r/OneNationParty

The personal standings of Anthony Albanese and Jim Chalmers have plunged to record lows, Labor’s primary vote is mired at its lowest ever and the party has lost its lead to rivals on every key issue except health, a new poll shows.
The latest The Australian Financial Review/RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll also shows economic management is starting to resonate with voters, jumping 7 percentage points in a month as an issue of concern to sit just outside the top five.

Chalmers reached his lowest ever favourability rating. Albanese is still the nation’s preferred prime minister, but by a dwindling margin.  Tim Beor
The monthly poll of 1000 voters was taken between Monday and Friday, encompassing a week in which new budget data and an interest rate rise put the spotlight on high government spending, while the Greens elected David Shoebridge as leader.
Although the primary vote for the major parties remains relatively stable, with One Nation poking its nose back ahead of Labor at 29 per cent to 28 per cent – the sixth lead change in six months – there are worrying lead indicators for the government.
Albanese’s net favourability rating, which is his favourability rating minus his unfavourability rating, plunged 10 points in a month to minus 27 per cent, his lowest rating ever and the same level as Peter Dutton recorded the day before the Coalition’s election thrashing in 2025.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ net favourability fell 9 points in a month to minus 23 per cent, his worst ever level. One Nation leader Pauline Hanson improved her net rating by 2 points to minus 10 per cent, while Coalition leader Angus Taylor’s net rating fell three points to minus 6 per cent.
Cabinet secretary Andrew Charlton, tipped as a future treasurer and even leader, dismissed a suggestion that Chalmers may have to be replaced in a pre-election reshuffle to salvage the government’s fortunes.

“No, Jim Chalmers is doing an extraordinary job in very difficult global circumstances,” he said.
Albanese is still the nation’s preferred prime minister, but by a dwindling margin. His rating was unchanged at 31 per cent, but Hanson lifted 2 points to 26 per cent, to trail the prime minister by just 5 points. Taylor was unchanged on 15 per cent.
The elevation of Shoebridge to the Greens leadership, after Larissa Waters stepped down due to ill-health, had no immediate real impact, with the party’s primary vote dipping 1 point to 11 per cent.

Based on asking poll respondents how they would direct their preference, Labor leads One Nation by 52 per cent to 48 per cent on a two-party-preferred basis, which is unchanged since last month.
But sharp falls in other indicators could herald a future fall in the vote.
“Labor’s vote share is back to its lowest recorded level. The current political challenge for Labor is that the cash register never lies and voters will rarely reward a government when they are feeling poorer,” said RedBridge director Tony Barry.

The issues that most concern voters are cost of living (73 per cent), healthcare (36 per cent), housing affordability (33 per cent), the rate of immigration (29 per cent), crime and public safety (24 per cent), economic management (21 per cent), government debt (14 per cent), climate change (13 per cent), national security (11 per cent) and tax reform (9 per cent).
But when it comes to which party is the best to handle each of these issues, Labor leads on just one – healthcare. One Nation leads on four of the top five – cost of living, housing affordability, immigration and crime – while the coalition leads on economic management, national security and tax reform.

As an issue of voter concern, economic management jumped from 14 per cent to 21 per cent in a month. In terms of which party is most trusted to handle the economy, Labor has dropped 4 points to 20 per cent, while the Coalition increased a point to 29 per cent and is now by far the most preferred economic manager. One Nation is on 16 per cent.
Last week, the final budget outcome for last financial yearconfirmed the government was the highest spending in 40 years and on track to become the highest-taxing government ever, the cash rate increased to 4.6 per cent with more to come, and inflation rose to 4 per cent.

A prominent One Nation Victorian candidate has threatened to jail former premiers Daniel Andrews and Jacinta Allan “by Christmas” if the insurgent right-wing party wins November’s state election.

The pledge by Mark Nicholson – mirroring Donald Trump’s promise to “lock up” Hillary Clinton – was met with rapturous applause by a crowd of about 750 party faithful at One Nation’s campaign launch at the Crown Conference Centre in Southbank on Saturday.

Party founder Pauline Hanson helped present the 112 candidates who will contest every lower house and upper house seat in the November 28 poll, while railing against the legacy of 12 years of Labor government.

A 63-page policy document, titled The Real Deal, outlines One Nation’s plan to make Victoria the toughest state on crime, repeal a raft of taxes, cancel the Suburban Rail Loop, rip up the Treaty with First Nations Victorians, and roll back renewable energy projects while lifting the state’s ban on nuclear power.

The party is yet to produce costings for any of its policies, as major parties typically do.

In a slickly produced event, One Nation’s leading candidates adopted a revolutionary tone.

Victorian leader Warren Pickering – who has long history of endorsing conspiracy theories and railing against the influence of foreign “globalists” – said the upcoming election was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to change the course of Australian politics.

“This is an opportunity to shake the established order to its core,” he said. “We are ready to take this state back and put it into the hands of those who built it. We must assume control of our own destiny here in Victoria.”

Nicholson, the creator of One Nation’s online cartoon series and their lead candidate for the Northern Metropolitan upper house region, said that “heads are going to roll” should the party win power, with fiery rhetoric that ignored the principle of judicial independence.

“Dan Andrews, Jacinta Allan – they’re going to be in prison by Christmas,” he said. “This is a revolution. This is a movement. And this is how, together, we can take Victoria back.”

Hanson meanwhile invoked the state’s history as a place of anti-government rebellion.

This is the state of Ned Kelly. This is the state of the Eureka Stockade, where the miners at Ballarat raised a flag, drew a line in the sand, and told the government, their government: enough,” she said.

In a speech laden with nostalgia for a bygone era, Hanson mourned the decline of Victoria’s manufacturing and automotive industries, drawing heavy applause.

“I remember how strong and prosperous Victoria once was,” she said. “But that was a long time ago.”

The latest Resolve Political Monitor, conducted for The Age, showed One Nation attracting 23 per cent of first preference votes in Victoria. Labor was polling at 25 per cent and the Coalition at 28 per cent.

If repeated on the November 28 election, that support would likely result in One Nation winning eight upper house seats – possibly giving it the balance of power – and potentially several lower house seats.

One Nation has only ever won one seat in Victoria’s parliament, with Rikkie-Lee Tyrrell currently representing the Northern Victoria upper house region.

Nicholson said the party was riding a national wave of support for One Nation, which started with its win in the Farrer byelection and continued with its performance in the South Australia state election.

“And now the orange wave is about to hit Victoria, which will reverberate across the country and build a tsunami that’s about to make its way to Canberra,” he said. “Folks, we’re taking over.”

One Nation merchandise on sale at the party’s campaign launch for the state election.Christopher Hopkins

Hanson and the party’s candidates steered clear of One Nation’s traditional political priority of opposing immigration and multiculturalism, but it was an event that revelled in political incorrectness.

It opened with an AI-produced video including a young black man with a machete, while Nicholson joked about holding a Welcome to Country and sarcastically used the Wurundjeri words Narrm (Melbourne) and Wominjeka (welcome).

One Nation’s policy document proposes boosting police numbers, speeding up court hearings, including by introducing a 24/7 bail court, and introducing harsher sentences for violent crimes.

Protesters and police outside Crown during One Nation’s campaign launch on Saturday.Joe Armao

News crews from the ABC and SBS were refused entry to the campaign launch. The party’s national leadership has banned the public broadcaster and The Guardian from events earlier this year, while it has previously also barred The Age in response to its reporting.

Michael Slezak, the federal president of media at the Media Entertainment and Arts Alliance, said One Nation’s ban on certain news outlets was a threat to press freedom and breached the public’s right to know. “When one of us is attacked with impunity, it sets a new standard of behaviour that will impact us all,” he said.

But while some of the media were barred, prominent neo-Nazi Michael Nelson got inside for the launch.

Nelson, of the now outlawed National Socialist Network, posted pictures on social media from inside the conference hall – past the tight security at the ticketed event – wearing a One Nation cap.

Nelson also tried to gatecrash a Melbourne One Nation fundraiser earlier this year, but that time was twice stopped at the door.

One Nation candidates have previously spoken at March for Australia rallies organised by members of the neo-Nazi group and last month, federal One Nation MP Barnaby Joyce had to brush aside questions after he “inadvertently” bumped into NSN leader Thomas Sewell at a Canberra casino, claiming he didn’t realise who Sewell was until some time into their discussion.

A group of about 30 protesters gathered outside the event at Crown in heavy rain on Saturday.