$U Weekly Discussion
Discuss away.
- Your outlet for commenting "what happened"
- Your $U trades
- Your take on the stock movement
- lesser news that may have been glossed over
- Insightful posts from other platforms
Discuss away.
Just kidding :-)
Wondering who else caught the falling knife earlier this year and is now sitting on a strong gain?
There have been a lot of threads over the past six months where I’ve made the same point: in the short term, the market is a voting machine, but in the long term, it’s a weighing machine.
For me, the lowest-drama way to invest is to form a clear thesis around each company you own and why you think it is either poised for long-term growth or materially undervalued. Then watch how the business develops against that thesis and try not to get too distracted by the daily price action.
If the thesis remains intact, sometimes the best thing to do is simply be patient and give the market time to catch up. In Unity’s case, I’ve consistently felt that the key things to watch were Vector growth and how effectively the company could use its in-app purchase data.
I’m not trying to turn this into an “I told you so” post, especially since plenty could still go wrong. But given how much angst and negativity there has been here over the past six months, I do think this is a useful case study.
When a stock falls heavily, the important question is whether the business has actually deteriorated or whether sentiment has simply moved too far. You do not need to time the exact bottom. You just need to decide whether the stock looks materially cheap relative to your view of the fundamentals, avoid leverage, keep watching the business, and be patient.
And when the stock eventually moves sharply in your favour, it is worth thinking about position sizing rather than getting carried away.
Personally, I think Unity still has a lot more room to run in the short term and, based on the current thesis and available facts, could do very well over the long term too.
That said, markets are volatile and anything can happen: wars, inflation, execution problems, regulation, or a random competitor nobody is paying attention to yet.
So I’ll probably trim around 50% of the shares I bought earlier this year. Doubling my money in six months is good enough for me, and one of the other rules I try to follow is to stay diversified and not get too greedy :-)
For this to breakout, it first needs to 1st reach it's ipo price from 6 years ago. This time may be different and it might reach $52 within the year with the s/w upside momentum in the market atm.
Will what always happens happen again to Unity stock? Or is it truly different this time?
I hope it always stays lively and bustling here.
CNBC's Carl comparing Unity, Atlassian and Palantir. Let's Go!!
Luckin Coffee delivered solid Q2 2026 results, beating revenue expectations while achieving its first YoY drop in delivery expenses since the price wars began.
1、Revenue Beats Expectations: Total revenue rose 28.5% YoY to 15.89B RMB, beating the 15.43B RMB estimate. Although same-store sales growth dipped to -5.3% due to last year's high subsidy baseline, monthly transacting customers hit a record 113M (+23% YoY), completely offsetting lost price-sensitive users.
2、Faster Store Expansion: Net store additions reached 2,714, bringing the total to 36,310 (+8.1% QoQ). Self-operated store growth outpaced franchised stores. Overseas locations reached 223 (+46 net additions), with Malaysia as the main driver.
3、Cost Efficiency and Margin Resilience: Gross margin fell 1.3 pct YoY to 61.5%. However, delivery expenses dropped 3.1% YoY to 1.62B RMB (falling from 13.5% to 10.2% of revenue). Store-level margin remained strong at 21.3% (-0.2 pct YoY).
4、Profit Growth Despite New Spending: Driven by the launch of ready-to-drink bottled products, sales expense ratio increased 1 pct YoY to 5.8%. Admin expense ratio stayed stable. Non-GAAP operating profit rose 26.5% YoY to 2.396B RMB.
"This was arguably the best quarter in Unity's history as a public company"
Stock is surging approx 15% today.
Unity is now guiding for 70% growth rates in their strategic growth business. Insane!
Vector has become a $1B+ runway business 2 quarter prior than expected.
$U wins only when their customers win. AI enables faster/better game creation. More games fuels more ads/monetization.
Bromberg on Unity 7:
"... an open, collaborative platform where developers, artists, producers and coding agents work together ... What this all means is that you no longer have to know all the intricacies of our application to access the power of our full authoring platform ...
Bromberg on the call highlighted their new Netflix partnership: Unity will support Netflix’s multi-platform games ecosystem, including social games on the TV that require no download, registration or purchase. A strong example of $U helping studios reach players wherever they are.
U highlighted three strategic moves: an investment in mobile measurement leader AppsFlyer (alongside $META , $GOOGL and Miloco; the sale of Supersonic to Tripledot Studios; and the final shutdown of the ironSource ad network sharpening focus and lifting margins going forward.
And finally:
U is pulling forward expectations for GAAP profitability from Q4 to Q3.
I repeat:
Unity will be profitable THIS QUARTER