I built a FPL optimizer and would love some feedback from the community before the season starts
Been building this for a few months and figured the pre-season
window is a good time to share it, even though it still uses last seasons player prices.
The basic idea: the model calculates expected points (xP) for
every player based on live betting odds (win probability, clean
sheet odds, expected goals) combined with xG/xA data and last
season's stats. It then finds the best possible 15-man squad
that maximises total xP within your budget.
Backtested on every gameweek of 2025/26 - beat the FPL average
in 35 out of 38 weeks, +18.9 pts/GW advantage on average.
Also ran it on 2024/25 to make sure it wasn't just lucky:
38/38 weeks, +23.0 pts/GW. Pretty happy with that.
**How to use it:**
- Set your budget
- Pick a formation
- Click shirt slots to lock in players you want
- Hit Optimize and it fills the rest with the highest xP
players available
Right now it optimizes for one gameweek at a time -
multi-gameweek planning is on the roadmap.
Free, no signup: plfantasytool.com
Happy to answer any questions about how it works!