Lihat postingan lewat di instagram ada yang bilang nasdaq 100 akan drawdown parah sampai 19200, menurut komidos sekalian akankah terjadi atau cuma fear mongering?
Ada yang ngalamin juga? Chart performance ibkr hari ini tiba-tiba ada drawdown seperti ini, baik di mobile atau di web nya. Tp kalau di cek portofolio unrealized P&L normal aja, nggk ada porto yg lagi drawdown dalam.
The numbers are in, and it’s a gut punch for the bulls. Headline CPI surged to 3.8% YoY (up from 3.3% last month), while Core CPI sticky at 2.7%.
This pretty much kills the "early pivot" narrative. With inflation trending the wrong way, the Fed is backed into a corner. We are likely looking at "Higher for Longer" or, in the worst-case scenario, the market starting to price in another hike if energy prices don't cool down.
The contagion is already spreading. The LSE (London Stock Exchange) opened in the red, and US Pre-market futures are currently bleeding as the market reprices the risk.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on a few things:
• Duration: Is this a one-day "inflation tantrum," or the start of a multi-week bearish trend?
• Drawdown: How much of a haircut are we expecting for the S&P 500 (VOO/IVV) and Tech (QQQ)? Are we looking at a standard 5% correction, or something closer to a 10-15% drawdown given how overextended valuations were?
• Moves: Are you sitting on hands, or is it time to move into defensive positions/cash?