r/POETTechnologiesInc

▲ 36 r/POETTechnologiesInc+1 crossposts

Supply and Demand and the POET AGM

Some notable quotes from POET’s recent Annual Shareholders’ Meeting, along with my personal observations. DYODD. AI edited for polish, not content.

CEO: “We currently have approximately $830 million in cash on our balance sheet.”
As of the July 1 close, POET’s market cap was approximately $1.67B. In other words, roughly half of the company’s market value is backed by cash alone. Add in minimal debt, manufacturing assets, IP, and accumulated tax losses, and the market is assigning what I view as a surprisingly modest valuation to the underlying technology platform.

CEO: “We’ve got marquee customers, significant revenue potential.”
At this point, this isn’t simply a vision of what could happen. POET already has recognizable customers and a growing design pipeline. Execution is now the key.

CEO: “We’ve stated that our existing capacity is capable of producing a million optical engines a year.”
That’s an important milestone. It suggests the company has crossed from proving the technology to demonstrating commercial-scale manufacturing capability.

CEO: “Our projected demand exiting 2027 would put that at a million engines a month.”
To me, this was the most significant statement of the meeting.
If management’s projections prove accurate, they’re talking about demand approaching 1 million optical engines per month by the end of 2027.
Think about what that could imply for revenue.
Again—management’s projection, not mine. DYODD.

CEO: “We have about a 10X increase in capacity to do over the course of the next six to nine months.”
Successfully scaling manufacturing by an order of magnitude would be a major validation of the platform and should give large customers greater confidence that POET can support future volume requirements.

CEO: “With a couple of major exceptions, we do not expect to announce new customers over the next 12 months.”
I don’t view this as a demand issue. I hear management saying they’re focused on executing for the customers already signed. If anything, I would expect increasing investment in production capacity as existing programs move toward volume manufacturing.

CEO:
“We’ve built a design pipeline so strong that we need to be very, very maniacally focused on completing development, qualifying, and ramping production for these customers.”
“Just handling the customers we have currently signed up can provide a revenue pipeline that far exceeds triple-digit million dollars.”
“We don’t really have the bandwidth at this point to take on additional major projects.”
Those comments don’t require much interpretation. They suggest a company transitioning from winning business to delivering it.
My takeaway:
This felt like one of the most confident and execution-focused shareholder meetings POET has held.
If management executes on even a substantial portion of what was discussed, today’s valuation may eventually look very different.
Within the next 12 months—or perhaps sooner—you may look back at today’s share price and either wish you had bought, or simply smile because you did.
Not financial advice. Just one investor’s interpretation. DYODD.

reddit.com
u/MackWheaton — 4 days ago

Huawei Speculation

Pretext: this is 100% speculation based on nothing other than my own brain…but what do you guys think?…and yes, I used Gemini to help organize my thoughts and lay them out..

If you look at how the global supply chain is actually built, the argument that Huawei is using POET’s technology through middlemen isn't just wild speculation—it is a logical conclusion based on how these companies operate. Huawei is currently locked out of buying advanced hardware directly from Western tech firms due to strict U.S. sanctions, so they rely entirely on massive domestic Chinese electronics companies to build out their sovereign AI infrastructure. This is where Luxshare Tech comes in. Luxshare is a primary tier-1 systems integrator for China's domestic hardware push, meaning they build the literal racks, cables, and optical transceiver modules that power Huawei's massive domestic data centers. When Luxshare places large orders for high-speed optical engines, they aren't just sitting on them; they are packaging them into finished 800G or 1.6T transceivers destined for the hungriest AI clusters inside China, which are overwhelmingly driven by Huawei’s Ascend NPU hardware.

The human element behind this connection makes the case even stronger. When POET originally set up its Super Photonics Xiamen (SPX) subsidiary to capture the Chinese domestic market, they didn't just hire random administrators—they stacked the leadership team with heavy hitters straight out of Huawei’s own inner circle. They recruited Dr. Xiaozhong Zheng to be the General Manager of SPX and brought in Dr. Yonghong Hu as the head of R&D. Both of these men spent crucial parts of their careers leading advanced photonics and hardware divisions at Huawei and its chip-design arm, HiSilicon.

Even though POET recently bought out its Chinese partner and moved the physical manufacturing equipment to Malaysia to shield its intellectual property from Western export restrictions, the business relationships remain intact. By supplying raw, off-the-shelf optical interposer engines from a neutral hub like Malaysia to a massive contract manufacturer like Luxshare, POET keeps its hands completely clean. Luxshare takes those components, builds the finished modules inside China, and supplies them to local enterprise clients like Huawei. Ultimately, POET gets to act like an un-sanctionable "Intel Inside" component provider, successfully capturing massive infrastructure revenue from both sides of the geopolitical divide.

reddit.com
u/Wooden_Classic8478 — 4 days ago

AGM II. - This Did Not Sound Like the Old POET Anymore

I have followed POET Technologies for a very long time, including AGMs going back many years. After reading the informal 2026 AGM transcript, my reaction is simple:

This did not sound like the old POET anymore.

For anyone newer to the story: POET Technologies is trying to commercialize its Optical Interposer platform — a semiconductor-style photonics integration platform for optical engines, light sources, 800G/1.6T transceivers, external light sources, and eventually near-packaged/co-packaged optics for AI infrastructure.

For years, the POET story was mostly about potential: brilliant technology, long development cycles, difficult qualification paths, delayed commercialization, and shareholders trying to infer whether the platform would ever become commercially meaningful.

This AGM felt different.

Not because of one single sentence.
Not because of one customer.
Not because of one hype number.

It felt different because the entire language of the company seems to have shifted from:

“We have promising technology.”

to:

“We have a platform, customers, orders, capacity planning, and now we need to execute.”

That is a major change.

1. The tone changed

Suresh opened by calling this “the most exciting annual general meeting in POET’s history.”

That may sound like normal CEO language, but for long-term POET followers it matters. POET management has historically been careful, sometimes frustratingly so. This AGM sounded much more confident, much more direct, and much more commercially grounded.

The key theme was the “three Cs”:

Credibility, Capacity, Capability.

And the important part is that Suresh framed them not as talking points, but as “fact on the ground.”

That is the central shift.

2. Credibility now means customers putting roadmaps at risk

One sentence stood out strongly:

Customers are willing to write checks and put their own product roadmaps on the line with POET.

That is very different from ordinary sampling language.

If customers are aligning product roadmaps with POET technology, then this is no longer just about whether the Optical Interposer works technically. It becomes about design wins, qualification, customer lock-in, and multi-generation platform value.

That is the platform case.

Not one product.
Not one customer.
Not one 800G module.

A repeatable architecture.

3. “We’re not a one-product, one-customer story. We’re a platform.”

For me, this may be the most important line in the entire AGM.

POET is explicitly positioning itself as a platform company.

That means:

  • 800G today
  • 1.6T ramping through 2027
  • 3.2T and beyond
  • pluggables
  • near-packaged optics
  • co-packaged optics
  • external light sources
  • custom optical modules
  • wafer-scale photonics integration
  • hybrid integration of electrical and optical components
  • potentially sticky customer roadmaps

This is not a narrow transceiver component story anymore.

At least that is not how management is presenting it.

4. The design-win funnel is becoming more concrete

Suresh talked about a design-win funnel that could translate into annualized revenue exceeding $100M over the next two years, dependent of course on markets, qualifications, and execution.

The important point is that he did not present this as abstract TAM.

He said the path is mapped to specific customers, specific products, and specific revenue ranges, with agreements in place.

That does not remove risk.

But it does change the nature of the risk.

The old question was:

Will anyone care?

The new question is:

Can POET deliver?

That is a much better problem to have, but it is still a very real problem.

5. H2 2026 is now the major proof window

The transcript says POET expects to begin its production ramp in the second half of 2026.

Not prototypes.
Not engineering samples.
Volume customer shipments.

Suresh specifically referred to tens of thousands of optical engines for shipments in H2 2026 in support of production orders already received.

That is huge.

For me, this makes H2 2026 the first major validation window.

The key things to watch are:

  • actual shipments
  • revenue recognition
  • production yield
  • customer follow-on activity
  • Malaysia capacity ramp
  • ability to deliver against purchase orders

This is where POET has to cross from deep-tech promise into industrial execution.

6. Capacity is now the story

The manufacturing comments were some of the most important parts of the AGM.

POET says it has two manufacturing partners in Penang, Malaysia. The China-to-Malaysia assembly/test transition is described as complete. Initial capacity is qualified for production. Additional capacity is being evaluated or built out through Globetronics and NationGate.

Suresh also said existing capacity is capable of producing around 1 million optical engines per year, while projected demand exiting 2027 would require around 1 million engines per month.

That implies roughly a 10x capacity expansion.

This is exciting, but also serious.

A 10x ramp is not a marketing exercise. It requires equipment, process control, supply chain, test, reliability, hiring, quality systems, and customer qualification.

This explains why Sandeep Kumar’s role as COO matters. He appears to be central to the next phase: high-volume production, manufacturing scale, supply chain, and execution in Asia.

In other words, POET is no longer just trying to prove the technology. It is trying to industrialize it.

7. The balance sheet is now a weapon

POET talked about deploying approximately $50M into capital equipment purchases in H2 2026.

For a company that has long emphasized capital-efficient manufacturing compared with traditional optical approaches, this is meaningful.

The way I read it:

POET is not abandoning the capital-efficient model.
It is using that model aggressively.

If POET’s process really requires much less capex than conventional optical manufacturing, then $50M is not a small maintenance spend. It could represent a serious manufacturing acceleration.

Suresh also discussed component shortages, equipment lead times, isolator shortages, epoxy constraints, and competitors potentially missing deliveries due to lack of balance sheet strength.

This part matters because it shows POET thinking like an operating company, not just a development company.

Secure supply.
Place deposits.
Lock in strategic suppliers.
Build ahead of demand.
Create distance from competitors.

That is new language for POET.

8. The acquisition strategy sounded more important than many may realize

Suresh discussed acquisitions and partnerships in two verticals:

  1. External light sources
  2. High-speed communications components that can be integrated onto the POET Interposer

This is one of the most important strategic points.

POET does not appear to be thinking only about selling individual optical engines. It appears to be thinking about controlling more of the stack.

The key phrase:

“The integration itself is the innovation.”

That is the POET thesis in one sentence.

If POET can integrate key optical/electrical components directly onto its patented interposer platform, the value is not just in the component. The value is in the manufacturable integration architecture.

That is where the moat could come from.

9. Blazar may be bigger than just another product

Blazar was described as a multi-channel external laser built on POET’s patented Optical Interposer.

The interesting part is not only the specs. The interesting part is the architecture:

  • separation of gain chip from wavelength selection
  • wavelength control on the interposer
  • potential avoidance of DFB-array yield degradation
  • support for CWDM and DWDM spacing
  • external cavity architecture
  • MOPA architecture
  • over 300 mW per channel
  • wafer-level chip-scale package
  • semiconductor manufacturing techniques applied to photonics

This is not just “POET has a laser product.”

It sounds more like POET is trying to enter the laser/light-source stack through the same integration logic that underpins the Optical Interposer.

And that matters because the laser market may become one of the biggest bottlenecks in AI optical infrastructure.

10. OCI alignment is a major point

Suresh connected Blazar to the Optical Compute Interconnect / Optical Compute Infrastructure direction and the new MSA backed by major AI infrastructure players.

His argument was basically that the market is moving toward specifications that Blazar was already built to meet.

That is a very strong claim.

It does not mean POET automatically wins.
It does not mean qualification is done.
It does not mean revenue is immediate.

But strategically, it matters.

If standards and customer requirements move toward POET’s architecture, then POET’s years of early work may finally become an advantage instead of a burden.

That is the “market coming to us” idea.

11. “SoC for photonics” is the bigger vision

Another important section was the comparison to system-on-chip architectures in electronics.

Suresh described POET’s platform as integrating:

  • multiplexers
  • demultiplexers
  • waveguides
  • micro-mirrors
  • V-grooves
  • lenses
  • electrical and optical components
  • wafer-scale assembly
  • elimination of wire bonds
  • reduced parasitics
  • semiconductor-style manufacturing

He called it a true system-on-chip architecture for photonics.

That is the big vision.

Not a module.
Not a laser.
Not an engine.

A photonics integration platform.

That is why the platform language matters so much.

12. Customer retention may be built into the architecture

One of the most interesting claims was that POET’s interposer platform can scale from 800G through 3.2T and beyond using virtually the same integration architecture.

If true, that creates potential customer retention value.

Once a customer qualifies POET’s platform, future speed transitions may become easier than switching architectures completely.

That is the kind of platform stickiness investors should pay attention to.

The question is whether this works in real commercial qualification cycles.

But the logic is powerful.

13. The Q&A confirmed the execution focus

The Q&A may have been short and controlled, but it still confirmed some important points.

Suresh said several products are qualified for production or going into production imminently.

He said Lumilens products are still in development and will require qualification by Lumilens and its customers.

He said other customers are ramping in H2 2026.

Most importantly, he said POET does not expect to announce many new customers over the next 12 months, with a couple of possible major exceptions.

That is important.

It means investors should not expect a constant stream of customer announcements.

The focus is now:

  • complete development
  • qualify products
  • ramp production
  • deliver against current customers
  • convert demand into shippable product

His wording around the “final chasm” was very clear.

Demand has been created.
Now POET must fulfill orders.

That is the phase transition.

14. This AGM did not remove risk. It clarified the risk.

My read is not that POET is now guaranteed to win.

The risks are still real:

  • manufacturing scale
  • yield
  • customer qualification
  • supply chain constraints
  • equipment lead times
  • hiring
  • Malaysia execution
  • competition from larger players
  • timing delays
  • revenue conversion

But the risk has changed.

For years, the biggest risk was whether POET would ever get real commercial traction.

After this AGM, the biggest risk appears to be whether POET can scale fast enough to satisfy demand.

That is a very different investment setup.

15. My conclusion

This AGM sounded like a company crossing from technology validation into platform industrialization.

The phrases that matter most to me are:

Real customers.
Real manufacturing.
Production orders.
Volume shipments in H2 2026.
Tens of thousands of optical engines.
1M engines/year capacity today.
Potential 1M engines/month demand exiting 2027.
$50M capex deployment.
External light source strategy.
Integration itself is the innovation.
SoC for photonics.
Same architecture from 800G to 3.2T and beyond.
The market is coming to us.
Our moment is here.

That is not old POET language.

That is platform-company language.

Now comes the only thing that matters:

Execution.

If POET ships in H2 2026, ramps Malaysia, converts design wins into revenue, and keeps customers moving through 800G, 1.6T, Blazar, NPO and CPO, then this AGM may be remembered as the point where the story changed.

Not financial advice. Just my read as a long-term POET investor who has watched many AGMs and thinks this one sounded fundamentally different.

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u/S3ktor4 — 6 days ago

POET Technologies Recaps Highlights of CEO’s Update on Commercial Activities and Provides Results of 2026 AGM

TORONTO, June 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- POET Technologies Inc. (“POET” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: POET), the designer and developer of Photonic Integrated Circuits (PICs), light sources and optical modules for the AI and data center markets, today reported the voting results of its Annual General Meeting (the “AGM”), which was held virtually on Friday, June 26, 2026, and recapped highlights from the presentation given by Chairman & CEO Dr. Suresh Venkatesan.
In his annual update to shareholders and analysts, Dr. Venkatesan delivered a robust report that punctuated the Company’s recent advancements in commercial activities and manufacturing deliverables.
Key highlights of the presentation included:
A reiteration that the Company’s production ramp is currently on schedule and expected to begin in the second half of 2026 with volume shipments of optical engines to customers.
POET anticipates expanding capacity to meet demand of up to 1 million units per month by the end of 2027. This represents a more than 10x increase from current production capacity.
After raising $830 million in equity capital in the past 12 months — with the potential to raise, if exercised, up to an additional $661 million through warrants — the Company plans an initial deployment of approximately $50 million for the purchase of capital equipment in the second half of 2026.
The strength of the balance sheet facilitates POET’s efforts to secure supplies of critical components through long-term strategic partnerships with key suppliers, potentially increasing its ability to fulfill orders and neutralizing the threat posed by critical shortages of some materials.
POET Blazar™, the Company’s cutting-edge hybrid laser for its external light source product designed to power high-bandwidth data communications in artificial intelligence (AI) networks and hyperscale data centers, is currently on schedule for expected deployment at scale in 2028.
The Company has more than 10 active customer engagements that combined are expected to exceed $100 million in future annual revenue. These engagements include the recently announced agreement with Lumilens, a previously-announced production order for 800G optical engines and a significant NRE agreement for External Light Source (ELS) applications from a new customer.
The Company intends to add approximately 50 more staff to its global workforce of 115 within the next few months.   


Dr. Venkatesan’s full video presentation, including the Q&A segment that followed his remarks, can be accessed through the Company’s website at: https://poet-technologies.com/videos. The presentation slides alone can be found on the “Shareholders Meeting (AGM)” page of the Investors section of the website: https://www.poet-technologies.com/investors.

u/lkwils — 6 days ago

Poet Technology Post AGM June 26th

Hi guys, I hope everyone is enjoying there weekend, as you guys know I’ve released extensive research for this company given on passed situations that have happen, a 56,000 character research paper a part 1-7 . In order to understand how i get to these conclusions you must read them first.

I want to start first with the vote, as you noticed the US Redomicile wasn’t included, very limited on what was said about this only we might have to wait until the end of the year before a US move.

However I don’t think that’s the case, and I’ll explain why.

After the vote, CEO Suresh Venkatesan spoke but the way he spoke was like a weight was lifted off his shoulders, a feeling of relief or accomplishment, he then gave a
Some what emotional farewell to Thomas Mika. Thanking him for the last 10 years.
You know The same CFO who burned the Marvell deal with a supposedly NDA breech.

Why the redomicile probably needs to happen before Mika leaves, not after.

Mika has 10 years of institutional knowledge of POET’s Canadian filing structure, the PFIC mess, the NI 51-102 obligations, the FPI exemptions POET currently relies on. A redomicile means switching the entire SEC reporting regime 20-F/6-K to 10-K/10-Q, new SOX internal-controls scoping, new audit opinions under the new entity structure. Handing that off to a brand new CFO who’s also simultaneously learning the new domestic filer regime for the first time raises the same kind of risk that produced a material weakness in POET’s FY2024 filing one POET already remediated and closed out clean by year end 2025. A repeat of that pattern during a CFO transition is exactly the scenario the institutional knowledge handoff is meant to avoid. The clean way to sequence this is Mika executes the redomicile while he still has full institutional knowledge, hands off a stabilized US domestic filer to his successor, then retires.

That argues for the move compressing toward Q3, not drifting to December. If Mika genuinely wants out by year end, and you don’t want a brand new CFO inheriting an unfinished cross border transition, the redomicile has to substantially close with enough runway for Mika to also onboard a successor into the new structure not the old one. “End of year” as a stated floor/caveat (“might have to wait until…”) is consistent with him hedging on the worst case, while the actual internal target is probably tighter.

Let me make this clear . Mika is a very smart man. And we know this because of POETs balance sheet $830 million in cash, with $50 million deployed to expand already. A bad CFO would not have this and there is no successor named yet because of how this job is not easy.
whoever takes this job inherits the redomicile, the internal controls remediation, and the $830M deployment decisions simultaneously. That’s also exactly why the hiring delay is informative. I also want to mention if there’s a real near term redomicile plan, confirming specifics live in a Q&A is exactly the kind of thing companies avoid doing informally, because it’s material information that’s supposed to go out through a controlled disclosure (press release, 8-K/6-K), not get confirmed off the cuff in response to a shareholder question. So Mika being vague doesn’t necessarily mean nothing’s decided it could just as easily mean something’s decided and they’re not saying it there.
Only evidence we have Mika’s own words (“still assessing,” “haven’t reached a conclusion,” “won’t know until year end”) nothing on record tells us they’ve actually locked a date.

Next Let’s take a look at who’s on board and where they come from.

Suresh Venkatesan GlobalFoundries, Freescale

Jean-Louis Malinge ARCH Venture Partners, Kotura (acquired by Mellanox), Corning

Glen Riley : Qorvo/TriQuint, Opticalis, Agere Systems, Lucent

Bob Tirva : IBM, Broadcom, Dropbox, Sonim

Theresa Lan Ende : Arista Networks, JDSU, Force10, Cisco

Sohail Khan : Coherent Corp, LightPath, ViXS, Intersil, Agere Systems

Out of the 22 companies listed across these six executives, 21 are US based backgrounds.

Now you guys have seen the presentation
If you haven’t I want you to look at it again because what I’m about to show you is a comparison of exactly what happen to this company called Applied Optoelectronics Inc.
ticker symbol : AAOI

First let me explain who they are

Applied Optoelectronics Inc. Designs, manufactures, and sells fiber optic networking products optical modules, filters, lasers, laser components, subassemblies, transmitters/transceivers, and amplifiers to internet data center operators, cable TV, telecom equipment makers, and ISPs, with operations in the US, Taiwan, and China.

Founded in 1997, headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas founded by Chih Hsiang Lin, who’s still CEO.

Positioned as an AI/data center optics play 2025 revenue was $455.72M, up 82.75% YoY, and strong demand for 800G and 1.6T products is driving capacity expansion in Taiwan and Texas, with revenue guidance raised to $1.1B and supply expected to lag demand through 2027
Stock’s been wild up over 1,050% over a year before pulling back currently around $133, off a 52-week high near $233.

Let’s look at this company and what happen before she exploded shall we?

The Amazon relationship is the crown jewel. In March 2025, AAOI signed a deal giving Amazon the right to buy almost 8 million shares. That warrant lets an Amazon affiliate buy up to 7.95 million shares at $23.70, with most of it vesting over 10 years tied to $4 billion of purchases by Amazon and its affiliates.

That Sounds familiar.. kinda like how the warrents are structured with POET & Lumilens..

800G ramp began in earnest in Q1 2026. The company reported its first volume shipments of 800G transceivers to a large hyperscale customer that quarter, driving a 154% year-over-year jump in datacenter revenue to $81.4 million. Order backlog snowballed through Q2. By June, AAOI had locked in more than $324 million of 800G and 1.6T orders tied to hyperscale cloud demand, and Oracle alone accounted for $324 million in hyperscaler demand for next gen optics.

Capacity build out accelerated. CFO Stefan Murry said AOI exited Q1 with nearly 100,000 units of monthly 800G transceiver capacity, and management has said customer demand is outpacing production capacity through mid 2027. Management has guided to 60-80% sequential growth in Q3 and Q4 as new Texas and Taiwan facilities come online, with first commercial 1.6T hyperscaler shipments targeted for Q3 2026.

Let’s rewind a bit. Before all this happen before I wrote my part 1-7 on poet, the day I found out about Poet specifically was the same day I was writing a research paper on how the next bottle neck is photonic fabrics (co package optics)

So you see I watched it all play out.
I watched her skyrocket and I caught her at $6.90 at entry on the 199 million volume that day. Then I went to work on everything .
This wasn’t an area I’m unfamiler with so the night research, the Marvell cancellation all of it seemed incredibly intriguing to all happen as I’m about to write the next bottle neck paper.
What I mean by that is the constraint you’re seeing across the industry today I was aware of well in advance. So the timing of when poet came to me was immaculate. And So I just want to say thank you to a good friend of mine you guys know him as
No-Contribution1070 here on Reddit, without him my analysis & research wouldn’t exist here today in this subreddit.

In the world of business when it comes to the market. supply & demand means everything. This usually happens at the right TIME.
when the demand out meets the supply you get a constraint. This is good for a company, bad for the customer, because the product now has pricing power. So what this means is because the demand is so high company’s who need this product now pay a premium price. Because the demand overweights the supply (not enough product) So what happens? revenues jump, & margins expand. This is the same situation happening in the memory market you’re seeing today. Where I called micron at $178 and today she sits at $1133 per share. Demand is so high in this memory market SKHynix is joining the Nasdaq & I wouldn’t be surprised if we see Samsung be next.

Now I’m not saying POET is worth $1000 a share. Let’s not get too excited. Both products are very very different.

So what’s the value? A 20B + industry shown in the presentation
How do we know?

Someone recently mentioned Poet & SpaceX

Because of Mesh Optical Technologies being the start up SpaceX just acquired

The Alpha C1 product page explicitly states “Fully Integrated Optical Engine… Designed, manufactured, and tested by Mesh.
the optical engine uses the most reliable DFB laser ever developed for an optical transceiver, runs 8-lane 224 GHz PAM4 modulation, operates at 1310nm wavelength with up to 5km fiber distance, and draws under 10 watts at 1.6Tbps by eliminating retimer DSP silicon.

None of that is POET specific fingerprinting

DFB lasers are the industry standard laser type AAOI uses them too (their own CPO laser announcement was DFB-based).
1310nm, PAM4, OSFP form factor these are universal telecom/datacenter standards, not proprietary to any one supplier.

Wafer level integration / interposer
the actual core of POET’s IP isn’t mentioned anywhere on Mesh’s page. Mesh’s differentiator is flip-chip die bonding and eliminating retimer DSP chips, which is a different architectural approach entirely.

However they’re right about something.

Mesh, by contrast, has shown zero public roadmap, demo, or announcement suggesting they’re building anything in the CPO/external light source category.
the fact that SpaceX has acquired a start up
company that is after the same end goal as POET & POET’s demoed and won awards. Should be a clear message within itself. I’m not saying SpaceX will acquire Poet.
But if SpaceX acquires a company in the same lane as POET, you should be excited about it.

But we can stand back and look at this in a few ways.

Could the AGM have been a presentation for an acquisition set up? Due to the demand for its products & whoever it is would need to pay a premium to own POET. With potential acquisitions by

Lumilens , Applied Materials, Marvell

Or

Poets presentation shows that if they can scale then this company is about to launch to 20+ billion . Exactly what is happening to AAOI after they scaled. However POETs balance sheet is much cleaner. Debt is essentially none just a small, interest fee $6.5M convertible obligation to Sanan IC, paid over 5 years.

We heard CEO Venkatesan say they are ramping up production very quickly.
Dr. Venkatesan spent six years as the Senior Vice President of Technology Development at GLOBALFOUNDRIES, where he led the development and ramp of the 28nm and 14nm nodes. Prior to that, he spent 18 years in technical and leadership roles at Freescale Semiconductor. He holds a Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering from Purdue University.
This is a ceo that put a lot of effort into this company. A smart man and a great leader.
I think we’re early to the party here, the entire industry is going to need any help they can get to scale & hyperscalers are mentioned as a great fit for blazer. I think 2027 will really see what POETs really about unless an acquisition comes. Your patience will always be tested.
But with hard research and understanding the industry my conviction is set in stone.

Im setting a price target of $42 mid 2027.
Implying a 4x from its current market cap.
I want to say thank you guys for reading my work it’s been a pleasure covering all this, this is the kind of research I do to help build a conviction. And a reminder, This isn’t a competition with anyone I will never tell you to buy anything, I will never tell you to just take my word for it. It’s important you do your own research to build your own confidence that supports your risk tolerance.
Most humans have zero patience. Growth always takes TIME.

Thank you guys for letting me be apart of this journey with you I believe we’re just getting started.

Earnings is set for August, I cant confirm a date With multiple sources stating different dates so will wait for Poets website to update. (This is not financial advice)
And I’ll keep you guys posted.

Goose - @theinvestmentblueprint

reddit.com
u/savanahonana — 8 days ago
▲ 39 r/POETTechnologiesInc+1 crossposts

POET AGM 2026 Informal Transcript: My Takeaways — Demand Is No Longer the Main Question, Execution Is

Disclaimer: This is written with AI. If you dont like it, don t read it. I don t have the time to not use AI and as an investor with a deep knowledge about that company, i think I better share my AI DD instead of staying in the dark, lurking around like the last 15+ years.

Enjoy the weekend fellow POET longs and know what you own.

I went through the informal transcript of POET Technologies’ 2026 AGM Q&A, published here:

https://github.com/RainerKlute/POET_Technologies/blob/main/2026/2026-06-26_-_POET_Technologies_AGM_2026_informal_part_transcript/POET_Technologies_AGM_2026_informal_part_transcript.EN.md

POET Technologies is trying to commercialize its Optical Interposer platform — essentially a semiconductor-style integration platform for optical engines, light sources, and custom optical modules used in AI data centers, 800G/1.6T transceivers, external light sources, and eventually near-packaged/co-packaged optics.

The big question for years was:
Does the market actually need POET’s approach, or is this just an elegant technology looking for a market?

After reading the AGM transcript, the question has shifted.

The main question now seems to be:

Can POET scale manufacturing fast enough, with enough yield, quality, supply chain control, and customer execution, before the rest of the industry catches up?

This is my structured read.

1. The most important new takeaway: demand seems real

Suresh appears to describe a design-win funnel that could support more than $100M in annualized revenue over the next two years, based on actual customers, actual product mappings, and agreements already in place.

That matters because this is not just TAM language anymore. It suggests POET has moved from:

“Interesting technology with potential customers”

to:

“A customer-backed pipeline where execution is now the bottleneck.”

That is bullish for the thesis, but also raises the bar. The company now has to prove it can ship.

2. H2 2026 is the first major reality test

One of the most important parts of the transcript, in my view, is the statement that POET expects volume customer shipments in the second half of 2026, including tens of thousands of optical engines.

That is a much stronger statement than just “sampling” or “engagement.”

This makes H2 2026 a key validation window.

What I would watch:

  • Do customer shipments actually begin?
  • Do they show up in revenue?
  • Are they tied to 800G products?
  • Do margins and yields look healthy? (margins must be ok, or they wouldnt 10x capex)
  • Does management continue to sound confident after the first volume deliveries?

If H2 2026 slips or remains vague, that would be a red flag. If shipments begin and revenue follows, that would be a major de-risking event.

3. Malaysia is no longer a side story — it is the center of the story

The transcript suggests that POET has completed the move of assembly and test from China to Malaysia, and that initial capacity has already been qualified for production.

There are also references to capacity expansion through Globetronics and NationGate.

This is very important.

POET’s risk profile has changed. The old risk was:

Can the Optical Interposer technology work?

The new risk is:

Can POET build, test, package, qualify, and ship optical engines at industrial scale?

That explains why Sandeep Kumar’s arrival as COO matters so much. He is not window dressing. His role appears directly tied to manufacturing scale-up, supply chain, quality, test, and high-volume production.

Suresh reportedly said something close to:
“That’s why Sandeep’s on board.”

That line is significant.

It tells me management knows exactly where the next bottleneck is.

4. Capacity: 1M engines/year today, 1M engines/month projected exiting 2027

This may be one of the biggest data points in the transcript.

The AGM discussion seems to point to:

  • current capacity around 1 million optical engines per year
  • projected demand exiting 2027 around 1 million optical engines per month
  • therefore a roughly 10x capacity expansion

That is both exciting and terrifying.

Exciting because demand appears to justify a serious ramp.

Terrifying because a 10x ramp in optical packaging and test is not trivial. This is not software. This is manufacturing. Equipment lead times, hiring, process control, yield learning, supply constraints, reliability testing, and customer qualification all matter.

This is where POET either becomes an industrial platform — or gets stuck as a promising technology company that cannot scale fast enough.

5. Supply chain comments were more important than they first looked

Suresh reportedly mentioned long lead times for capital equipment, isolators being booked out, and even epoxy supply constraints.

That may sound like boring operational detail, but I think it is important.

It means POET is already thinking like a production company:

  • lock in critical components
  • secure long-lead tools
  • pre-pay where needed
  • reduce supply-chain fragility
  • use the recent financing not just as balance sheet comfort, but as an operating weapon

That is exactly what a company entering a manufacturing ramp should be doing.

6. M&A is real, and may be more strategic than people think

The AGM transcript suggests POET is looking at acquisitions or partnerships in two major areas:

  1. External Light Sources
  2. High-speed communications components that can be integrated directly onto the POET Interposer

The key idea is that POET does not simply want to sell standalone parts. It wants to pull more of the optical/electrical stack onto its integration platform.

The phrase that stood out to me is the concept that:

!!!Integration itself is the innovation!!!

That may be the real POET thesis.

Not “we make a better transceiver part.”

More like:

POET wants to become the integration layer that lets different optical components become manufacturable at scale.

That is a much bigger idea.

7. Blazar / External Light Source roadmap looks more like a 2028 story

Blazar sounds important, but I would not treat it as the near-term revenue driver.

The transcript suggests something like:

  • sampling in H2 2026
  • design wins / qualification in 2027
  • production in 2028

That is not bad. It simply means investors should separate the timelines:

2026–2027: 800G/1.6T optical engines, customer shipments, Malaysia ramp, Lumilens development, manufacturing scale-up
2028+: Blazar, external light sources, optical compute interconnect, NPO/CPO opportunities

Blazar may be a major strategic asset, but it is not the immediate proof point.

The immediate proof point is shipping optical engines.

8. Lumilens: very important, but not immediate revenue

The Lumilens deal looks strategically important, especially because it points toward electrical-optical interposer work, 800G/1.6T pluggables, and later NPO/CPO.

But the transcript seems to clarify that Lumilens products are still in development and will require qualification by Lumilens and their own customers.

So I would not treat the $50M headline as instant revenue.

My interpretation:

Lumilens is a 2027 ramp story, not a Q3 2026 revenue story.

Still very bullish if executed.

9. “We don’t expect to announce many new customers” may actually be important

One part that could be misunderstood: management seems to suggest that they do not expect to announce many new customers over the next 12 months, except possibly a couple of major exceptions.

Some investors may read silence as bad.

I read it differently.

It sounds like POET is saying:

We have enough customer work in the pipeline. Now we need to execute.

That means the market should not necessarily expect a constant PR stream of new names.

The real watchpoints are:

  • shipment volumes
  • revenue recognition
  • qualification milestones
  • capacity expansion
  • manufacturing yield
  • customer ramps
  • product transitions from 800G to 1.6T

In other words: less “announce,” more “deliver” and Kumar is the right man for this task.

10. NDA / customer-name silence

The transcript does not, as far as I can tell, explicitly say “NDA” in the relevant sections.

But the pattern is obvious:

  • unnamed system integrators
  • unnamed ELS customers
  • “marquee customers”
  • limited willingness to discuss Lumilens’ end customers
  • references to large laser companies approaching POET
  • major customer opportunities without names

This strongly suggests that POET is operating in a customer environment where names are sensitive, and where end-customer relationships may sit behind partners, module makers, system integrators, or hyperscaler supply chains.

That matters because the absence of names does not necessarily mean absence of demand.

11. Suresh’s tone: this sounded like operating urgency, not promotional hype

What stood out to me was the language around speed and focus.

The tone, at least from the transcript, was not:

“Please believe in our future.”

It sounded more like:

“The future arrived, and now we need to scale fast enough.”

Terms like “breakneck speed,” “final chasm,” “maniacally focused,” and comments about not having bandwidth for too many additional major projects suggest a company under real operational pressure.

That means demand and opportunity may be larger than the current organization.

But it also means POET’s biggest risk is now internal scaling.

12. Sandeep Kumar: likely a key hire

Even though Kumar does not appear to speak much or at all in the transcript, the way he is referenced matters.

My read: Kumar was brought in because POET’s next phase is not primarily about invention. It is about:

  • manufacturing
  • supply chain
  • quality systems
  • yield
  • customer delivery
  • high-volume production
  • Asian contract manufacturing coordination
  • scaling from tens of thousands to millions of optical engines

In other words, the COO role is central now.

If POET succeeds, Kumar may become one of the most important people in the company.

13. Roadmap shift: from technology validation to industrialization

My broad interpretation of the roadmap after this AGM:

2026:
800G engines, volume shipments, tens of thousands of units, Malaysia ramp, Blazar samples, continued 1.6T development.

2027:
1.6T ramp, Lumilens qualification/ramp, capacity moving toward much larger monthly output, design wins for Blazar/ELS.

2028:
Blazar production, external light source opportunities, NPO/CPO, OCI-related opportunities, higher-density optical architectures.

The shift is clear:

POET is no longer trying to convince the market that optical integration matters.

Now it has to prove that its platform can become manufacturable infrastructure.

14. Why this matters in light of Mesh / SpaceX / Musk

Separate but relevant context: Mesh Optical recently drew attention because of its 1.6T optical engine language, flip-chip die bonding, low-latency/low-power messaging, and the reported Musk/SpaceX acquisition angle.

Mesh’s wording sounds very familiar:

  • 1.6T optical engines
  • flip-chip bonding
  • high reliability
  • lower latency
  • wafer-in/module-out style manufacturing
  • AI data center interconnects

My view:

Mesh is not proof of POET inside.

But Mesh is proof that POET’s problem space is becoming strategically important.

The uncomfortable part is this:

Mesh makes POET’s thesis more validated, but POET’s competitive environment more serious.

Before, one could ask:

“Is POET too early, or is the market not real?”

Now the question is:

“The market appears real — but who scales first?”

That is a much more mature, but also more dangerous, investment setup.

15. My current conclusion

The AGM transcript makes me more confident in the POET thesis, but less willing to tolerate vague execution.

That may sound contradictory, but I think it is the right framing.

The thesis is stronger because:

  • customer demand appears real
  • revenue opportunities are mapped to actual products
  • H2 2026 shipments are expected
  • Malaysia capacity is qualified
  • capacity expansion is being funded
  • supply-chain constraints are being addressed
  • M&A and partnerships are strategically focused
  • POET appears to be pulled by the market, not merely pushing technology

The risk is also clearer because:

  • 10x capacity expansion is hard
  • optical packaging yield is hard
  • customer qualification is hard
  • supply-chain constraints are real
  • competition is emerging
  • management bandwidth may be limited
  • execution delays would now matter much more

My summary:

POET’s main question is no longer whether anyone cares about the technology.

The main question is whether POET can industrialize fast enough.

For me, the next 6–12 months are about watching:

  • H2 2026 volume shipments
  • revenue conversion
  • Malaysia ramp
  • yield and quality signals
  • 800G customer traction
  • Lumilens sample timing
  • 1.6T qualification
  • Blazar sampling
  • M&A or strategic component deals
  • any signs that POET is supply-constrained rather than demand-constrained

This AGM did not remove risk.

It clarified the risk.

And, in my view, that is exactly what you want at this stage of a deep-tech investment.

Not financial advice. Just my read as a long-term POET investor trying to separate hype, execution risk, and actual industrial signals.

u/S3ktor4 — 7 days ago

POET signed a $1M+ NRE from one customer. How big is the production order?

I feel like the new NRE from the AGM is getting slept on.

Quick explainer for anyone not familiar: NRE stands for non-recurring engineering. It's money a customer pays a company to do custom development or engineering work for them, usually paid out as they hit milestones. The key thing is it's basically the front door to a real relationship. A customer pays NRE to develop something, then it goes to qualification, then if it passes, production orders follow. Companies don't write big NRE checks unless they're seriously evaluating you for production.

So with that context: POET signed an NRE worth over $1M from a single customer for high power external light source work, signed right after OFC.

To put that in context, their last two quarters of reported revenue were $503K and $341K, and that was primarily NRE across multiple customers. So this one agreement, from one customer, is bigger than that entire recent NRE book combined.

If an unnamed customer is willing to spend over $1M on the development work alone, it makes me wonder how big the actual production order could be once it qualifies. The size of these individual deals is stepping up fast, that's for sure.

All of that said I felt great about the AGM and our future. In fact it strengthened my thesis around POET by quite a bit. I'm not happy with where the SP is at currently but the whole sector has taken a beating recently.

One more thing. When I first listened I thought "crap, no new customers and maybe no major news for a bit." But after reading the transcript (thanks Rainer) I caught what a few others pointed out: "with a couple of major exceptions, we do not expect to announce new customers over the next 12 months." A COUPLE of major exceptions does not sound like no news or new customers for 12 months.

reddit.com
u/NorthernMIsmoke — 7 days ago

Just finished listening to 2026 AGM : key Takeaways

  1. CEO was extremely bullish, confirmed 10s of thousand of orders being filled by end of 2026.

  2. Confirmed all manufacturing operations have now moved from China to Malaysia and will be ramping up real certified production of optical engines second half of 2026 for this year and next year.

  3. CEO confirmed manufacturing capability of 1 million engines per year. They won't be taking on any new customers and instead will be focused on delivering on their current massive orders.

  4. $850 million in cash on hand, they have already deployed $50 mill capital on manufacturing efforts.

  5. Warrants issued to lumilens can't be excercised until they reach $500 million in capacity

  6. CEO name droped Nvidia in the presentation (used Nvidia's build out as an example)

  7. Move to U.S. is still being discussed, they won't know until end of 2026. This is the only bearish thing that stood out to me, because originally the board had agreed to move and the shareholder vote was supposed to be today. So something went wrong.

I've included some screens. Pay attention to the orders.

u/No-Contribution1070 — 9 days ago