r/btc

Using an example, if Bitcoin hits 68k by this Friday at 5pm I make almost 7 grand . Again , curious if anyone does it and if so, is it worth it over just straight investing in Bitcoin itself ?

**TLDR: ChangeNOW.io + Exodus Wallet illegally holding 29,489 USDT for 627 days = 3.5x the EU legal limit. FIR filed with MOSSOS d'Esquadra Spain today. This is theft.**

**THE FACTS - 100% PROVABLE WITH SCREENSHOTS:**

1. **Date:** October 2024 | **Amount:** 29,489 USDT | **Ticket:** #623767

2. **Sent via:** Exodus Wallet to ChangeNOW.io for swap

3. **KYC:** Submitted full documents + source of funds immediately. Still holding.

4. **Their Reply for 627 Days:** "Under investigation due to suspected illegal activity"

5. **Their Proof:** ZERO. No document, no case number, no authority name.

6. **Their Timeline:** ZERO. 627 days and counting.

7. **Exodus Response:** ZERO reply for 2 years. Complete negligence.

**THE LAW THEY BROKE - EU 5AMLD:**

ChangeNOW is registered in EU. So 5AMLD applies.

**Article 14:** Must complete investigation in "reasonable time" = 180 days MAX.

**My case:** 627 days = 447 days ILLEGAL detention of funds.

**Article 32:** This is "Criminal handling of funds without legal basis".

**THE SHELL COMPANY PROOF:**

Their legal address: "Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, Saint Vincent and The Grenadines"

This is a known offshore tax haven with 2000+ shell companies in one building. No real office.

**Purpose:** Evade EU law while operating in EU. This proves "mens rea" = Criminal intent.

**THE PATTERN - NOT JUST ME:**

1. **200,000 XRP Case:** $550K held 4+ months. EU user got refund in 1 hour, non-EU still waiting.

2. **1.38M ZIL Case:** Refunded only after police report + Trustpilot pressure.

3. **This Subreddit:** Search "ChangeNOW" - Dozens of identical complaints.

4. **My Reddit Post:** 17.6k views on r/ExodusWallet. Public knows.

**LEGAL ACTION TAKEN TODAY - 07 JULY 2026:**

1. **Criminal FIR Filed:** MOSSOS d'Esquadra, Catalonia Spain. Case ref: #623767

2. **Accused:** ChangeNOW, Exodus Wallet, JP Richardson (CEO Exodus)

3. **Charges:** Theft, 5AMLD violation, Habitual fraud, Criminal negligence

4. **Demand:** 38,578 USDT (Principal + Interest) + 5,000 USDT Defamation = 43,578 USDT

5. **Next:** SEC complaint + Interpol if no action in 24 hours

**MY EVIDENCE PACKET:**

✅ Blockchain TxID with 200+ confirmations

✅ Ticket #623767 email thread - 627 days

✅ Exodus CC proof dated 4 Jul 2026 - They were informed

✅ KYC submission receipts

✅ Screen recordings of "no reply" from ChangeNOW dashboard

**QUESTION FOR COMMUNITY:**

1. Has ChangeNOW done this to you? How many days?

2. Did Exodus ever reply to you?

3. Anyone successfully sued them in EU? Lawyer recommendations?

**WARNING TO ALL:**

Avoid ChangeNOW, Exodus, Changelly, Guarda. They use "AML excuse" to run fractional reserve scam. Small swaps work. Big swaps = Money gone for 2+ years. They stake your money and earn 10% yearly while you wait.

**UPDATE:** Will post MOSSOS case number once received. RemindMe! 7 days

---

**ChangeNOW if you're reading this:** Ticket #623767. You have 24 hours before I file SEC + Interpol + Class Action. Release my 38,578 USDT now.

​

Wenn man das letzte bestätigte zyklische Allzeithoch als Ausgangspunkt nimmt, dann ergibt sich:

Letztes Allzeithoch (ATH): 6. Oktober 2025 bei rund 126.000 US-Dollar.

**+ 365 Tage: 6. Oktober 2026**

Nach der Zyklus-Theorie würde das bedeuten:

Bis etwa Anfang Oktober 2026: Korrektur-, Bärenmarkt- bzw. Rekumulationsphase.

Ab etwa Oktober 2026: Beginn des sogenannten „**Bitcoin-Frühlings“**, also der Übergang von der Bodenbildung in eine neue Expansionsphase – vorausgesetzt, der historische Zeitzyklus wiederholt sich.

Wenn man zum 06.10.2025 1.050 Tage addiert, erhält man das Datum:

21.08.2028.

(Die Schaltjahresregel wurde dabei berücksichtigt – 2028 ist ein Schaltjahr.)

Wichtig ist dabei: Das ist kein Naturgesetz, sondern ein historisches Muster!

Wichtig ist dabei zu beachten das um den August 2028 das nächste Allzeithoch von Bitcoin gebildet werden kann. Dann beginnt die erneute Übertreibung Phase die Ende 2029 bis 2030 im nächsten Kryptowinter endet.

Das heißt im Klartext: ab Oktober diesen Jahres solltest du gierig werden, ab 2029 ängstlich, und beginnen deine Gewinne zu realisieren.

Ist diese Zyklus Erklärung zu einfach für dich? 😇

---

English

Taking the last confirmed cyclical all-time high as a starting point, the following results:

Last All-Time High (ATH): October 6, 2025, at approximately $126,000.

**+ 365 days: October 6, 2026**

According to cycle theory, this would mean:

Until approximately the beginning of October 2026: Correction, bear market, or reaccumulation phase.

From approximately October 2026: Beginning of the so-called "Bitcoin Spring," i.e., the transition from bottoming out to a new expansion phase—provided the historical time cycle repeats itself.

If you add 1,050 days to October 6, 2025, you get the date:

August 21, 2028.

(The leap year rule has been taken into account – 2028 is a leap year.)

Important: This is not a law of nature, but a historical pattern!

It's important to note that Bitcoin's next all-time high could be reached around August 2028. Then, another overvaluation phase will begin, ending in late 2029 or 2030, coinciding with the next crypto winter.

In other words: starting in October of this year, you should get greedy, and starting in 2029, you should be cautious and begin taking profits.

Is this cycle explanation too simple for you? 😇

Quelle

Hive blog

#bitcoin #zyklus

Retail: "Buy the dip!" Whales: "Thanks for the exit liquidity, champ!" 😉

Retail investors, as always, seem to have rediscovered the "buy high, sell low" strategy in perfect sync. After a run-up, these dips are now triggering panic. In classic fashion, retail is either holding the bag or buying more, both to the delight of early entrants.

You have been scammed!

This really lengthy documentary text by hodlonaut was groked here into a quite digestible entry level abstract. The original (links below) will keep you an afternoon or two focused. (You may skim some of the meticulously collected sources and still be able to follow the main thread of what was going on.) Also consider to let your device read it to you.

Before you trigger happy downvoters blast your shotguns prematurely again, read it comprehensively and than think again and contribute to the discussion with some sharp thoughts. Thank you.

Abstract (by Grok)

The Quiet Shift from Bitcoin Core: In the fall of 2025, what had been quietly building for years became visible. Thousands of node runners switched from Bitcoin Core to Bitcoin Knots after maintainer Gloria Zhao pushed through a change that loosened the default limits for OP_RETURN data. For many, this was the moment when a creeping process became apparent: Bitcoin was in danger of transforming from a scarce monetary network into a general-purpose data repository.

The three-part study “Capture” by hodlonaut traces how a close-knit, informal network emerged around figures like John Newbery, Chaincode Labs, Brink, and Optech through dinners, residencies, and funding channels. This group shaped not only technical decisions but also the culture and personnel composition of Bitcoin Core.

On one side were pragmatically oriented developers who demanded greater openness for non-monetary uses and raised concerns about “censorship”. On the other side were critics who primarily wanted to protect Bitcoin as hard money and warned against dilution.

What is particularly striking is how early and systematically critics who foresaw the cumulative danger of these seemingly isolated, small “nudges” were silenced. Even with changes that appeared technically harmless, prescient voices like Luke Dashjr and Jon Atack encountered a recurring pattern of social ostracism, funding blocks, and public discrediting—even before clear battle lines had formed. It seemed as if the network recognized threats to its agenda early on and combated them with unusually harsh, more social than purely technical means.

The individual steps (documentation changes, filter rejection, limit relaxation) initially appeared unrelated. Together, however, they revealed a clear direction: more data on the blockchain, more room for spammers and speculators. The defense of these nudges was often surprisingly intense for a decentralized project. Funding chains and cultural influences reinforced the impression that not only code, but also a particular worldview was being enforced.

Ultimately, the suspicion of informal power concentration remains: In a system without a formal hierarchy, a well-connected milieu can de facto dictate the direction. The small, fiercely defended changes added up to a significant signal—and generated precisely the mistrust that erupted in the Knots migration.

Whether it was a deliberate capture, natural group dynamics, or a mixture of both remains unclear. For a project built on decentralization and skepticism toward concentrated power, this pattern is nonetheless worrying.

Links:

citadel21.com/the-network

citadel21.com/the-lever

citadel21.com/the-merge

Happy reading, beautiful people! Get smart.

É impressionante como os portais de notícia falam besteira quando o assunto é bitcoin. A notícia consegue se contradizer no próprio título, devia existir alguma regulação contra esse tipo de matéria completamente inútil.