Trump's Foreign Policy is Actually Good
First things first: Trump is the most corrupt president in history, and most of the people he's surrounded himself with are yes-men who are equally corrupt. Just the fact that he exempted himself and his family from ever being audited again is the most blatant, banana-republic stuff ever.
His domestic policy is also not exactly stellar so far. I will also not claim that everything Trump does is 5D chess. I don't think so at all.
BUT, his foreign policy is really good. Someone in the administration knows what they are doing.
The entire foreign policy under Trump 1 and now Trump 2 is geared towards weakening China. If you look at it from this point of view, everything makes sense.
The Tariffs: everyone knows that tariffs are bad. And the "liberation day" tariff justifications were ludicrous. They know they are hurting the US economy, but they also know that they are hurting China more. That's the point. It's a game attrition.
The Panama Canal: take a global chokepoint away from Chinese control. Excellent.
Greenland: focus on the arctic. Good. The Arctic will become a major trade route, and it is woefully under-utilized by the US. Greenland will become strategically more significant in the future, as another global trade chokepoint. Controlling it is vital.
Venezuela: take oil away from China and Cuba. Excellent.
Iran: restrict oil flows to China, and (hopefully) control another major choke point with Hormuz.
Europe: force Europe to re-arm and distance yourself from the Ukraine war. Good. For over 30 years there have been security conferences where the EU pledged to increase their NATO spending etc. It never happened. Until Trump comes along and stops playing nice. Suddenly, they all increase their defence spending. It goes to show that in Politics, you get nothing for free. You need to apply pressure and the levers you have available.
The outcome: China is significantly weakened. Their economy is reeling and they are unable to exert force or invade Taiwan. Their housing bubble has continued to collapse, erasing 20 years of investment savings from the Chinese public, which has killed consumption.
All of this has forced China to meet with Trump on unfavourable terms, and they agreed to purchase oil and gas from the US, making them dependent on the US.
Slowly, slowly the Chinese levers of power are being undermined, China is being systematically weakened, and the US is growing in strength.
There are of course many people who criticize the policy of this administration, but I think most of that criticism comes from a false assumption: the assumption that we are still living in the Unipolar World of the 90s and 2000s. We are not. The Liberal World Order has ended, and now we are back in a time of Realpolitik.