u/funnumerouno

Looking for a sanity check on a solar+battery quote before I sign. First time doing this, so brutal honesty welcome.

Location: Union City, CA 94587 (East Bay). PG&E delivery, Ava Community Energy (CCA) for generation. On the EV2A rate plan.

System:

- 6.9kW DC / 15x REC Alpha Pure-R 460W panels

- Enphase IQ8X-80 microinverters (1:1)

- Enphase IQ Battery 10C, 10kWh usable, energy arbitrage mode

- Extra: tile roof mounting ($345), "Essentials" backup panel ($2,500)

Pricing:

- List price: $36,148

- Discounts: -$345 ("6kW Group") + -$13,689 ("Propel" program) = -$14,034

- Net cost: $22,114 (possibly $21000 if I sign before a stated deadline)

Projected numbers (per their proposal):

- Year 1 production: 9,681 kWh (~102% of usage)

- Avg monthly savings: $248.56

- Payback: 6.8 years, 15.91% annual ROI

Why I'm skeptical of their projected numbers:

Pulled my real bill: 77% of my usage is off-peak at $0.318/kWh, but peak (4-9pm) is $0.716/kWh and part-peak is $0.561/kWh. My actual trailing-12-month average bill is ~$225/mo, and even the last 6 months average ~$233/mo

Questions:

1. Is $22,114 (6.9kW + 10kWh Enphase + extras) a fair Bay Area price right now?

2. Anyone dealt with a "Propel" style discount program or similar large list-to-net markdown — normal?

3. Enphase IQ Battery 10C vs. other options at this price point (Tesla Powerwall 3, FranklinWH, etc.) for someone on EV2A with a wide peak/off-peak spread — worth the swap?

4. Does this look reasonable enough to move forward?

5. What happens if something happens to the panels act of god or something similar (from an insurance perspective - home insurances covers it

Happy to share more details if useful. Thanks in advance.

My dealer has a special on bridgestone alenza prestige.

Wondering whether to go for it for Goodyear MaxLife Assurance.

I see Michelin CC2 is quite popular.

I am looking at durability and Bridgestone and Goodyear have a good warranty.

Appreciate thoughts.

P.S. Location: California

Hey guys, I am in a dilemma and wanted to pick your brains. My 2024 lease is coming to an end in the next month. The buyout, if I have to get my current car, including taxes, fees, and all of that, is 47,000 for a Land.

Now I have a couple of dealers who've been offering a new EV Land 2026 lease for 570 a month with 4k down and that is an option. I have also been exploring the Ionic 9 Performance Limited model, which is slightly on par with EV9 Land, and that comes to also 4k down but around 500 all in.

Curious what someone would do in my shoes. The second-hand price for 2024 EV9 Land is around 45k so the buyout seems to be on par. thank you.

Edit: what I am unsure is whether 2024 EV9 land will be worth 30k after 24 today it is 45k

Lease coming to end. Have 16k miles on it with a residual of $40k

Confused whether to buy out or get the new Tesla model Y L.

Definitely need a 6 seater.

Curious if anyone in the same boat.