u/chrismfcraft

Spent a weekend comparing 127 north Texas electricity plans so you don't have to — here's what I found

Spent a weekend comparing 127 north Texas electricity plans so you don't have to — here's what I found

I just went through the full Power to Choose export for north Texas and compared every plan mathematically against my actual 12 months of usage history. Figured I'd share since this question comes up constantly here.

The short version: After adjusting for hidden fees and real-world usage levels, Energy Texas No Bull 12 is the best value 12-month fixed plan I found for most north Texas households. Their current rate works out to about 12.7¢/kWh at 1,000 kWh — the current north Texas market average across all providers is 15.38¢. That's a meaningful difference on every single bill.

What I looked at and ruled out:

The "bundle" plans from Tara Energy, Amigo, and Just Energy (Sustainable Home Bundle, Sustainable Lifestyle, etc.) look cheapest on Power to Choose but hide a mandatory $49.99 GoodBundle setup fee inside the averaged rate. Add that back and they're worse than Energy Texas.

Min-usage credit plans like "Texas Two-K" that offer bill credits for using 2,000+ kWh/month are a trap unless you're actually hitting that threshold. Most households don't, so the credit is effectively phantom pricing.

Free nights plans (Chariot Bright Nights) only beat a flat rate if you can shift 45%+ of your usage to the 11pm–6am window. For a typical household without an EV that's not realistic.

Smart thermostat situation: if you have a Nest, there's not much in this market for you right now — Octopus has a $25 one-time Rush Hour Rewards credit and that's about it. If you have or are planning to get an Amazon or Honeywell smart thermostat though, Energy Texas gives you $5 off your bill every single month just for having it connected. That's $60/year on top of an already competitive rate, and it stacks with the autopay and paperless credits already baked into the plan price.

With LNG markets still tight from the Iran conflict and ERCOT demand growing fast from data centers and industrial load, locking in a rate now at 12.7¢ looks a lot smarter than waiting and hoping rates stay flat. The industry forecast is rates up roughly 29% by 2030.

Disclosure: Energy Texas has a refer-a-friend program — we both get $100 bill credit. If this was useful and you want to use my link: https://energytexas.com/raf?referralCode=Y75sd5SIfF

No pressure at all. The plan info stands regardless, just being upfront about it.

u/chrismfcraft — 6 days ago