This season is so packed (4 LTGMs!) that SD is compensating by injecting additional cubes into everyone's climb through the Hyper Cube Rush event later this month.

I figured I'd chip in too: through Thursday's reset, the SnapComplete match overlay (normally premium) is free for everyone.

The overlay is a picture-in-picture that runs in your browser and floats over your game. It predicts your opponent's likely deck (or tracks your own if you prefer), shows their CL and SP, and flags whether they're a bot.

And if you want a full second screen, there's a live companion page.

snapcomplete.com

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^(^Posted ^with ^mod ^approval, ^thanks ^u/True_Lab2703.)

Quick follow-up to my post from earlier this week. Hulk was running Grand Arena at a 61% win rate, the best and most-played deck in the field. The mid-run OTA plucked away all its tech cards and flipped the board. The meta has basically settled since then, so I re-ran the 21x21 matrix on ~120k games since the patch. New answer below.

Deck	Win %	Play %
Thor	55.3	6.9
Doctor Doom	54.7	13.6
HERBIE	54.4	2.8
Iron Man	54.0	8.0
Hulk	52.6	11.4
Mole Man	51.0	3.9
Black Panther	50.7	8.0
Captain America	48.9	3.6
Ghost-Spider	48.4	8.7
Human Torch	47.9	4.8
Mister Fantastic	47.5	2.5
Invisible Woman	46.1	1.7
Thing	45.9	2.8
Sentinel	45.4	2.7
Carnage	45.3	4.3
Thanos	45.1	4.0
Weapon X	44.4	4.7
Magneto	42.7	1.4
Annihilus	41.6	1.2
Rocket	39.8	1.0
Ghostrider	36.1	2.0

Seven decks beat the field, and the top four (Thor, Doctor Doom, HERBIE, Iron Man) are the clear winners. HERBIE is the one that stands out: a top-four win rate on under 3% of the field. Ghost-Spider is the opposite, third most-played yet sitting underwater. And Hulk isn't dead, just dethroned.

With about a day left, if you're grinding your leftover tickets for cosmetics and aren't sick of the mode yet, anything above 50% is a safe pick and the top four are the strongest.

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Full 21x21 matchup matrix (post-OTA)

https://imgur.com/a/rrB40jn

Win % shift matchup matrix (pre-OTA vs post-OTA)

https://i.imgur.com/0lPd6to.png

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Live deck stats at SnapComplete

Hulk is both the best and the most-played deck right now: 60% win rate, top play count. With 5+ days left the field keeps tilting toward it, so the more interesting question isn't "what's best," it's: what beats Hulk and still does well into the rest of the field? I built the full 21x21 matchup matrix from 110k+ tracked games and "solved" it.

So what beats Hulk?

So far, it's Mole Man. 55% into Hulk, 53% overall. One of only two decks that beat Hulk head-to-head (Thor is the other at 52%), and the 53% overall means it isn't just a Hulk counter, it stays above 50% against the rest of the field too.

The trap is chasing the leaderboard, because the 2nd and 3rd best decks overall fold to Hulk specifically. Doctor Doom is 58% overall but only 45% into Hulk. Iron Man is 50% overall but only 36% into Hulk. So as the field tilts to Hulk, their real win rates sink with it. Mole Man is the opposite, it gets better as Hulk gets more popular.

The game theory bit

Because the deck pool is fixed, this is basically a 21-dimensional rock-paper-scissors and is solvable with Nash equilibrium (game theory stuff). The math even sequences it for you: you don't pick up Mole Man until enough of the field is on Hulk, then Mole Man over-saturates, its own counter spikes, and the best answer shifts again. Eventually the field collapses to 4-5 survivors: Hulk, Thor, Doctor Doom, Mole Man, and Thing.

It's already happening

Over the last 6 hours vs the event average, Hulk has climbed from 24% to 29% of the field and Mole Man (the counter) from 3.8% to 5.2%, while the decks that fold to Hulk bleed out fastest: Iron Man 6.5% down to 4.4%, Ghost-Spider 6.9% down to 4.3%. Hulk swells, its counter rises to meet it, the decks that lose to Hulk go first. Exactly what the matrix called.

It won't actually get there, though. People don't play optimally, and SD already said they're "looking at some mid-run updates," so tomorrow's OTA should at least shake things up.

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Full 21x21 matchup matrix

https://imgur.com/a/36jDEnE

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Live deck stats at SnapComplete

Hey r/MarvelSnap,

The new split re-roll patch shipped with a bug that breaks duplicate protection on re-rolls, so you can get a finish/flare combo you already owned on that card. It's a known bug, and Second Dinner is reportedly compensating players who open a ticket about it. The painful part is that checking which of your splits got duped is a manual slog, and it only compounds the more you've re-rolled since the patch.

So I added a free checker to SnapComplete.

Sync your collection and it scans your split history for any combo that landed twice on the same card, then lists each one with dates. If it finds any, it pre-fills a Second Dinner ticket with your Snap ID and the affected splits, so you just add your email and send.

The Golden Gauntlet Worlds Qualifier 2 starts today, and every registered deck is now browsable on SnapComplete. A few things that jumped out while loading the data:

-96% of the field brought a one-of-a-kind list (747 of the 781 decks).

-Only 34 lists have two or more players on them. The most popular list (a Surfer deck) has 12 players running it.

-41% of the field brought Shadow King or Cosmo, and 8.7% are running both.

-19% of the field brought zero of the top 10 most-played cards.

HOW EXPENSIVE ARE THESE DECKS?

For those who don't know: the winning deck gets turned into a themed pack later this season. So if you're missing a lot of cards, you want an expensive list to take the whole thing.

Counting Series 5 at 6,000 tokens and Series 4 at 3,000, the median deck here costs 30,000 tokens worth of Series 4/5 cards. The average list runs about 6 of them.

The single most expensive list in the field is a Thanos deck running 11 Series 5 cards plus a Series 4: 69,000 tokens. At the other end, 4 players are running decks built entirely from Series 1 and 2 cards.

Token cost (S4/S5 cards)	Decks	% of field
0 (pure Series 1-3)	23	2.9%
3,000 - 12,000	100	13%
15,000 - 24,000	170	22%
27,000 - 36,000	251	32%
39,000 - 48,000	174	22%
51,000+	63	8.1%

SEE THE DECKS

Most common lists: https://i.imgur.com/hJvgMXL.png

View them all here: https://snapcomplete.com/play/decks/golden-gauntlet

-Sort by # of players, battle winrate, battles played, or deck cost

-Filter by specific cards (has or missing) or search

-Tap the player names on any deck to see each player's W-L

-Copy button grabs the deck code if you want to try a list yourself

SEE THE META

Most common cards across all decks: https://i.imgur.com/f6Sv3gw.png

View it here: https://snapcomplete.com/play/meta/golden-gauntlet

-Sort by # of decks or battle winrate

-Filter by energy cost or ability, or search for a card

-Tap any card to see every Gauntlet deck that includes it

And here are the 10 misfits, the cards that didn't make it into a single deck: https://i.imgur.com/Do9y5yi.png

Win-loss records show as "--" right now, since nothing has been played yet. My plan is to add them in after the event wraps, assuming the results data gets shared publicly. If it does, you'll be able to see which of these 781 lists actually delivered.

Good luck to everyone playing this weekend!