Hi, I've been betting on football props for a while and was wondering if anyone have got any gems when it comes to football statistics - would perfect in time for the world cup!
Most people who followed $CYDY remember March 30, 2021. The FDA publicly stated that CytoDyn's claims about leronlimab were "misleading and not supported by the data", no benefit was shown in COVID-19 treatment trials. The stock dropped 25%+ that day.
What happened afterward was a class action lawsuit covering investors who held $CYDY between March 27, 2020 and March 30, 2022.
A $500,000 settlement has been reached and terms are now submitted to the court for approval.
Who qualifies?
Anyone who held $CYDY during the class period and suffered losses from the alleged misrepresentations about leronlimab's effectiveness for HIV and COVID-19.
Can I still apply?
Yes, you can submit your application now and it will be processed once claims filing officially opens after court approval.
If you were damaged by this don't forget to check your eligibility. GL!
Placing bets on prediction markets makes more sense because you’re not getting fvcked by juice every single play. I’ve been using novig for like 5 months now and a win actually feels like a win, no hidden tax on every line. The p2p setup just feels way better long term than regular books taking a cut no matter what.
Greetings-
I'll be posting some selections in the next few days from an app I developed. First I wanted to share some features and I welcome your thoughts.
TrackIQ is a real-time horse racing handicapping intelligence platform that I believe stands apart from existing AI tools like Equinedge. Here's why:
• **Trainer IQ Weighting** — Proprietary trainer performance scores built from actual meet results, not generic stats. Every race is filtered through track-specific trainer tendencies.
• **Multi-Variable TIQ Scoring** — Each horse receives a composite score blending trainer IQ (30%), recency (20%), consistency (25%), class fit (15%), and market value (10%) — all recalibrated against live past performance data.
• **Monte Carlo Simulation Engine** — 5,000 simulated race outcomes per race, blending morning-line implied probabilities with TIQ scores to project realistic win%, place%, and show% for every runner — plus projected Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta payouts.
• **Multi-Track Architecture** — Built to support simultaneous analysis across AQU,MNR, PRX, CT, LRL, MTH, and more — not locked to a single circuit.
• **Transparent Logic, Not a Black Box** — Unlike purely algorithmic tools, every TIQ score is explainable. Handicappers see exactly why a horse ranks where it does.
• **Proven on Live Cards** — The system has been validated against four consecutive Aqueduct race cards with documented IQ hit rates and upset identification.
I'll try to pot some of the selections over the weekend.
Mike
Limits
Bankroll management
P2s
Sportsbooks
Software
Getting started
Mistakes to avoid
Whatever else
I also want to address a few recent comments I’ve seen in this sub and be fully transparent.
Yes, I help the guys at Gambit Odds. And yes, if someone asks me what software I use, I’m probably going to recommend Gambit. That said, I’ve tried basically everything out there, and I’m also happy to talk about other tools if people ask. I want to be clear ask anything you want and ill answer it. I've been live arbing for 4 years full time and I will try to give the best guidence I can regardless of topic.
Hopefully people are cool with that tradeoff: I’ll give away as much useful info as I can, and I’ll be upfront when I’m recommending something I’m involved with.
Bet99 is extremely soft but they limit fast. Does anybody know if there are other sportsbooks that are using the same odds?
This feels like a spot where the Knicks are the right favorite, but the number may be too high.
New York is coming in hot:
Knicks are 7-3 over their last 10
Sixers are 7-3 over their last 10
Both teams are on 3-game winning streaks
Knicks are allowing only 101.8 PPG
Sixers are allowing 104.3 PPG
Knicks have 4 days of rest
Sixers have only 2 days of rest after a Game 7
That rest edge is real for New York, but the spread still feels a little inflated.
Why Philadelphia can keep this close
The Sixers have been strong on the road, going 4-1 away from home recently. They also just came back from a 3-1 deficit against Boston and won Game 7 on the road, so this is not a team that should be treated like a normal underdog.
The head-to-head history also matters. Philadelphia has had success against New York this season, and the road team has been very live in this matchup.
Why the Knicks are favored
New York deserves respect. They closed their last series with a huge blowout win and have been defending at an elite level. If the Sixers come out tired after the Boston series, the Knicks can absolutely pull away.
The biggest swing factor is Embiid. If he is limited with the hip issue, the Sixers’ cover case gets weaker fast.
Market read
The line moved from -6.5 to -7.5, showing sharp money on New York. The Knicks moneyline also shortened, so the market clearly respects them at home.
But at +7.5, Philadelphia has enough cushion if Embiid is active and moving well.
My read
Knicks probably win, but the spread feels a bit too stretched for a Sixers team that has been strong on the road and battle-tested.
Lean: 76ers +7.5
The Sixers moneyline is interesting at a big plus number, but taking the points is the cleaner angle.
The key question is whether Philly’s Game 7 fatigue shows up late, or if Embiid and Maxey keep this within range.
[ Removed by Reddit on account of violating the content policy. ]
Y’all know what name this sport betting app tool is?
this is for the people who want to take matched and arb betting to the next level. Don't skip the chance to upgrade the way you bet
built a bot that will do all the leg work for you. haha
try out layedge .io
Since it’s all sharps I hypothesize that for ev you have to set your own lines. Is that the general consensus? Thanks.
Are there any EV services that support NEO Bet as a bookmaker, I cannot find a service that supports that particular boomaker.
Been doing this for years now and liquidity is never an issue so thought I share some sauce here how me and my friends have been able to "tail" boosted odds on exchanges.
Let's take an example, when Arsenal played Atletico Madrid at home bookies boosted him to have a shot on target to @ 2.0 , because bigger groups or syndicates tail these bets on multiple accounts and want to manage risk they lay the same bet on exchanges, so if it's boosted to @ 2.0 they lay the bet at around 1.75-1.80 on exchanges to guarantee 10%+ profit.
This opens up an opportunity to bet Saka SOT 1.75-1.80 on Exchanges, usually the true odds is much lower on these boosts. But to be sure and find the correct odds for players shots on target we use propsdata or similar.
We found that the correct odds should be around 1.50 and could therefore thanks to the boost and larger syndicates hedging out their positions bet a +EV bet on exchanges for pretty much unlimited stake. For this bet we got down 5k+ GBP without any trouble.
Have anyone else done something similar?
Hi Everyone!
Writing here since there's been a lot of similar tools out there for NBA and other sports but never for soccer, so me and my friends created propsdata(.)io. It's a sight for statistics on smaller soccer markets like shots, shots on target, fouls, offsides, corners and so on, also player shots, player fouls and the list is pretty much endless on what kind of props the bookies offer nowadays.
And since no sharp bookie like Pinnacle offers soccer props, there's a lot of edge to be found and usually still very high limits on the softbookies on matchdays. For leagues like the NBA, MLB and NHL Pinnacle also offers props so then there's much harder to actually find an edge but with a tool like propsdata we've been able to maintain a +20% ROI over close to 1000 bets now.
Usually people would need to only tail bookie deficiencies to win long term but betting on soccer props it's actually possible with your own research and some simple mathematical models.
Looking forward to the World Cup, it will be absolutely huge for betting!
This matchup is a lot tighter than the surface-level records make it look.
Buffalo comes in 6-4 over its last 10 games and Montréal is 5-5, but the more important split here is where the game is being played and how these teams have actually performed in this matchup recently.
Recent trends:
• Buffalo home record last 10: 2-3
• Buffalo away record last 10: 4-1
• Montréal away record last 10: 3-2
• Buffalo averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.7 allowed
• Montréal averaging 2.7 goals scored and only 2.2 allowed
• Season series: Buffalo leads 2-1
The biggest edge in this game is the projected goalie matchup.
Projected starters:
• Jakub Dobes (MTL): 2.22 GAA, .914 SV%
• Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF): 3.37 GAA, .873 SV%
That is a massive difference statistically.
Dobes has been one of the stronger goaltenders in this dataset, while Luukkonen’s numbers are well below league-average territory. Even with the smaller sample size on Luukkonen, the gap is large enough that the model heavily weights it.
That lines up with Montréal’s overall defensive profile too. The Canadiens are allowing only 2.2 goals per game recently, which is the best defensive number in this matchup.
The recent series history is also important because it shows how volatile these games have been:
• May 12: Buffalo won 3-2
• May 10: Montréal won 6-2
• May 8: Montréal won 5-1 in Buffalo
• May 6: Buffalo won 4-2
There is a clear pattern there:
When Buffalo wins, the games tend to stay tighter.
When Montréal wins, they have been winning comfortably.
That matters for a puck line sitting at Buffalo -1.5.
Buffalo being favored by multiple goals becomes difficult to justify when:
• they are only 2-3 at home recently
• Montréal already won 5-1 in this building
• Buffalo’s most recent win over Montréal was only 3-2
• and the projected goalie matchup strongly favors Montréal
The market reflects some of that uncertainty too.
Buffalo ML sitting around -122 implies only a modest edge, while Montréal around +102 is basically pricing this game close to a coin flip despite Buffalo laying -1.5 on the puck line.
The EV board is interesting here:
• Spread EV: +31.63%
• Total EV: -18.62%
• Buffalo ML EV: -3.56%
• Montréal ML EV: -5.06%
That tells you the cleanest mathematical angle is the spread, not the moneyline or total.
The total is especially tricky because recent games have ranged from tight defensive battles to explosive scoring swings. The model does not see enough consistency there to justify forcing an over or under.
Player-wise, Montréal’s offensive depth matters in this matchup too.
Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, Juraj Slafkovský, Ivan Demidov, and Patrik Laine give Montréal enough firepower to capitalize if Buffalo’s goaltending struggles continue. On the Buffalo side, a lot depends on whether Luukkonen can stabilize the game early and whether Buffalo can create separation at even strength instead of relying on late-game pressure.
The biggest question is simple:
Can Buffalo finally dominate this matchup at home, or does Montréal’s goalie advantage and defensive structure keep this within one goal again?
Lean: Montréal +1.5
Best EV angle: Montréal +1.5 (+31.63% EV)