r/EVbetting

First TD scorer is one of the most fun NFL markets even if it is a complete sweat every time. You can look at red zone usage, opening drive tendencies, snap share, target share, matchup stuff, all of it. Then some random tight end or fullback ends up cashing it on the opening drive and everyone just stares at their slip. The only way I really like playing it is when there is a boost or a clear price difference across books. Like bet99 has a 40% boost on NFL first touchdown scorers right now and that is the type of promo that can actually make this market interesting from an EV angle. Obviously a boost does not make something good. If the base price is bad then the boost can just be dressing up a weak number. But if the boosted price beats the rest of the market, on guys with real red zone usage, then it at least becomes worth looking at. I still think the hardest part is deciding between the obvious red zone guy and the longer shot who might get scripted early. The star RB always feels safest until the team throws a play action pass to the backup TE from the 2 yard line. How do you guys usually price first TD boosts? Just compare to market after the boost, or are you building your own probabilities for this stuff?

I'm not going to tell you ours is the best. We built it, so I'm biased. Here's the list I check any +EV tool against. Each item is a mistake we made building ours.

1. Does it show the fair line and the math behind it, on the row? If the EV number appears with no fair price next to it, you're betting blindly.
2. Does it devig with more than one method and show where they disagree? Power, Shin, multiplicative and worst-case split hardest on longshots. A tool that uses one method and hides the spread is overstating edge on exactly the bets that look juiciest.
3. Does the fair come from sharp books, or from a crowd of soft books agreeing with each other? Three recreational books copying one another is one opinion, not three.
4. Does it know how old the price is, not how old its read is? One book's public endpoint is cached for 15 minutes. A tool can fetch it every second and still be pricing a line nobody can bet. That one put fake rows at 60 percent EV on our board before we caught it.
5. On exchanges, does it net the fee? A price on Novig, ProphetX or Kalshi that beats fair by 2 percent before the fee can be negative after it.
6. Does it keep a record it can't edit, with the losses showing? Not a highlight reel. Every flagged row, logged by a machine, graded against the close.
7. Can you change the settings? The tools I used before locked the filters. If you can't pick your books, your devig method or your EV floor, you can't test anything. You're betting someone else's opinion.
8. What does it cost, and what does it sell? If it takes a card, holds money, or sells picks, the edge it shows you is not its only product.

The one we built against that list is OddsFloor. It reads 55+ sportsbooks and exchanges, with Novig and ProphetX on the same board as the books. Six devig methods, spread shown. Fees netted. A public record the page can't clean up. Start with our default filter or build your own, track your own bets, and test what works for you. What it doesn't have: player projections, simulators, an API, a mobile app.

It's an odds comparison tool. It takes no bets and sells no picks. Prices move; check the number at the book before you act.

We don't charge and we don't ask for a card. We spent months on it. It's Already proven to be profitable. All we ask is that if you are a consistent +EV bettor, make money with it and let us know if something breaks.

When comparing the same sports outcome across venues, a tracker can miss some markets, and the best displayed quote may have little size behind it. Before calling a price difference +EV, how do you check identical settlement terms, available depth, and costs? Is there a useful comparison method that catches those gaps without treating every displayed price as fillable?

For monitoring +EV sports-market prices, a read-only odds feed is different from an API that can also manage orders. If a WebSocket connection drops while an order remains open, what heartbeat or cancellation behavior would you verify before relying on the integration?

Which provider document live prices, order entry, reconnection behavior, and rate limits clearly?

I’ve seen Novig mentioned a few times for sports, but I’m still pretty new to this and Im trying to understand how it actually works. A few things Im curious about, how does It actually feel compared with using a regular sports app? Are the odds noticeably better or is that something you only really notice if you’re making a lot of picks?