r/marketpredictors

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly higher on Wednesday, August 19, 2026, snapping a two-day losing streak as the U.S. Treasury announced it would double its long-term bond buyback limit, providing an unexpected lifeline to a market being squeezed by multi-decade high yields. The FOMC minutes confirmed three Fed members voted for a rate hike at the July meeting, but markets chose to focus on the Treasury's intervention and a string of solid retail earnings.

The S&P 500 gained 0.21% (+16.22 pts) to 7,707.98. The Dow added 0.22% (+119.65 pts) to 53,463.05. The Nasdaq edged up 0.16% (+41.38 pts) to 26,331.09. The Russell 2000 outperformed, rising 0.48% (+14.40 pts) to 3,032.29.

The VIX dropped 6.12% to 14.87. Bitcoin surged 6.42% to $68,679.08, its biggest single-day gain in months. Gold soared 3.31% to $4,567.00. Crude Oil was essentially flat at $84.22/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly lower on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, as a brutal chip sector selloff drove the Nasdaq to its worst session in two weeks and bond yields hit multi-decade highs across the globe, rattling a market already on edge from elevated oil prices and a stalled Iran peace process. It was the second straight day of losses, erasing most of last week's record-setting gains.

The S&P 500 dropped 0.69% (-53.30 pts) to 7,691.76. The Dow fell 0.22% (-116.38 pts) to 53,343.40. The Nasdaq slid 1.33% (-355.20 pts) to 26,289.71. The Russell 2000 dropped 1.28% (-39.11 pts) to 3,018.43.

The VIX rose 4.15% to 15.82. Bitcoin gained 0.39% to $64,594.76. Gold fell 1.67% to $4,399.10. Crude Oil was essentially flat at $84.07/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly lower on Monday, August 17, 2026, as dimming hopes for an Iran peace deal sent oil toward $85 and 30-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since 2007, pulling stocks further from last week's record highs. Chip stocks were the lone bright spot in an otherwise defensive session dominated by energy and rate anxiety.

The S&P 500 fell 0.52% (-40.70 pts) to 7,745.06. The Dow dropped 0.51% (-272.63 pts) to 53,459.78. The Nasdaq slipped 0.32% (-84.25 pts) to 26,644.91. The Russell 2000 declined 0.35% (-10.88 pts) to 3,057.54.

The VIX jumped 6.60% to 15.19. Bitcoin gained 2.33% to $64,322.67. Gold rose 0.81% to $4,473.10. Crude Oil surged 3.09% to $84.95/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended mostly lower on Friday, August 14, 2026, pulling back from Thursday's record close as two back-to-back consumer data misses reminded Wall Street that the American consumer is buckling under the weight of oil-driven inflation. The S&P 500 held up relatively well, but the week closed with a clear warning sign flashing beneath the surface.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.17% (-13.23 pts) to 7,785.76. The Dow fell 0.20% (-107.58 pts) to 53,732.41. The Nasdaq dropped 0.28% (-73.86 pts) to 26,729.16. The Russell 2000 bucked the trend, gaining 0.55% (+16.81 pts) to 3,069.66.

The VIX dropped 3.08% to 14.18, its lowest level of 2026. Bitcoin eased 0.64% to $62,944.44. Gold added 0.19% to $4,428.90. Crude Oil rose 1.37% to $82.36/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended broadly higher on Thursday, August 13, 2026, with the S&P 500 topping 7,800 for the first time in history after a back-to-back inflation double-header — Tuesday's CPI and today's PPI — both came in cooler than expected, pushing rate hike odds sharply lower and sending tech to another record close. It was the clearest inflation signal in months that the war's energy-driven price shock may finally be peaking.

The S&P 500 gained 0.65% (+50.49 pts) to a new all-time record 7,798.99, crossing 7,800 intraday for the first time. The Dow added 0.13% (+69.72 pts) to 53,839.99. The Nasdaq climbed 0.81% (+214.54 pts) to 26,803.03. The Russell 2000 rose 0.23% (+7.06 pts) to 3,052.55.

The VIX was essentially flat at 14.66. Bitcoin slipped 0.28% to $63,356.95. Gold pulled back 1.40% to $4,404.90. Crude Oil eased 2.46% to $81.22/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended mostly higher on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, as a tame July CPI report kept the Fed on hold and a wave of blockbuster AI earnings from CoreWeave and Super Micro Computer reignited the infrastructure trade. The session was one of the most constructive of the summer, with the S&P 500 testing its all-time high and the VIX falling to its lowest level since before the Iran war began.

The S&P 500 gained 0.26% (+20.30 pts) to 7,748.50, testing its all-time high. The Dow was essentially flat, dipping just 0.04% (-21.58 pts) to 53,770.27. The Nasdaq climbed 0.54% (+143.04 pts) to 26,588.49. The Russell 2000 outperformed, rising 0.61% (+18.37 pts) to 3,045.48.

The VIX dropped 4.78% to 14.55, its lowest level since before the Iran war. Bitcoin slipped 0.36% to $63,449.83. Gold added 0.59% to $4,467.10. Crude Oil eased 0.44% to $82.83/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended mostly lower on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, as Wall Street pulled back from last week's record highs in a holding pattern session dominated by two forces pulling in opposite directions: hope for a U.S.-Iran deal bringing oil lower, then Iran hardening its demands and sending crude right back up. Investors largely chose to wait for tomorrow's July CPI in the morning.

The S&P 500 dropped 0.32% (-24.91 pts) to 7,728.20. The Dow fell 0.34% (-184.13 pts) to 53,791.85. The Nasdaq slid 0.60% (-159.91 pts) to 26,445.45. The Russell 2000 bucked the trend, gaining 0.32% (+9.74 pts) to 3,027.14.

The VIX eased 1.10% to 15.29. Bitcoin slipped 0.77% to $63,605.60. Gold added 0.21% to $4,429.00. Crude Oil rose 1.56% to $83.41/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended mixed on Monday, August 10, 2026, as fresh uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz deal sent oil climbing above $82 and kept investors cautious heading into Wednesday's critical July CPI report and Nvidia's earnings. The session was a classic "wait and see" Monday after last week's best weekly performance since April.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.06% (-4.53 pts) to 7,753.11. The Dow fell 0.11% (-60.95 pts) to 53,975.98. The Nasdaq dropped 0.32% (-85.26 pts) to 26,605.36. The Russell 2000 declined 0.56% (-17.10 pts) to 3,017.40.

The VIX rose 3.76% to 15.46. Bitcoin slid 1.64% to $64,029.15. Gold surged 1.05% to $4,445.70. Crude Oil jumped 5.07% to $82.14/barrel.

The major U.S. stock indexes ended mostly lower on Thursday, August 6, 2026, in a choppy, earnings-heavy session that produced big winners and bigger losers but left the broad market marking time ahead of tomorrow's critical July nonfarm payrolls report. The Dow gave back nearly 500 points while the Nasdaq held near flat, as oil crept back above $77 and investors stayed cautious.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.18% (-13.59 pts) to 7,709.96. The Dow fell 0.85% (-464.02 pts) to 53,885.10. The Nasdaq was essentially flat, edging down just 0.06% (-15.09 pts) to 26,348.35. The Russell 2000 dropped 0.58% (-17.65 pts) to 3,001.54.

The VIX eased 3.98% to 15.18. Bitcoin slipped 0.53% to $64,435.10. Gold was virtually unchanged at $4,304.70. Crude Oil rose 3.39% to $77.77/barrel, snapping two days of declines.