u/No_Gur2703

Is arbing prediction markets worth it?

Been limited on just about every book and I’m thinking of getting into prediction markets but I’m not sure if its even worth it. Why is it that with all the banning and limiting none of the massive companies dive into them? I think maybe because there isn’t as much activity as the centralized sportsbooks but the risk to reward seems way higher in my opinion, maybe I’m missing something. Maybe because they’re central limit order so the odds changing is based on users buying? Would be out of the company’s control but then again so are the lines changing on a sportsbook. Has anyone here tapped into the decentralized books? Would love to get opinions before putting money into the apps especially since a lot of them if not all of them deal in crypto which is pretty volatile.

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u/No_Gur2703 — 2 days ago

Best books for limiting

I’ve had success arbing over the past few years to the point I got affiliated with a start up software that pretty much fixed the things I didn’t love about the big guys and public companies. I won’t plug it because I don’t want my thread to get removed and I genuinely would love to have my questions answered (but if you want a free alternative without the unnecessary fluff feel free to dm me i’ll put you on)

I’ve been limited on just about every sportsbook multiple times. The company set up account health metrics to help get ahead of being limited, which actually works way better than I expected, but it’d be sick if they could take it to the next level because limiting is honestly what I find to be the biggest bottleneck in arbing and they’re obviously looking to dial in on it too.

Thinking about pitching prediction markets because I find they limit less, but I haven’t really done volume on the prediction markets. Less books, etc. Has anyone actually had any serious success arbing on the predictions markets? Is it worth it?

Also I wish there was a world we could arb with whole numbers like $30 or $40 rather than $38.52 even if the profit margins aren’t as aggressive. Also a huge tell. If anyone has any ideas on that front that would be unreaall

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u/No_Gur2703 — 3 days ago