u/Ok-Addendum9185

Back in 2009, Bitcoin had basically no monetary value.

The first exchange rate was set by New Liberty Standard. At that time, you could get around 1,309 BTC for just $1, which means 1 BTC was worth only about $0.00076.

Then came the famous Pizza Day in May 2010.

A developer spent 10,000 BTC to buy two pizzas worth about $41. That put Bitcoin at roughly $0.0041 per BTC. Looking back today, it's one of the craziest stories in crypto history.

If someone had bought just ₹100 (around $1.2) worth of Bitcoin in late 2009 and never touched it, that investment would be worth well over ₹1,300 crore at a $100,000 BTC price.

But I don't think people should expect those kinds of returns anymore.

A lot of people still believe Bitcoin can do another 1,000x or even 10,000x. Personally, I think that's close to impossible for a few reasons.

1. Market cap is already massive

When Bitcoin was tiny, it didn't take much money to move the price.

Today, at around $100k, Bitcoin's market cap is roughly $2 trillion. A 100x move from here would mean a $200 trillion market cap. That's bigger than gold, the US stock market, and a huge part of global wealth combined.

2. Every cycle has produced smaller returns

2011-2013: about 500x

2015-2017: about 100x

2018-2021: about 22x

2022-2025/26: roughly 6-7x

As Bitcoin gets bigger, explosive gains naturally become harder.

3. Institutions have changed the market

Early Bitcoin was mostly driven by retail traders.

Now we have BlackRock, Fidelity, and spot ETFs bringing in much deeper liquidity. That usually means smaller swings, both up and down.

4. Bitcoin has become a different asset

Years ago, Bitcoin felt like a high-risk experiment.

Today, many people see it more like digital gold or a long-term store of value than something that will make everyone 1,000x overnight.

I still think Bitcoin has room to grow.

I just think the days of turning a few dollars into life-changing wealth are probably behind us.

Curious how other people see it. Do you still think another 100x is realistic from 65k

I was long on Bitcoin and entered the trade before going to sleep because I had full conviction in my setup.

My planned stop loss was around ₹2,500, but I had around ₹9,000 of margin in that position. So if my stop loss worked, I'd lose about ₹2,500. If I got liquidated, I'd lose almost the entire margin.

That night Bitcoin printed one huge red candle. It went straight through my stop loss level, but somehow my position didn't close. The same candle kept dropping until it came within about 80 points of my liquidation price.

If price had moved just those extra 80 points, I would've lost around ₹9,000 instead of ₹2,500.

My stop loss was 2.5% but if that trade had been liquidated then I would have lost 9% of my capital.

I still don't know exactly why my stop loss didn't execute. Back then I was using Delta Exchange, so maybe it was something on the exchange side. I'm not sure.

I don't use Delta anymore, and I'm not trying to blame them. I just wanted to share this experience because it reminded me that even when you think your risk is fixed, execution can still surprise you.

I felt like posting something on Reddit and was not able to understand what I should post, then Ai told me to share some of my past experiences. That's why I have written this post.

Has anyone else experienced something similar?

In my 2 years in crypto, I've never actually been scammed. Not once. Closest I came was paying Onmeta for USDT and it not showing up in my wallet. Panicked a bit, figured this was it. Contacted their support and they sent it over pretty quick. Never felt like something shady was happening to me since.

So ask yourself honestly - has it already happened to you? Or is it happening right now and you just haven't realized it yet?

Because the real scam isn't some exchange being slow with a transaction. It's every account on social media telling you "join our group, we'll give you trading tips, you can make xx,xxx." These people are all lying. I've watched podcasts and read Reddit posts from people who joined groups like this. Been really bad for them. Same thing's running in memecoins now too.

People keep falling for it because everyone wants to get rich quick, so they follow the tips. End result is almost always a loss.

This market runs on red and green candles and that makes it way too easy to sell someone a dream. There's no shortcut here. You gotta learn this stuff yourself. Experience is the only thing that actually teaches you anything in this game.

Hello guy, I have been trading bitcoin for the last 2 years. But I am also doing a full time job. I am doing a full time job because I have no intention of creating my own YouTube channel to earn money as a side income, Because I am an introvert.

My plan isn't to become a billionaire with crypto. I just want to grow my trading capital by a few percent each month.

If you work a full-time job while trading, can you tell me how you manage your trading?

If we look at the liquidation map at 64,460, we can see that there could be a lot of liquidation there. Unless the price touches 64,460, we will not see any fluctuation on the chart. The price has already touched this level once but people are still sitting there after executing long trades. The chart will move when those traders are liquidated from the market.

Maine bahut se smart traders ko dekha hai jo social media par apna profit batate hai ki unhone kitna kamaya. Ab vo profit 4 digit (x,xxx) or 6 digit (xxx,xxx) bhi ho sakta hai but mujhe malum hai ki is virtual market me digit nahi balki percentage matter karte hai.

Aap ground level par dekho. Jab koi 2 partishat monthly byaj par kisi ko udhar deta hai ek saal ke liye to vah udhaar dene waala bahut khush hota. Kyoki usko malum hota hai ki year ke end tak uske paas uski investment ka 24% hoga. Ab yah 24% return 10,00,000 par bhi ho sakta hai or 10,000 par bhi. Lekin hame 10,000 par 24% yearly return attractive nahi lagta hai. Yah kaafi boring lagta hai. Isliye log trading me aate hai because yaha par 2% move to 2 hours me aa jata hai. Jab new traders market ne aata hai to FOMO apne sath lekar aata hai. Or usi instant 2% hourly or daily return ki expectation me vo trade karte hai. Dusri aur ek long term ki expectation rakhne wala 2-3% monthly return se bhi khush ho jata hai.

Simple bhasha me samajhna chaho to trading me yahi vo ek fark hai ek gambler or buisness karne waale ke bich me.

To kya hame trading se monthly 2-3% return ki expectation rakhni chahiye?

Main kahunga ye return nikalna tumhare haath me nahi hai. Market tumhe monthly 10% return bhi de sakta hai or 20% investment amount ka bhi apna paas rakh sakta hai. Yaani kisi month PnL -20% bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin thik hai yah market hi aisa hai.

Main to yahi kahunga ki market me numbers se jyada percentage par dhyan do. Bas yah ek new perspective tumhe market me 80% logo se aage pahucha sakta hai.