r/wordlegame

Wordle opener test, final run: the worst openers, SLART, and every #1 pick from Scoredle, WordleBot and Wordle Tools

More of your opener suggestions, run the same way as the ones from my 47-opener post and the follow-up with your first 21. This time u/TrackVol sent me a list with four parts: a set of truly bad openers, SLART (a 4-consonant word predicted to beat CLASP), five words with two Es predicted to beat ADIEU, and every word that Scoredle, WordleBot and Wordle Tools have ever listed as #1. I ran all of them the same way as before: a bot plays all 1,898 past Wordle answers, with the same strategy after the first guess every time. Normal mode, and a loss counts as 7 guesses.

That's 19 new openers (XVIII isn't in the bot's dictionary, so I left it out), which brings the table to 87. This batch is in bold. JAZZY is bold too: I ran it for my first post but left it out of the last table.

Rank Opener Avg guesses Solved in 3 or fewer Alone fastest
1 SLATE 3.665 44.8% 3
2 LEAST 3.671 44.2% 3
3 SALET 3.672 43.8% 2
4 STALE 3.688 43.5% 2
5 LEANT 3.691 44.3% 7
6 TARSE 3.692 42.8% 1
7 SLART 3.697 42.9% 3
8 TEARS 3.697 42.7% 1
9 TRACE 3.701 43.4% 1
10 CRATE 3.703 43.4% 2
11 SNARE 3.709 42.5% 3
12 CRANE 3.709 42.1% 5
13 DEALT 3.712 41.8% 10
14 CLEAT 3.712 42.4% 4
15 PLATE 3.714 41.6% 1
16 TARPS 3.715 41.3% 3
17 TRAIN 3.715 42.9% 4
18 STARE 3.717 41.9% 2
19 LEARN 3.718 42.0% 6
20 TRADE 3.718 42.0% 8
21 CARLE 3.720 42.3% 5
22 TASER 3.720 41.2% 2
23 ALERT 3.723 41.9% 3
24 TARES 3.723 40.7% 0
25 ALTER 3.724 41.3% 2
26 TROPE 3.724 41.4% 9
27 REACT 3.726 41.6% 3
28 TIARE 3.726 42.5% 3
29 CLASP 3.726 39.8% 4
30 SANER 3.727 41.7% 5
31 HEART 3.729 42.4% 4
32 LEADS 3.729 41.9% 3
33 PARSE 3.729 40.4% 5
34 IRATE 3.731 41.9% 5
35 CASTE 3.736 40.6% 2
36 STERN 3.736 39.9% 2
37 ROATE 3.737 41.6% 3
38 PLACE 3.738 41.0% 8
39 MEANS 3.740 39.7% 9
40 TREND 3.743 39.6% 6
41 TRASH 3.750 41.1% 1
42 LATER 3.752 40.0% 4
43 SHIRT 3.753 41.1% 7
44 RAISE 3.757 41.5% 3
45 AROSE 3.762 40.1% 0
46 SAUCE 3.764 38.4% 6
47 AISLE 3.766 40.9% 4
48 SAUTE 3.767 39.4% 2
49 LOADS 3.767 38.5% 5
50 SOARE 3.771 40.7% 0
51 ECLAT 3.772 39.6% 2
52 ARISE 3.777 40.9% 1
53 EARTH 3.778 39.2% 3
54 STOAE 3.783 38.1% 1
55 TERSE 3.806 37.2% 4
56 OCEAN 3.806 37.6% 9
57 RATIO 3.806 39.0% 8
58 STYLE 3.806 35.9% 4
59 SLEET 3.808 36.6% 2
60 CHAIR 3.810 37.8% 9
61 ROUTE 3.810 36.9% 6
62 STEAM 3.816 36.3% 8
63 REATE 3.818 36.8% 2
64 ARETE 3.822 37.2% 3
65 EARLY 3.822 36.8% 7
66 BROTH 3.826 35.4% 12
67 AUDIT 3.829 37.5% 7
68 PIANO 3.830 37.1% 10
69 ADIOS 3.831 35.9% 1
70 MEDIA 3.843 34.8% 14
71 MOUSE 3.846 36.0% 11
72 HOUSE 3.857 35.8% 7
73 SAREE 3.860 35.8% 0
74 TEATS 3.874 33.9% 1
75 PIOUS 3.890 33.4% 10
76 FLING 3.924 31.7% 30
77 ADIEU 3.927 32.3% 4
78 AUDIO 3.930 33.6% 3
79 OUIJA 4.101 25.0% 5
80 SQUIZ 4.184 21.1% 2
81 QUAWK 4.185 19.8% 11
82 JUJUS 4.353 13.9% 1
83 JAZZY 4.377 13.4% 6
84 ZHUZH 4.388 13.6% 4
85 JEEZE 4.435 13.0% 3
86 XYLYL 4.445 13.7% 4
87 QAJAQ 4.501 9.7% 1

"Alone fastest" counts the past answers where that opener beat every other opener in this table outright. It's now measured against 86 rivals, so most numbers are lower than in my last post.

TrackVol's predictions, checked:

  • QAJAQ is the worst opener in the table. 4.501 guesses a game, last of 87. It solves in three or fewer only 9.7% of the time, and it lost 4 games (BOOBY, DANDY, DOPEY, ULCER). XYLYL (4.445) and JEEZE (4.435) are next, and JAZZY, ZHUZH and JUJUS sit just above them.
  • SQUIZ and QUAWK are the best of the bad words. They're the only two of the eight without a repeated letter, and they finish 80th and 81st, a hair apart at 4.184 and 4.185. Five different letters still buy you something, even when they're Q, U and Z. QUAWK is also a gambler: it beat every other opener outright on 11 answers.
  • SLART beats CLASP easily. 7th overall at 3.697, level with TEARS. CLASP is 29th at 3.726. SLART is the best opener in the table with only one vowel.
  • The two-E words all beat ADIEU. TERSE (55th), SLEET (59th), REATE (63rd), ARETE (64th) and SAREE (73rd) all finish ahead of ADIEU (77th), AUDIO (78th) and OUIJA (79th). Even SAREE is 0.07 guesses a game better than ADIEU.

The #1 picks from Scoredle, WordleBot and Wordle Tools are all in the table now. Ranked by this bot:

Rank Opener Avg guesses
1 SLATE 3.665
2 LEAST 3.671
3 SALET 3.672
6 TARSE 3.692
7 SLART 3.697
9 TRACE 3.701
12 CRANE 3.709
13 DEALT 3.712
15 PLATE 3.714
16 TARPS 3.715
21 CARLE 3.720
24 TARES 3.723
26 TROPE 3.724
29 CLASP 3.726
30 SANER 3.727
38 PLACE 3.738
50 SOARE 3.771

A few other things stood out:

  • Every tool's #1 is a good opener here. 16 of the 17 finish in the top 40, all within 0.08 guesses of SLATE. The rankings differ because each tool scores the first guess its own way, and the gaps at the top are tiny.
  • DEALT is the sleeper. 13th at 3.712, and it beat every other opener outright on 10 answers, more than any opener in the top 60.
  • TARSE beats TARES. Same five letters, but TARSE is 6th and TARES is 24th. TARES also lost 2 games (BAKER, QUEER), the most of any reader suggestion outside the bad words.
  • SOARE is the odd one out. 50th, and it never beat every other opener outright on a single answer.

Losses: QAJAQ 4, ZHUZH 5, JEEZE 5, JAZZY 6, XYLYL 3, SQUIZ 3, QUAWK 2, TARES 2, and SLART, TERSE, SLEET, REATE, ARETE, SAREE and JUJUS 1 each, out of 1,898 games. DEALT, TROPE, PLACE and TARPS never lost.

Where the suggestions came from:

Same disclosure as before: I build the solver used here.

reddit.com
u/michael-hyperbotic — 10 days ago