3.45 variable vs. 3.69 fixed
I know this might sound like a no-brainer to go with fixed but historically variable mortgages always saved me money so I would appreciate some grounded advice here:
TD gave me an early renewal offer for my mortgage:
3.45 - 5 year variable
25 year amortization
No cashback, no points
RBC gave me the two offers below:
3.69 - 3 year fixed OR 3.55 - 5 year variable
25 or 30 year amortization
$1,500 cashback + 55,000 Avion points
Now I am trying to decide between the TD variable vs RBC fixed offer. There is a case to be made for the variable option because it has always saved me money in the past and I am not as pessimistic about the short term economic outlook. On the other hand, I do appreciate a lower monthly payment that comes with the RBC fixed offer at 30 year amortization and invest the savings into S&P 500 to make more money. Which one would you pick and why?