2026 FPI: Top 10 Championship Contenders. These teams have the highest statistical probability of winning Super Bowl LXI based on FPI simulations.
ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) . It measures team strength by simulating the entire NFL season 10,000 times .
It is a data-driven tool for analysis, not a betting product.
2026 NFL FPI
Top 10 Championship Contenders
| Rank | Team | FPI Rating | Super Bowl Win Probability |
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | +5.6 | 14.9% |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | +4.0 | ~10.0% |
| 3 | Baltimore Ravens | +3.7 | High |
| 4 | Seattle Seahawks | +3.6 | 7.0% |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers| +3.3 | 6.8% |
| 6 | Green Bay Packers| +2.8 | Contender |
| 7 | Los Angeles Chargers| +2.6 | 4.4% |
| 8 | Detroit Lions| +2.5 | Contender |
| 9 | Kansas City Chiefs| +2.4 | Contender |
| 10 | Philadelphia Eagles| +2.0 | Contender |
Source
ESPN's FPI preseason projections
I put it up for fun discussion , don’t be toxic
and Yes this does not guarantee who is winning
Just a analysis for fun