Polymarket +EV Sports bot with 3,000 predictions and $3M+ PnL in a month
Found this Polymarket account while looking through sports markets and thought it was pretty insane from an algo betting perspective:
https://polymarket.com/@labradfordsmith22
Roughly 3,000 predictions and $3M+ PnL in the past month.
Obviously I have no clue what the exact strategy is, but this does not look like a normal “guy picking games” account. At that kind of volume, it feels way more like some kind of systematic sports +EV bot / pricing model.
My guess is it’s doing some combination of:
- Comparing Polymarket prices to sportsbook fair value
- Finding stale or slow-moving sports lines
- Hammering spots where the market price is off by a few %
- Sizing across a massive number of small edges
- Possibly some market-making / liquidity capture
The interesting part to me is that prediction markets make sports betting way more bot-friendly than traditional books. You have visible market prices, order books, fills, and tons of small inefficiencies if you can compare them fast enough.
At enough volume, even a small edge becomes meaningful.
Seems really similar to what I am building over at https://monbot.io