Want to gather data to test the theory of blanket rejections for applications submitted in the first half of 2025.
Hello everyone,
In the last few days some shocking rejections were reported (people being under 10 years of residency by only 1 month, with good income and PR, etc.), and some scattered cases of approvals under 10 years have been reported as well. While comparing these cases reveals no particular pattern to figure out why these cases were approved or rejected, one theory still remains consistent: a lot of shocking rejections among solid applications submitted in the first half of 2025. I personally heard of at least 3 cases approved under 10 years (8 and even 7 years) that were submitted in the second half of 2025.
I suspect some blanket rejections might have happened, after which the policy was softened.
My theory is that when the guideline was announced, they rejected anyone under 10 years, even by 1 day, and since the MOJ was going through the applications in order, most rejected cases are those submitted earlier in 2025. Later, more discretionary approvals likely started happening for people who applied in the second half, and we now have approval precedents.
I would like to gather some data on this. So my suggestion is:
If someone applied between February and June 2025 and got approved, please inform us in this post. Please specify your application date, visa type, and residency duration.
Let's gather more evidence.
Mine:
Applied June 2025 (expecting a rejection based on this blanket rejection theory)
Residency duration: 8 years will be completed in September.
Gijinkoku visa, results pending.