
I trained a free draft model on 6M+ Arena drafts (94.5% accuracy on top 3 picks)
Hi everyone,
NemeDraft is a free and open source draft overlay for MTG Arena. It's staying free. No ads, no telemetry, you retain all your data. I made it after reading a lot of research papers about MTG draft theory and I was surprised no similar tool existed for free (please correct me if I am wrong).
Behind it isn't ChatGPT, Claude, or Gemini looking at your pack and hallucinating. It's a specialized transformer I trained from scratch on Arena draft data: roughly 6 million platinum-or-higher picks for pre-training, then fine-tuned on around 400k picks from trophy decks only. It does one thing: rank the cards in your pack given your current pool and the archetypes still open.
The model isn't optimizing for average winrate. It's trying to pick what a trophy drafter would pick in your exact situation. Sometimes that's the card with the best raw stats/WR. Sometimes it's a worse card on paper that locks you into a coherent archetype. There is also a column in the UI showing the GIHWR from 17Lands. At the end of the draft, the overlay also hands you a 40-card decklist built from your pool.
Accuracy on SOS (Secrets of Strixhaven set):
- Top-1: 64.9% -> on ~2 out of 3 picks, the card the model ranked #1 was exactly the one the trophy drafter took.
- Top-3: 94.5% -> on ~19 out of 20 picks, the trophy pick was somewhere in the model's top three.
That second number is the one I actually care about, because it means the right pick is almost never hiding outside the top of the list.
The overlay is done and running in closed beta. I need more eyes on it before a wider release.
I'm specifically after:
- Gold or Platinum rank and above (Premier or Quick Draft)
- People who draft often, not once a month
- Testers who will actually report bugs and talk to me, not install it, draft one time, and vanish
If that sounds like you, DM me and I'll send a Discord invite.
The project: https://github.com/negaga53/nemedraft-client (open source)
Here is a demo of a EOE draft I did recently using the overlay: https://youtu.be/O98gK2GrwM0
By the way what do you think about the model picks and the recommended deck? I would be happy to discuss about it as well!
Thanks!