I wanna attempt to debunk the newcomb paradox
I am starting, bit by bit to believe that this paradox is pretty unreal, can someone please help me see if I actually understood the paradox correctly?
1- Whoever explained the rules to me about the predictor, how do they know that such predictor is extremely accurate? if there is no answer to that then its unreal, and if they do, then its no longer a paradox because then people have been tested from before therefore there is a percentage that can be created mathematically (Exactly like how supervised training works with AI)
2- Regardless of point 1, The 2-Boxer argument is that the prizes are fixed, so the results wont change by your actions, but the paradox says otherwise because actions like changing your mind midway, trying loopholes (or fuck it even hypnotize yourself before you answer) is all already predicted therefore is there really a point to the paradox?
Edit: I am a one-boxer because I am told that it is extremely accurate (Also that thousands before me have been guessed correctly, therefore breaking the numbers to way over 1 in a 10^46, this number is basically what would happen if 1000 were guessed correctly with even a 90% chance (or well "accurate", just not "extremely". Still also too high if lowered to even 70% btw), which makes it almost impossible for our entire population to be guessed in a wrong way even once, therefore I 1 boxed because the predictor is definitely many many many decimals close to 100%)