preds (3.0)
- Only one user predicted all 3 Americas team correct. u/Fun_Will_2688 had G2/NRG/LEV, in the wrong order but all the right teams.
- Every single submission only had 1 eventual EMEA Top 3 in their submissions. u/washyrr is the only user who had 2 EMEA podium teams (VIT and TH). Most people had BBL/FNC instead.
- There were 8 Full Sense believers, but all of them had FS in 3rd place. No one had them in 2nd, which was where they eventually ended up.
- AMERICAS was the most predictable region overall with the highest average score. (1.80)
- EMEA was the least predictable region overall with the lowest average score. (0.9)
- APAC had the most predictable winner in PRX.
Best scorers (tied at 6 points each)
✅ - 1.5, 🟢 - 1, ⭕ - 0.5, ❌ - 0
u/Livid-Effective-9173
| Americas | EMEA | APAC |
|---|---|---|
| MIBR ❌ | FNC ❌ | NS ❌ |
| NRG 🟢 | VIT ✅ | PRX 🟢 |
| G2 🟢 | BBL ❌ | GE ✅ |
u/BugCollector11
| Americas | EMEA | APAC |
|---|---|---|
| G2 ✅ | BBL ❌ | NS ❌ |
| NRG 🟢 | FNC ❌ | PRX 🟢 |
| MIBR ❌ | VIT 🟢 | GE ✅ |
u/Still_HD
| Americas | EMEA | APAC |
|---|---|---|
| NRG 🟢 | VIT 🟢 | PRX ✅ |
| G2 🟢 | FNC ❌ | GE 🟢 |
| C9 ❌ | M8 ❌ | T1 ⭕ |
u/Fun_Will_2688
| Americas | EMEA | APAC |
|---|---|---|
| G2 ✅ | VIT 🟢 | PRX ✅ |
| NRG 🟢 | BBL ❌ | NS ❌ |
| LEV🟢 | FNC ❌ | RRQ ❌ |
u/MirrorCraze
| Americas | EMEA | APAC |
|---|---|---|
| NRG 🟢 | FNC ❌ | PRX ✅ |
| G2 🟢 | TL ❌ | NS ❌ |
| FURIA❌ | VIT 🟢 | GE ✅ |
Tiebreakers
Each user submitted two extra comments or takes that will determine who eventually won the contest
| User | CN first seed pick | Correct | Biggest upset pick | Correct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MirrorCraze | AG | ❌ | TS beats GE | ❌ |
| Still_HD | XLG | ❌ | T1 upset NS for final Pacific spot | ❌ |
| Livid-Effective-9173 | XLG | ❌ | 100T no playoffs | ❌ |
| BugCollector11 | BLG | ❌ | Team Secret beats Gen.G | ✅ |
| Fun_Will_2688 | XLG | ❌ | GE beats NS at group stage and playoffs | ✅/❌ |
My inclination is to give it to u/BugCollector11 for having arguably the bigger upset and the objectively correct truth statement. But u/Fun_Will_2688's upset was also more consequential, and they might have beaten NS in playoffs.
r/ValorantCompetitive, what do you think? Another round of tiebreakers? Or are you team u/BugCollector11 or team u/Fun_Will_2688?
Reminder that the prize of this contest is a custom made flair and one year of infinite aura, plus absolute authority on pred related matters.
/j this is all for-fun. I did not at all expect it to be so close! e will definitely run this again in Stage 2 and maybe for Londons. Do let me know any feedback or ways to spice up this contest. Thank you to everyone who participated in this!