u/AcanthopterygiiNo437

Greetings-

I'll be posting some selections in the next few days from an app I developed. First I wanted to share some features and I welcome your thoughts.

TrackIQ is a real-time horse racing handicapping intelligence platform that I believe stands apart from existing AI tools like Equinedge. Here's why:

• **Trainer IQ Weighting** — Proprietary trainer performance scores built from actual meet results, not generic stats. Every race is filtered through track-specific trainer tendencies.

• **Multi-Variable TIQ Scoring** — Each horse receives a composite score blending trainer IQ (30%), recency (20%), consistency (25%), class fit (15%), and market value (10%) — all recalibrated against live past performance data.

• **Monte Carlo Simulation Engine** — 5,000 simulated race outcomes per race, blending morning-line implied probabilities with TIQ scores to project realistic win%, place%, and show% for every runner — plus projected Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta payouts.

• **Multi-Track Architecture** — Built to support simultaneous analysis across AQU,MNR, PRX, CT, LRL, MTH, and more — not locked to a single circuit.

• **Transparent Logic, Not a Black Box** — Unlike purely algorithmic tools, every TIQ score is explainable. Handicappers see exactly why a horse ranks where it does.

• **Proven on Live Cards** — The system has been validated against four consecutive Aqueduct race cards with documented IQ hit rates and upset identification.

I'll try to pot some of the selections over the weekend.

Mike

RACE 1 | 6 Furlongs | Fast Dirt | Mdn $80k NY-bred F&M

Post 1:10 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

6 Close the Loop Prat / Brown 🔥🔥 1st 34.1%

5 Indie Get Your Gun Lezcano 🔥 / Mott 2nd 24.6%

4 Karley B Santana / Duggan 3rd 21.2%

NOTE: Two well-bred first-timers dominate. Close the Loop

has a bullet 4/11 work (:47.2 Bg5/169), Brown at 33% this

meet, Prat running hot. Indie Get Your Gun is a $250k

Gun Runner filly — Mott/Lezcano is a dangerous combo.

Karley B has the best actual speed figure (78).

EXACTA: 6 / 5

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RACE 2 | 1⅛ Mile | Firm Turf | OC $100k n1x | 3yo

Post 1:38 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

5 Arizona Territory Prat 🔥 / Brown 🔥🔥 1st 38.4%

4 Celtic Flame Lezcano 🔥 / Duarte 2nd 22.1%

1 Print Santana / Ribaudo 3rd 16.8%

NOTE: Arizona Territory gets the full Brown/Prat combo

bonus (+17 pts). Won at Tampa on turf at 80 SPD closing

from off pace — fits our firm turf closer profile. Celtic

Flame won on AW closing hard; Lezcano hot. Print's dirt win

was sharp but turf record is 0-for-2.

EXACTA: 5 / 4

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RACE 3 | 6 Furlongs | Fast Dirt | Clm $20k n2L | 3&up

Post 2:06 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

5 Shellac Prat 🔥 / Rice 🔥🔥 1st 45.8%

4 Red Miller Davis / Terranova 2nd 21.3%

3 Solomini's World Franco 🔥 / Begg 3rd 14.9%

NOTE: STRONG PLAY. Linda Rice 35% this meet. Shellac won

dominating at 84 SPD (MC12500) on 3/15 — now dropping to

Clm20k. Rice/Prat meet combo is 1-for-1. Red Miller has

sharp bullet works (:47.1 on 4/27); Terranova is cold but

the horse has 84 SPD. Solomini's World wire-to-wire winner

with Franco.

EXACTA: 5 / 4

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RACE 4 | 1⅛ Mile | Firm Turf | Alw $82k n1x NY-bred F&M

Post 2:36 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

3 Dividend Recap Franco 🔥 / Clement🔥 1st 31.7%

6 Cosmic Candy Girl Carmouche 🔥 / Ryerson 2nd 25.4%

5 Neshika Prat 🔥 / Maker 3rd 19.8%

NOTE: Dividend Recap gets Clement (29% this meet, hot 🔥)

+ Franco hot = full combo bonus. Best career SPD 86 on turf.

Off since August but sharp works. Cosmic Candy Girl is

#1 Prime Power (134.3), best turf SPD 85, Carmouche hot.

Neshika won maiden on turf, Prat riding.

EXACTA: 3 / 6

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RACE 5 | 6 Furlongs | Fast Dirt | OC $55k n1x | F&M

Post 3:07 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

2 Army Gal Lezcano 🔥 / Rice 🔥🔥 1st 35.2%

1 Kadena Rodriguez / Abreu 2nd 22.6%

8 Roman Grace Santana 🔥 / Green 3rd 16.1%

NOTE: Army Gal's 97 SPD is the class of this field — miles

ahead. Rice/Lezcano J/T combo is 7-for-7-0.57 (+$4.16 ROI)

this meet. Five months off is the only knock; Rice returns

horses well. Kadena is the most recently active with 3 wins

in 2026. Roman Grace won at 92 SPD in February.

EXACTA: 2 / 1

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RACE 6 | 6 Furlongs | Fast Dirt | J.A. Nerud G3 $175k

Post 3:38 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

1 Radio Red Carmouche 🔥 / Gargan 1st 30.4%

5 One Nine Hundred Prat 🔥 / Morley 2nd 26.9%

2 Full Moon Madness Gutierrez ❄️ / Nevin 3rd 21.5%

NOTE: Radio Red is 2-for-2 in 2026, SPD 105 in last (won

Haynesfield). Carmouche hot. Gargan 100% this year. Route-

to-sprint regression is a minor concern but horse looks

exceptional. One Nine Hundred is 7/5 favorite; 103 SPD

ceiling, Prat hot — but Morley is cold in graded stakes.

Full Moon Madness has 111 best SPD but cold jockey.

EXACTA: 1 / 5

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RACE 7 | 1 Mile | Fast Dirt | Ruffian G2 $200k | F&M

Post 4:09 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

6 Irish Maxima Pennington / Servis 1st 38.1%

5 Inefficiency Prat 🔥 / Brown 🔥🔥 2nd 23.7%

3 Eunomia Civaci ❄️ / Joseph 3rd 18.4%

NOTE: Irish Maxima is the class — 10-for-17 career, 109

SPD best (far above par), won last 2 convincingly at 99

and 94 SPD. 5/1 represents value. Servis is cold in graded

stakes but the mare's record speaks for itself. Inefficiency

gets full Brown/Prat combo (+17) and is 2-for-2 but very

inexperienced for G2. Eunomia won G3 last but cold jockey

today knocks her down.

EXACTA: 6 / 5

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RACE 8 | 6 Furlongs | Firm Turf | Take the A Train S.

$150k | 3yo Fillies

Post 4:40 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

6 Cadenza Franco 🔥 / Cox 🔥🔥 1st 33.6%

7 Just Philtored Sanchez / Trombetta 2nd 21.8%

1 One More Guitar Carmouche 🔥 / Proctor 3rd 17.2%

NOTE: Cadenza gets the Cox/Franco combo bonus (+17).

Prime Power #1 at 149.9. Cox 40% this meet is exceptional.

First turf start but AW record (1-1-1) suggests adaptable.

Just Philtored has 4 wins in 7 career starts — consistent

performer, though first turf at stakes level. One More

Guitar closed massive to win maiden; Carmouche hot.

EXACTA: 6 / 7

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RACE 9 | 1⅛ Miles | Fast Dirt | Peter Pan G3 $200k | 3yo

Post 5:11 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

3 Growth Equity Prat 🔥 / Brown 🔥🔥 1st 31.8%

5 Talk to Me Jimmy Franco 🔥 / Rodriguez 2nd 26.4%

1 Trendsetter Kimura / Colebrook 3rd 17.9%

NOTE: Growth Equity's dominant maiden win (92 SPD, drew

clear easily) earns the nod over Talk to Me Jimmy with the

Brown/Prat combo (+17). Talk's Wood Memorial (8th, faded

from 2nd at half) raises stamina questions — worrisome in

a 1⅛M stakes. Trendsetter won Lexington G3 at 90 SPD;

proven stakes horse adds a third option.

EXACTA: 3 / 5

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RACE 10 | 1⅛ Mile | Firm Turf | Alw $88k n1x | 3&up

Post 5:43 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

3 Arkhipov Prat 🔥 / Brown 🔥🔥 1st 33.1%

9 Fort Nelson Carmouche 🔥 / Rice 🔥 2nd 22.4%

4 Blown Cover Santana 🔥 / Rodriguez 3rd 17.6%

NOTE: Arkhipov won maiden on turf at Tampa (86 SPD) and

gets the full Brown/Prat combo bonus (+17). Improving

4-race profile. Fort Nelson gets Rice/Carmouche (+17) but

first grass with Rice's 6% dirt-to-turf stat is a concern;

horse's 93 SPD ceiling on dirt keeps him in the picture.

Blown Cover won turf sprint last out closing hard (87 SPD).

EXACTA: 3 / 9

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RACE 11 | 6 Furlongs | Firm Turf | Mdn $80k NY-bred

Post 6:14 PM

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PP Horse Jky/Trnr Proj Fin Win%

9 Ice House Franco 🔥 / Weaver 1st 27.3%

1 High Leverage Lezcano 🔥 / Brion 2nd 22.1%

2 Music in Motion Prat 🔥 / Rice 🔥🔥 3rd 17.8%

NOTE: Ice House gets Franco hot + Weaver has 19% first-

on-grass with positive ROI. Knicks Go colt showed 79 SPD

in only start (dirt). High Leverage has actual turf form

(76 SPD, 2nd last), Lezcano hot, new trainer. Music in

Motion gets full Rice/Prat combo (+17) but Rice is only

6% dirt-to-turf — first grass is risky.

EXACTA: 9 / 1

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TODAY'S BEST BETS (Highest Confidence)

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★★★ RACE 3: SHELLAC — Linda Rice dominant, class drop,

win last at 84 SPD. Rice/Prat combo at 35% meet rate.

★★ RACE 7: IRISH MAXIMA — Class of the field at 109 SPD.

10 wins in 17 career starts. Best value at 5/1.

★★ RACE 5: ARMY GAL — 97 SPD is alone on top.

Rice/Lezcano +$4.16 ROI this meet.

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GENERATED BY TRACKIQ | mgoldberg@emarketingsg.com

[ Removed by Reddit on account of violating the content policy. ]

AQUEDUCT SELECTIONS — MAY 8, 2026 Projected Win % = Monte Carlo simulation (3,000 races)

R1 · 7f Dirt · OC 80k F&M WIN    Munnings Express   1-1   83.3% PLACE   Atarah   4-1   7.3% SHOW   All Class   8-1   4.2% Exacta: Munnings Express / Atarah

R2 · 7f Dirt · Alw 55k F&M WIN    Grace and Grit   3-1   36.6% PLACE   Adrian   7-2   22.6% SHOW   That's Funny   10-1   20.3% Exacta: Grace and Grit / Adrian

R3 · 6½f Dirt · Clm 16k WIN    Emerald Forest   4-1   24.4% PLACE   He's Got This   9-2   22.1% SHOW   Graywing   8-1   17.1% Exacta: Emerald Forest / He's Got This

R4 · 6f Turf · Mdn 85k F&M WIN    Angels Envy   9-2   63.6% PLACE   My Girl Aubree   8-1   34.2% SHOW   Time for You   10-1   1.6% Exacta: Angels Envy / My Girl Aubree

R5 · 1m Dirt · Clm 20k F&M WIN    Lady Wisdom   3-1   30.9% PLACE   Karey   4-1   23.1% SHOW   Tahila   5-1   21.9% Exacta: Lady Wisdom / Karey

R6 · 6f Dirt · Clm 20k F&M WIN    Miss Lao   6-1   42.0% PLACE   Edistrudis   6-1   25.2% SHOW   Calling an Audible   10-1   14.5% Exacta: Miss Lao / Edistrudis

R7 · 6f Turf · Alw 82k NY-bred F&M WIN    Disco Star   4-1   43.9% PLACE   One Last Knock   7-2   15.6% SHOW   Top of the Table   6-1   13.9% Exacta: Disco Star / One Last Knock

R8 · 1⅛m Turf · Mdn 80k NY-bred F&M WIN    Amazing Gracer   4-1   46.3% PLACE   Tuthilltown   2-1   22.3% SHOW   Beau's Bella   12-1   12.5% Exacta: Amazing Gracer / Tuthilltown

Aqueduct Selections — May 7, 2026 Belmont at the Big A - a few races - sorry for the formatting

Race 3 WIN Mutaawid PLACE Sharp Spark SHOW Bettrluckythangood EXACTA:Mutaawid / Sharp Spark ALT: Mutaawid / Bettrluckyth. 9-5 45.3% 7-2 23.3% 2-1 16.8%

Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · OC 45000n2x · F&M NY-bred WIN Helen's Revenge PLACE Tough Street SHOW Carol T 2-1 56.4% 9-5 22.1% EXACTA:Helen's Reve. / Tough Street ALT: Helen's Reve. / Carol T 10-1 16.8%

Race 5 WIN Party Animal PLACE White Smoke Rising SHOW Onepac EXACTA:Party Animal / White Smoke . ALT: Party Animal / Onepac 10-1 50.9% 6-5 40.7% 6-1 4.8%

Race 6 WIN Loveontheleftbank PLACE Mermaid SHOW Battle Winner 5-2 68.3% 5-1 14.0% EXACTA:Loveonthelef. / Mermaid ALT: Loveonthelef. / Battle Winner 12-1 9.7%

Race 7 WIN Ten Cent Town PLACE Lotsa Trouble SHOW Thrill of It EXACTA:Ten Cent Town / Lotsa Trouble ALT: Ten Cent Town / Thrill of It 2-1 37.5% 10-1 25.4% 8-1 15.4%

Race 8 WIN Rules of the Road PLACE Dare Defying SHOW Trail Blaze · EXACTA:Rules of the. / Dare Defying ALT: Rules of the. / Trail Blaze 5-2 12.5%