r/Pennystock

$SAIQ - If this holds $6.35 it could push towards $11.50 resistance

$VEEA - would need to catch a bounce at $4.80 support and break back inside $5.60 resistance

$MI - support at $1.10 - needs to hold above that level - could push $1.45+ resistances after

$AIXI - set up remains the same - $2.40 key break resistance and hold that level

$HKIT - needs to hold $2.55 - bottom play - could push $3.50+ resistances after

$CIIT - no valid set up below $2.65 support - could push $3.10+ resistances

$GIBO - not much volume - needs to break $60 and hold that level - high risk swing to $70+ resistances

WATCHING FOR POTENTIAL MOVEMENT

$CTNT
$NCT
$ICU

Swing idea:

$BYND - break $7.75 resistance and hold - could swing to potentially $10+ resistances - invalid below $7.75

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Information is based on technical analysis on AXIS ONE a technical indicator - not recommendations

Always do your own research and manage your own risk. These are for educational purposes only and are not buy prompts. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Proper risk management is essential.

ASTS trade card · OptionWhales daily thesis

The bull case for AST SpaceMobile has always run through other people's subscribers: carrier deals with AT&T and Verizon instead of a retail land grab. SpaceX getting FCC authorization to build a 15,000-satellite direct-to-cell network on its own spectrum attacks that from the one angle the model can't route around, which is why ASTS slid harder than the rest of the space group on Friday, October 9, 2026 (Investing.com, https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/why-is-ast-spacemobile-stock-sliding-today-93CH-4941319). With the stock at $48.42 at 13:08:13 ET, a 3,518-contract put calendar printed in one burst at the $65 strike: 1,759 October 30 puts sold against 1,759 October 16 puts bought, netting a credit of $43,975. Selling the back month and owning the front puts the package short volatility, and the two deltas offset, so there is no directional tilt left in it.

The damage predates this week. A $1B convertible note offering announced July 15 plus a filing that pushed the 45-satellite target into next year took the stock down 33.6% over July (Motley Fool, August 6, 2026). Kaplan Fox announced a securities class action on October 9 covering purchasers from March 4, 2025 through July 15, 2026, with a November 13 lead plaintiff deadline; the complaints lean on slow user adoption in the U.S. and Japan and dilution from three separate $1.0B convertible raises. Clear Street called the FCC's meeting agenda mixed for the name on October 8 (Yahoo Finance).

The pricing is the whole story here:

- October 16 $65 put, bought at $16.54 a share, against $16.58 of intrinsic
- October 30 $65 put, sold at $16.79 a share, 86.5% implied vol, 0.90 delta

The front leg went off under parity, which is why our implied-vol field on it reads as essentially zero and its delta pins at 1.00, there being no time value left to measure. Prior open interest at the October 30 strike was 102 contracts against 1,759 traded. At the October 16 strike it was 5,415.

Open versus close isn't determinable for the package: only half these contracts sit in a leg that can be signed, and the October 16 buy went into open interest three times its own size, so it could have closed a short or opened a long. What the economics do say is that a fresh non-directional vol trade almost never looks like this. Two deep-ITM puts of the same type both settle near intrinsic, and after October 16 the front leg vanishes and leaves a bare short $65 put standing. The shape that fits is a roll: an obligation at a strike set when ASTS traded far higher, pushed fourteen days out for 25 cents a share. The live alternative is that the leg sides are tagged wrong, since the side read on the front-month buy carries only 0.25 confidence, and flipped it becomes a $0.25 debit rather than a credit.

My read is that this position behaves like rent on deferral rather than a view: with the strike 34% above spot, the $65 line keeps acting like fixed-price stock exposure, and a quarter a share is what two more weeks of it cost. What changes that is a recovery that drags $65 back toward the money and gives the short October 30 leg actual gamma.

Nothing scheduled sits inside the contract's life. Yahoo Finance lists the next ASTS earnings date as November 9, 2026, TipRanks estimates November 16, and the class action deadline is November 13 - all past October 30. The three weeks this structure covers are governed entirely by unscheduled news: FCC follow-through, launch cadence, whatever the carriers say. The question I'd watch is whether the October 30 strike gets rolled again.

*Education, not advice. Flow data from optionwhales.io.*

I started self directed investing this year and learned about Netlist in January. Started buying shares for $1. Holy hell!

Reading everyone's takes for ten months here on Reddit and Stocktwits and X has given me so much information and so many opinions to think about.

But look at the chart:

5 day- +13%

1 month- +37%

6 month- +309%

1 year- +860%

That is a steady rocket ship. Long and strong.

VEEA -Break above $6.25 CR low - needs to hold - could push $8+ resistances after

$MI - key break $1.40 resistance

$BDAI - room back to $8.50 resistance if it breaks $3.50 and holds

$SAIQ - ideally needs to hold that $6.34 level - could push $11+ resistances after

$INHD - key resistance break at $4.15 - could push it to $5.80+ resistances

$VIVK - Vivakor Signs LOI for Proposed $40 Million Acquisition of Direct Midstream

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Information is based on technical analysis on AXIS ONE a technical indicator - not recommendations

Always do your own research and manage your own risk. These are for educational purposes only and are not buy prompts. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Proper risk management is essential.

I’ve been following the Evernorth/Armada merger closely, particularly the warrant structure.

Three developments deserve attention:

1. The merger: The latest SEC guidance expects the business combination to close around October 9, with post-merger Nasdaq trading expected October 12. I haven’t yet verified a filing confirming completion.

2. Warrant amendment: On October 5, Armada removed the original 30-day post-closing exercise delay. The contractual exercise date is now tied to completion of the business combination because the IPO anniversary has passed. Registration and settlement conditions remain important.

3. Borrowing pressure: Interactive Brokers’ reported XRPN borrow fee reached 824.77% with zero shares available. That’s an extraordinary lending-market constraint, although it doesn’t establish current short interest or guarantee a squeeze.

Using Thursday’s XRPN close of $24.20 and XRPNW around $4.58, the warrant’s theoretical intrinsic reference is $12.70.

The question is how that spread converges after closing. Warrants could rise, common shares could fall, or both.

I’m particularly interested in the final capitalization, redemption count, registration of warrant shares, and when brokers will actually process exercises.

Has anyone confirmed the latest warrant-share registration status or transfer-agent exercise timeline?

​I took a decent-sized position in Coursera around $5.25 because the risk/reward down here looks pretty wild. The drop under $5 recently was mostly 11M shares being dumped by one fund. Baillie Gifford filed on Monday confirming they completely exited their position to 0 before Q3 closed on Sept 30th. Meanwhile, Coursera had $982M in cash and short-term treasuries with zero debt, which is literally $3.43 a share in cold cash backing a ~$5.15 stock. An activist fund (Pale Fire) quietly stepped in and bought up millions of shares during that dump, and Coursera's buyback desk is soaking up shares under a $500M program. Ahead of Q3 earnings on October 29th, Wall Street is still dividing numbers by an inflated share count that hasn't factored in the summer buybacks, so an EPS beat on the denominator alone is very realistic while paying .34x EV/Sales for the core business. Curious what the bear case is here outside of generic "AI kills homework."

$DKI - ideally needs to break and hold $5 resistance then close above $5.80 and hold that level - if it breaks the HOD it may push $11+ resistances #1

$FLYE - needs to hold $2.70 support and break inside $3.30 resistance - could push $4.50+ resistances after #2

$AIXI - needs to break $2.40 resistance and hold that level - may see $3.30+ resistances after

$IPW - breaks $1.40 and holds - could push $2+ resistances after #3

$HYPR - support at .9700 - needs to break resistance at $1.10 - could push $1.40+ resistances after

$XRPN - needs to hold $23 support and break above $26 resistance - could halt up afterwards WW

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Information is based on technical analysis on AXIS ONE a technical indicator - not recommendations

Always do your own research and manage your own risk. These are for educational purposes only and are not buy prompts. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Proper risk management is essential.

Yesterday we made a post and got some great attention on stocks that ran between %9-%15 on the day. Let’s stay on a hot streak and make some big plays for Friday going into the weekend! Send tickets as well as why!

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Target 60

$LRHC - needs to hold $2.30 low, and break above $3.40 resistance and hold above that level - has news

$SDEV held the $3.34 support mentioned earlier to the team, needs to now break $4.05 and hold that level for a potential move to $4.40+ resistances

$BTTC - .5900 needs to break and hold above for a potential move to .67+ resistances - watching $USDE - $XRPN too

$BKYI - just needs to stay above $2.70 support now and push $3.30+ resistances from here

$NXL - needs to break and hold $6.80 resistance and push to $8.70+ resistances

$VEEA - needs to hold $2.95 support and break above $3.65 resistance - could push this into $5+ resistances

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Information is based on technical analysis on AXIS ONE a technical indicator - not recommendations

Always do your own research and manage your own risk. These are for educational purposes only and are not buy prompts. Trading involves significant risk of loss. Proper risk management is essentials

CRWV trade card · OptionWhales daily thesis

Wall Street still carries CoreWeave at a consensus Buy, 35 analysts averaging a price target near $138.78 per MarketBeat, while the stock changed hands at $88.33 on Thursday, October 1, 2026, barely half its 52-week high of $153.20. A trader leaned the other way at 13:50:59 ET, paying a net $2.3M for a 5,000-contract CRWV put spread expiring January 15, 2027: long the 90s, short the 70s, one print. The structure is bearish. Both legs were marked at nearly identical implied vol, so the vega offsets and what the debit buys is direction.

The bear case here got a name ten days ago. Rothschild Redburn initiated CoreWeave at Sell on September 21, 2026, arguing that falling GPU-rental prices, hyperscalers building their own capacity and expensive financing would compress returns (Yahoo Finance, September 23: https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/coreweave-nebius-just-got-sell-185913300.html). Invezz on September 29 had the stock in a bear market with short interest above 10%, a figure about the shares generally and not about this order. Under that argument sit $2.58B of Q2 revenue against a $626M net loss, roughly $33.8B of total debt as of June 30, capex guided to $35B-$39B for 2026, and a $104B backlog. The day's actual headline pointed elsewhere: Zacks, October 1, on the new CoreWeave Partner Network and the NVIDIA Vera CPU deployments unveiled at Fully Connected the day before, a story about ecosystem reach, which is a separate question from what a GPU-hour rents for.

The two legs:
- bought 2,500 of the Jan 15, 2027 90 puts for $3.6M, $14.40 a share, delta -0.43, IV 74.7%
- sold 2,500 of the Jan 15, 2027 70 puts for $1.3M, $5.20 a share, delta -0.21, IV 75.0%

Net $9.20 a share for a $20-wide window, 106 days out, with the long strike $1.67 above spot and the short strike about 21% below it. Net delta works out near -0.22 per spread. Prior-day open interest was 6,791 at the 90s and 33,188 at the 70s, both far larger than the 2,500 traded in each leg, so either side could have been opened or closed inside that interest and open versus close is not determinable here.

What interests me is where they stopped. Selling the 70s caps the structure above the 52-week low of $60.55, which means the thing being bought sits in the band between today's price and the bottom of the existing range, and the tail underneath it was sold off to pay for the near part. Anyone pricing the financing accident implied by $33.8B of debt and compressing rental economics would want to own that tail, and this structure sells it. Paying 46% of the width for a window anchored at the money, at 75 vol, is a workable way to own a move into the 70s and a poor way to own anything under them. A second reading stays live: with short interest where it is and the equity sitting on top of that debt load, this could be financed protection on exposure I cannot see. The strike placement persuades me more than the hedge reading does, because a hedger with that much balance-sheet risk in mind usually reaches further down, not to a strike already in the money.

CoreWeave's next earnings report is estimated for November 9, 2026, inside the contract's life, and the expanded $21B Meta agreement announced April 9, 2026 covers capacity running 2027 through 2032, so this spread expires two weeks into the first year of that contract. If GPU-hour pricing keeps slipping while interest expense compounds, the 90-70 band is exactly where this position lives. What breaks it is utilization and contract pricing holding up, and November is the first dated read on which of those is happening.

*Education, not advice. Flow data from optionwhales.io.*

About to explode

AIIO crazy high float…squeeze time?