u/Guezpt

Hi everyone,

I’m currently working in Switzerland and evaluating my portfolio for maximum capital growth over the next 10 years. My ultimate goal is to maximize my total net worth in cash/liquid assets, but importantly, I need to heavily reduce my stress.

My Track Record (The Real Estate Burnout): I've been very active in real estate over the last few years.

  • 2019: Bought an apartment to live in, renovated, sold in 2022. 50k profit. It gave me a 20%/year return on cash invested, but required a lot of unpaid sweat equity.
  • 2021: Bought a house, renovated, moved in 2022 (currently living here). Have 150k equity in it. Again, 20%/year gain over cash, but massive unpaid hours.
  • 2023: Bought 3 apartments, selling today. Again, around 20%/year return over cash.

So physically, I'm consistently getting around 20% profit on cash in real estate. But the work hours and stress are eating me alive. I want to relax and just enjoy life.

My Track Record (The Market):

  • I'm fully invested in my Pillar 3a with VIAC (100% equities) and getting an average of 12%/year over the last 5 years.
  • I also tested VIAC Invest with a lump sum right after the first Trump announcement crash, and I'm currently sitting at a 25% gain on that cash.

Because of this, I'm strongly exploring going full or hybrid into ETFs/markets to get my time back.

My Current Assets (450k CHF Net Worth to Deploy):

  • Asset 1: Selling an apartment right now, netting 150k CHF cash.
  • Asset 2 & 3: Two rental apartments with about 300k CHF in equity, generating a true 15k CHF net-net per year.

The 3 Options on the Table: To make a fair 10-year comparison, I am assuming an 8% annualized market return, a 100k CHF property appreciation across the 2 rentals, and that all rental income is reinvested into the market. (But these are my biggest unknowns: will the market realistically average 8% minimum? Will the houses actually appreciate 100k?)

Option A: The Conservative Hybrid

  • Invest the 150k CHF cash into the market. Keep the 2 rentals yielding 15k CHF (on the 300k equity).
  • 10-Year Math: Market Growth (150k) + Reinvested Rent (15k/yr) + 100k Property Appreciation = ~941k CHF Total.
  • Downside: The 15k rental income is taxed at my marginal income rate in CH, the property appreciation is subject to Grundstückgewinnsteuer, and I still have to manage tenants/maintenance.

Option B: Sell All & Go 100% Equities

  • Sell the 2 rentals to unlock the 300k equity. Combine it with the 150k cash = 450k CHF total straight into the market (VT/VWCE).
  • 10-Year Math: 450k compounded at 8% = ~971k CHF Total.
  • Upside: Given that Swiss capital gains on equities are 0%, compounding an 8% market return over a decade seems mathematically incredibly strong, plus it's 100% passive. It completely solves my burnout problem.

Option C: The Leverage Play (Cash-Out Refinance)

  • Keep the 2 rentals, increase the mortgage to extract 100k CHF cash. Combine with my 150k cash = 250k CHF to invest in the market.
  • Because of the higher mortgage debt, my net rental income drops from 15k to 7.5k CHF/year.
  • 10-Year Math: Market Growth (250k) + Reinvested Rent (7.5k/yr) + 100k Property Appreciation = ~949k CHF Total.
  • Upside: I get to keep the physical properties, my ROE goes up, and the extra mortgage interest is tax-deductible against my Swiss income.

My Dilemma & Questions:

  1. Are my baseline assumptions (8% market growth vs. 100k property appreciation over 10 years) realistic?
  2. Does the 0% tax on market gains and the "zero hours of work" make Option B (Sell All) the undisputed winner here?
  3. Or does the leverage and tax-deductibility of debt in Option C mathematically beat selling, making it worth enduring the real estate headache?

And the goal will be to retire fast abroad where i have no expense with household "benefit of also investing in real estate abroad" so living costs for the family without working we will need 3000€ net and will live a very good life.
So getting 5% in 1million will be already set for retirement living.

*Real scenario, but used AI to help write post to try to explain it to be understood by all.

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u/Guezpt — 18 days ago