Steam Machine release prediction (Based on steam deck release)
For those who remember, this is starting to feel very similar to the Steam Deck leak cycle before Valve finally announced it.
With the Deck it started with:
- backend and codename leaks
- SteamDB references
- AMD handheld rumours
- manufacturing/shipping rumours
Then once media outlets started confidently reporting on it and Valve infrastructure started leaking publicly, the official announcement wasn’t far behind at all. Valve announced the Deck on July 15th 2021 and reservations opened basically immediately after.
Right now with Steam Machine we’ve got:
- reservation package IDs reportedly showing up in Steam’s backend
- public Steam Machine store page already live
- massive “game console” imports into US warehouses
- Valve having JUST stress-tested the updated reservation queue system with the new controller launch
Feels like we’ve moved beyond random rumours and into actual rollout prep.
I know this isn’t a steam deck and the machine has a lot more riding on it given that it’s going to be held against consoles like the PS5 - but with the controller hype and major media outlets talking about the steam machine, I doubt that Valve will let momentum plateau for long
My guess:
Announcement either May 26th or May 28th.
Reservations shortly after.
Shipping late summer if supply holds up