r/BeatTheStreak

Scriptball week 9

SCRIPTBALL 2026 Week 9

Friday May 22

Picks: 10

Alternates: Post as many as you like.
What is SCRIPTBALL?

SCRIPTBALL is a chance to see how your BTS picking strategy fares against others in the subreddit. Every Friday we post our top BTS picks for that day according to our own picking strategy in this weekly SCRIPTBALL thread. Whoever gets the most players with a hit wins, with ties resolved by total hits (first tie-breaker) and total batting average (second tie-breaker). We also keep a running season leaderboard, which will give you a better idea of how well your picking strategy is doing over a larger (more meaningful) sample size.

How do I play?

Although we call it SCRIPTBALL, you don't need to be running a fancy computer algorithm to play. Everyone is welcome.

To play, just post a list of the top 10 players you think will get a hit today in this thread. Feel free to change your list at any time, but you can only swap players as long as neither game has started yet (so if you realize one of your picks isn't starting after the game has started, don't sweat it, just swap them for someone from a later game). If you do change your list, please indicate the change by posting reply to your original list saying the change that was made (e.g. "I replaced Altuve with Ohtani").

Alternates will be automatically swapped in if a player you chose isn't in the starting lineup. For clarity, this means if your chosen player isn't starting but comes in for a PH and gets a hit, he'll still be swapped out. This is more work for me but it also lets you get your picks in sooner.

Congrats Deep Slice for getting 9 last week! Marte, Betts and Rutschman were just a few who went 0 for 5. Every Cubs starter hit. If anyone picks Guerrero again, I'm not even going to count it. Sorry!

Good luck all!

user W hitters pix success pick % hits AB avg
msteeks 3 52 70 74% 77 269 .286
oh wow vegas 2 57 80 71% 87 317 .274
OK resolution 1 48 80 60% 74 314 .236
Go for broke 1 50 70 71% 83 268 .310
deep slice 1 47 60 78% 77 242 .318
quollas 52 80 65% 76 307 .248
amattcat 38 60 63% 65 235 .277
sufficient ad 36 50 72% 51 205 .249
sgt swag 49 70 70% 81 286 .282
after eye 22 30 73% 35 128 .273
boilers 21 30 70% 34 120 .283
train wreck 32 49 65% 49 197 .249
moist master 15 20 75% 28 76 .368
young buck 7 10 70% 9 32 .281
lokikg 7 10 70% 13 42 .310
reddit.com
u/quollas — 1 day ago

Observations

Unscientific observations from the first quarter of the season.

  1. Hot hitters > Cold pitchers

Picking 10 at a time with quollas' scriptball made me realize that hitters that don't walk / strikeout a lot and have 9+ hits in the past week outperform "pretty good" hitters going up against a high whip / high era pitcher.

  1. Leaderboard swings

The top 10 list varies. Some weeks, there's hardly any picks day to day. Others you'll see half the top ten whiped out for the same player. I like the marathon mentality, but I also get impatient and want to see some action.

I know there are a lot of models, scripts, and calculations out there. Sometimes you trust the farmer instead of the meteorologist when bad weather is expected. What have you found?

reddit.com
u/msteeks27 — 2 days ago

Scriptball week 8

SCRIPTBALL 2026 Week 8

Friday May 15

Picks: 10

Alternates: Post as many as you like.
What is SCRIPTBALL?

SCRIPTBALL is a chance to see how your BTS picking strategy fares against others in the subreddit. Every Friday we post our top BTS picks for that day according to our own picking strategy in this weekly SCRIPTBALL thread. Whoever gets the most players with a hit wins, with ties resolved by total hits (first tie-breaker) and total batting average (second tie-breaker). We also keep a running season leaderboard, which will give you a better idea of how well your picking strategy is doing over a larger (more meaningful) sample size.

How do I play?

Although we call it SCRIPTBALL, you don't need to be running a fancy computer algorithm to play. Everyone is welcome.

To play, just post a list of the top 10 players you think will get a hit today in this thread. Feel free to change your list at any time, but you can only swap players as long as neither game has started yet (so if you realize one of your picks isn't starting after the game has started, don't sweat it, just swap them for someone from a later game). If you do change your list, please indicate the change by posting reply to your original list saying the change that was made (e.g. "I replaced Altuve with Ohtani").

Alternates will be automatically swapped in if a player you chose isn't in the starting lineup. For clarity, this means if your chosen player isn't starting but comes in for a PH and gets a hit, he'll still be swapped out. This is more work for me but it also lets you get your picks in sooner.

Congrats msteeks for winning the double tie breaker last week by just one AB! The Padres got one hit, Trea Turner went 0 for 6 and Hoerner, Wood, Albies and Raleigh went 0 for 5. Guerrero killed us again.

Good luck all!

user W hitters pix success pick % hits AB avg
msteeks 3 46 60 77% 70 230 .304
oh wow vegas 2 51 70 73% 77 279 .276
OK resolution 1 43 70 61% 68 270 .252
Go for broke 1 42 60 70% 69 233 .296
deep slice 38 50 76% 59 198 .298
quollas 44 70 63% 65 268 .243
amattcat 38 60 63% 65 235 .277
sufficient ad 36 50 72% 51 205 .249
sgt swag 42 60 70% 67 244 .275
after eye 22 30 73% 35 128 .273
boilers 21 30 70% 34 120 .283
train wreck 26 39 67% 38 151 .252
moist master 15 20 75% 28 76 .368
young buck 7 10 70% 9 32 .281
lokikg 7 10 70% 13 42 .310
reddit.com
u/quollas — 8 days ago

End of quarter one check-in!

We're officially one fourth of the way through the baseball season based on number of days, more if you go by number of games.

So let's take a moment to talk about what strategies have and haven't worked so far, any struggles you have faced, or ideas for the future. Happy picking, and good luck!

reddit.com
u/Ok_Resolution_7500 — 13 days ago

TOP 12 1+ HIT HIGHEST IMPLIED PROBABILITY

TOP 10 MLB 1+ HIT HIGHEST IMPLIED PROBABILITY

Updated: 2026-05-10 11:36 AM

====================================

Blocked Books: MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag

Minimum Books Required: 2

Props Found: 1004

Players Remaining: 263
-

  1. Bo Bichette (-480)

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Most Negative Odds: -480 at BetRivers

Consensus Odds: -425

Implied Probability: 82.8%

Available Books (3):

BetRivers: -480 (82.8%)

FanDuel: -425 (81.0%)

DraftKings: -380 (79.2%)

-

  1. Trea Turner (-420)

Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies

Most Negative Odds: -420 at BetRivers

Consensus Odds: -362

Implied Probability: 80.8%

Available Books (4):

BetRivers: -420 (80.8%)

DraftKings: -374 (78.9%)

FanDuel: -340 (77.3%)

BetMGM: -325 (76.5%)

-

  1. Otto Lopez (-400)

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins

Most Negative Odds: -400 at BetRivers

Consensus Odds: -338

Implied Probability: 80.0%

Available Books (4):

BetRivers: -400 (80.0%)

DraftKings: -369 (78.7%)

FanDuel: -300 (75.0%)

BetMGM: -300 (75.0%)

-

  1. Bobby Witt Jr. (-370)

Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals

Most Negative Odds: -370 at FanDuel

Consensus Odds: -332

Implied Probability: 78.7%

Available Books (4):

FanDuel: -370 (78.7%)

BetRivers: -345 (77.5%)

DraftKings: -326 (76.5%)

BetMGM: -295 (74.7%)

-

  1. Luis Arraez (-350)

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants

Most Negative Odds: -350 at FanDuel

Consensus Odds: -329

Implied Probability: 77.8%

Available Books (4):

FanDuel: -350 (77.8%)

DraftKings: -336 (77.1%)

BetRivers: -335 (77.0%)

BetMGM: -300 (75.0%)

-

  1. Gunnar Henderson (-345)

Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles

Most Negative Odds: -345 at BetRivers

Consensus Odds: -300

Implied Probability: 77.5%

Available Books (4):

BetRivers: -345 (77.5%)

DraftKings: -297 (74.8%)

BetMGM: -295 (74.7%)

FanDuel: -270 (73.0%)

-

  1. Chandler Simpson (-338)

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

Most Negative Odds: -338 at DraftKings

Consensus Odds: -329

Implied Probability: 77.2%

Available Books (4):

DraftKings: -338 (77.2%)

BetRivers: -335 (77.0%)

BetMGM: -325 (76.5%)

FanDuel: -320 (76.2%)

-

  1. Shea Langeliers (-335)

Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles

Most Negative Odds: -335 at BetRivers

Consensus Odds: -304

Implied Probability: 77.0%

Available Books (4):

BetRivers: -335 (77.0%)

DraftKings: -323 (76.4%)

FanDuel: -320 (76.2%)

BetMGM: -250 (71.4%)

-

  1. Bryce Harper (-335)

Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies

Most Negative Odds: -335 at BetRivers

Consensus Odds: -298

Implied Probability: 77.0%

Available Books (4):

BetRivers: -335 (77.0%)

BetMGM: -295 (74.7%)

DraftKings: -286 (74.1%)

FanDuel: -280 (73.7%)

-

  1. Nico Hoerner (-335)

Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers

Most Negative Odds: -335 at BetRivers

Consensus Odds: -285

Implied Probability: 77.0%

Available Books (4):

BetRivers: -335 (77.0%)

DraftKings: -293 (74.6%)

FanDuel: -290 (74.4%)

BetMGM: -235 (70.1%)

-

  1. Mauricio Dubon (-330)

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Most Negative Odds: -330 at FanDuel

Consensus Odds: -263

Implied Probability: 76.7%

Available Books (4):

FanDuel: -330 (76.7%)

DraftKings: -275 (73.3%)

BetRivers: -240 (70.6%)

BetMGM: -225 (69.2%)

-

  1. Ozzie Albies (-330)

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Most Negative Odds: -330 at FanDuel

Consensus Odds: -315

Implied Probability: 76.7%

Available Books (4):

FanDuel: -330 (76.7%)

DraftKings: -325 (76.5%)

BetRivers: -305 (75.3%)

BetMGM: -300 (75.0%)

reddit.com
u/withoutspace_co — 12 days ago