r/VidurNeeti

TMC Split Incoming? One Photo, Many Questions
▲ 21 r/VidurNeeti+1 crossposts

TMC Split Incoming? One Photo, Many Questions

Don't know if Shatrughan Sinha helped Mamata by posting this picture or put her under further scrutiny.

https://x.com/i/status/2055205211619418242

https://preview.redd.it/kmknwgzh3n1h1.jpg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e5d0737e62b56d9d6492eab8a37f9f4c93bd26fb

Reasons:

  1. Some days back Mamata was showcasing her simple living to media by meeting Akhilesh at her home which was very different.

https://preview.redd.it/s3mqu0il3n1h1.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6749ab57ac14a5eb6d8f4ff80f23219c2efc2867

https://preview.redd.it/unk1l6zn3n1h1.jpg?width=495&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8a3485f4c63fed993ae117daa8a46a1bf2a14c13

https://preview.redd.it/tiz20nlp3n1h1.jpg?width=900&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0e408d043e40d90b9fe5601d55bbe6690e96294f

Now Shatrughan ji has remarked the swanky looking house as Mamata's "official residence".

https://preview.redd.it/1o0sd7ix3n1h1.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9f09aa40c6229b7767c7ef458304d1aae7cf17c2

https://preview.redd.it/xtevxea04n1h1.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0166feb47050b62399532e7feddae8567e655813

  1. He posted a picture of the attendees. A breakdown - 1 hosting the event, 2 seated besides Mamata & roughly around 30 in the crowd

https://x.com/i/status/2055235283751497879

https://preview.redd.it/ipj7p9x14n1h1.jpg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4819243b6cbf334ccaf5bb7cfc7bccf2e01f99f3

That makes it a total of around 33 MPs. The total strength of TMC is: 28 in Lok Sabha & 13 in Rajya Sabha, totalling 41. Where are the remaining 8 MPs? Even on 6th May, the first meeting post elections, only 71 out of 80 MLAs were present, though the party gave a clarification -

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/kolkata/71-out-of-80-tmc-mlas-attend-mamatas-1st-meet-after-polls/articleshow/130869382.cms

This repeated absenteeism could be indicative that leaders are unwilling to be part of TMC & of a possible split.

==================================================

On March 20 had written that junior's speech against Amit Shah was a red line crossed & that prasad will be given once pooja is over.

https://www.reddit.com/r/VidurNeeti/s/2VLokeKS92

Elections are over & now comes this news, FIR filed:

https://x.com/i/status/2055344681773650155

https://preview.redd.it/vmyk98144n1h1.jpg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=80bd23b39885bd133bf6880d288374403d0bfc00

A 37/38 yr old boy challenging a 60+ man who is his father's age. Challenging someone whose son his his age. Challenging the Home Minister of Union of India. And keep aside all the above for a moment & imagine challenging Amit Shah, the big daddy of politics. To drag such a man's father is peak political suicide & inviting trouble. Even his fiercest rivals never dared to so such stupidity.

Now what happens next?

TMC heads for a split.

Breakaway leaders to tip off all internal details - smuggling routes to Bangladesh, pointsman handling it, supply chain, logistics, hawala, handlers, every information will be a lead for government agencies. Next step would be confiscation of assets & illegal money.

Some from TMC may jump ship but will be carefully screened only if they bring any value. Opposition will cry 'washing machine' but BJP will strangulate them financially first.

Try to reduce the party strength below 30 to take away LoP status in next poll. And finally, act on the Aunt-nephew duo. Unsparing it will be. Especially the nephew, he crossed several red lines blinded in the en bloc vote support of a community.

Only way for the nephew to save himself from Shah - engineer the split.

On a side note, who tipped off about certain files of importance present inside IPAC that the then CM herself rushed to flick them away entering inside the premise office while the ED raid was underway? And despite taking away those files, entire election still ran with precise control without any effect. Jagan, Nitish, Stalin, Natwarlal, Akhilesh, all gone. What a strike rate. Any guesses?

VidurNeeti

reddit.com
u/Slimus_shadius — 6 days ago
▲ 27 r/VidurNeeti+2 crossposts

Global Crisis is Coming: Be Prepared!!

Let's start with basics to bust this myth:

Crude was cheaper earlier & costly now.

1 barrel oil = ~159 litres

1 gallon oil = 3.78 litres

Price of per barrel crude as on 1 May, 2014: $103.40

Price as on 1 May, 2026: $101.56

Source: https://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-chart

$ to ₹ exchange rate on: 16 May 2014 $1 USD = ₹58.76

14 May 2026 $1 USD = ₹95.71

Source:

https://www.exchangerates.org.uk/USD-INR-spot-exchange-rates-history-2014.html

Multiply the above two to get per barrel cost in Indian Rupee: In May 2014 - ₹6075

In May 2026 - ₹9720

% increase in price in international crude from 2014 to 2026: 62%

Price of petrol in say, Mumbai as in: 2014 - ~₹72

May 2026 - ~₹107 Increase in percentage terms: 67%

Source: https://cardgrid.in/blog/petrol-price-india-chart/

As you can make out yourself crude price has remained constant in line with the global prices & rupee-dollar exchange rates throughout. And no extra burden has been put on the people. Instead the crude is cheaper as the above prices are on paper while the spot prices are different. So current prices are still at a discount, albeit very little.

Second thing to understand is despite not increasing the prices, the government has managed to pay the exorbitant legacy oil bonds of UPA era to the tune of 3.23 lakh crores (paid just last March of 2026), managing huge infrastructure spending, construction of roads, highways, expressways at record speed & yet managing fiscal discipline.

======================================

While much of the recent outrage has been around 'austerity' measures by government, the entire focus has been cleverly shifted from the actual problem - to prevent outward flow of currency.

When PM asked not to spend on products that result in currency exchange like gold & petrol, the narrative was quickly shifted to - why not the PM & ministers reduce their security cavalcade. When they did so immediately, the narrative has been shifted to - it's just a photo-op.

Irrespective of what is done, people have a resolve not to understand gravity of the situation & never accept change. Even when the situation is dire, global, & not in our hands. At times of crisis, we have a habit of bickering, blame everyone & never united to fight the crisis.

We saw it during COVID people disobeying all advisories, making fun of every initiative. We saw how Indians were mocking our armed forces during Operation Sindoor recently giving ample ammunition to our useless neighbour which he still uses against us/quoting our people on Rafales. And earlier too some political parties & experts went several steps ahead demanding "proofs" for carrying out surgical strikes. We have seen it time & again, that when needed to stand up unitedly, we dilute the seriousness & instead use that opportunity to settle petty scores or show intellectualism.

This crisis that's going to come was being warned since many years on our telegram channel as well as here - it will be the biggest humankind has seen since World War 2.

The US debt has crossed its GDP for the first time since???

Check check. Find out.

The dot com bust & 2008 recession would be kindergarten stuff in front of it. There's a reason US President is in China & Russia is dialing India.

PM himself spoke at least 4-5 times of preparing for a COVID like situation, spend cautiously, save fuel, be ready for WFH, etc. but we didn't pay attention. From election speeches to his Mann Ki Baat program, he repeated it several times. But no one paid attention.

People love masala news run by media which doesn't focus on important topics. Everyone knows which team scored how many runs in IPL last night, which batsman scored how many sixes, personal records of players on fingertips, but matters pertaining to daily life, at least during a crisis? Clueless. And when push comes to shove, blame everyone around for not doing enough.

Saying it again, and PM himself has given a timeline of 1 year, this crisis will not be limited to just disruptions caused by Iran conflict. It will continue in on-off mode. That is just 1 minor spoke of the wheel.

Window to settle useless neighbour will also fall during this period so will crisis in West due to dedollarization. Readers of our channel and this sub know what's going to happen.

Stay calm, don't fall for online propaganda, don't panic buy & create shortages in market. Be a part of the solution instead becoming a problem. Stay united.

VidurNeeti

reddit.com
u/Slimus_shadius — 7 days ago
▲ 25 r/VidurNeeti+1 crossposts

"Prepare For Sacrifice" - Decoding the Message

Is the PM asking you for sacrifices?

https://x.com/i/status/2053546205918228699 :

https://preview.redd.it/bjtgurazdn0h1.jpg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5633906e6a7361eec358513ceee42d7f1252009e

Exactly as predicted - https://www.reddit.com/r/VidurNeeti/s/6UQuDVyHq1

While everyone is outraging online directing their anger at unrelated things, they do not know that's not the solution. They don't know it because they don't know "why" PM said it. Unless you know the "why" of any issue no opinion is right & no analysis correct.

On March 30 had predicted that time will come for sacrifices, it will come after Bengal & Assam elections are done, and the rough phase will start (PM has even given the tough timeline now - 1 year). All predictions came true.

Thanks for securing Assam & Bengal with unprecedented voting %. Now time for unprecedented action. People get the government they deserve. High turnout -> bigger mandate -> bigger action. By securing both the states, work for Chicken's Neck & fencing on Bengal border with useless neighbour on East to begin.

Crisis is coming globally. We will also do the pending job in between it. Hence repeating again

- don't hoard fuel supplies as it will manufacture shortages even when there is none. Prepare for WFH. Save fuel, spend it cautiously.  Hormuz problem will stretch long.

- don't waste rupee in foreign exchange. During crisis, Gold will crash. PM too is clearly saying to keep away from it now.

- plan travels only when needed.

- keep basic ration supply at home, don't hoard.

Now you realize why PM was constantly referring to be prepared for COVID like situation. Analysts as usual interpreted it for some virus & as always didn't understand the meaning. Your local MLA/MP/PM reducing their car convoy has nothing to do with what is being conveyed.

The impact will be for all & hence the caution. Stop listening to these blue tick jokers, they have never been able to predict any outcome & only reduce the level of discussion on any topic.

Hope you will adhere to the commitment, not get swayed by the social media noise as they are clueless themselves & deliberately creating a false narrative. If possible, without giving details, counter the narrative. At the time of crisis we have to be united.

VidurNeeti.

reddit.com
u/Slimus_shadius — 11 days ago