u/Julien_Coordable

I keep seeing €17 per failed delivery cited everywhere: carrier decks, industry reports, consultant benchmarks. Nobody shows how they got there and if it's actually verified on the field.

I tried to build the model myself from first principles: driver time, fuel, route disruption on subsequent stops, customer support contact rate. Came out at €15.30 for urban B2C redelivery in Europe, which is close enough to the €17 to feel plausible.

But I'm building this theoretically. Curious whether anyone actually measures this operationally: does anyone track it? Per event, estimate it from aggregate data, or just use an industry benchmark and move on?

reddit.com
u/Julien_Coordable — 18 days ago
▲ 24 r/actuary

French home insurers use the PPRI (government flood risk maps) to classify properties. Get it wrong and you're either overcharging customers or underpricing risk. In high-risk zones, coverage can be refused altogether.

The classification comes from geocoding: convert the address to coordinates, query the PPRI database, get the risk zone. The system trusts whatever coordinates it gets.

We ran 300 addresses through BAN (France's official open-source geocoder) and Google Maps, focusing on addresses where the two disagreed by at least 50 metres. Then queried the PPRI API for both coordinate pairs.

14.5% of those addresses ended up in a different flood risk classification depending on which geocoder was used.

Three examples from the dataset:

Loire-Atlantique: 1,294m gap between BAN and Google. BAN puts it in a known flood zone, Google puts it outside.

https://preview.redd.it/ycw3odq5ybyg1.png?width=2440&format=png&auto=webp&s=4814373c93b293c9ab3c996081038e8e6e188df9

Vendée: 1,135m gap, opposite direction. BAN misses the flood zone, Google catches it.

https://preview.redd.it/olazzxo6ybyg1.png?width=2440&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4ec43a152a7dc9b04de50ad4e3c7807937c9bb1

Moselle: Three addresses on the same street, same ~1,880m divergence, all in the same direction. BAN in flood zone, Google outside, every time. That's the pattern that matters at scale. A single address with a bad geocode is noise. Three addresses with the same systematic divergence on a whole street suggests a structured data quality problem that recurs across every address in that zone.

https://preview.redd.it/6zb7ull7ybyg1.png?width=2440&format=png&auto=webp&s=da0d3f4055fa4bb011b35fe5bd5a8d959e626f8b

The useful signal: BAN returns a confidence score per address. Every reclassification in our sample came from an address scoring below 0.71. That's your audit filter.

Full write-up with methodology and maps: https://coordable.co/blog/geocoding-ppri-insurance-impact-2026/

Curious how others approach this. Do you run any kind of geocoding audit on your portfolio, or is address quality not something that typically shows up in underwriting workflows?

reddit.com
u/Julien_Coordable — 23 days ago