Finally seeing at least some altcoins begin to move aggressively again.

Every time we reviewed the market, we kept talking about NEAR and the possibility of a return to the previous trading range. That scenario is now starting to play out.

In just a few days we got a strong move that already pushed the price back into the zone we considered the minimum recovery target.

Even now this still looks like a relatively modest move. If the market finally gets some room to breathe, we could see the same kind of fast expansion across other altcoins too.

We’ve talked many times about how price expansion phases happen much faster than the actual decline. Real reversals usually don’t move slowly. Most of the time the market prints sharp vertical candles exactly like this.

Next week I’ll probably do a full market breakdown and share my expectations for the next major moves.

The oil chart itself is starting to hint that the conflict may be nearing its end.

Let me show you two views of this chart.
On the weekly timeframe there’s an extremely strong level that oil hasn’t been able to break and hold above for almost 2 months.

Every time price reaches this zone, we keep seeing reversal reactions. Until this level is broken with confirmation, talking about $150–200 oil makes little sense.
The second screenshot is the daily chart. Here the move up came in a triple push and now we can already see signs of a trend shift into a bearish impulse, which also creates strong chances for a reversal.

Altogether this gives hints that the conflict could genuinely start cooling off soon.

The US Senate has advanced a procedural resolution that could force Donald Trump to receive Congressional approval for continuing military operations against Iran.

The measure passed with a 50–47 vote and was supported not only by Democrats, but also by four Republicans.

The initiative argues that decisions on continuing war should be made by Congress, not solely by the president. If fully approved, the resolution could require Trump to withdraw troops unless lawmakers grant separate authorization.

However, several major obstacles still remain ahead:

— a full Senate vote

— review in the House of Representatives

— a possible presidential veto from Trump

Pressure inside the US is also increasing, with opponents of the war claiming the White House has gone too far in using military force without proper Congressional oversight.

At the same time, the conflict with Iran and rising energy prices continue to pressure global markets, including crypto. Some analysts believe any signs of de-escalation could improve sentiment across risk assets.

While many governments still debate crypto regulation, El Salvador is already raising a generation that grows up understanding BTC from childhood.

Market sentiment is getting overheated on the bearish side again, and historically that’s where reversals often begin. BTC still looks shaky short term, but panic outflows don’t always mean continuation down.

Drop or just another weekend shakeout?
The weekend started with a correction and BTC followed yesterday’s bearish scenario. But honestly, weekends rarely flip the whole trend by themselves.

We already swept liquidity around 78k, but there is still liquidity sitting near 77k. So why not grab that too and then send it higher?

For me, Sunday evening and weekly close will tell much more. I think the market can bounce from around 77.5k and then push higher to squeeze shorts.
Watching closely.

Goldman Sachs risk appetite indicator just moved above 1 while the market momentum z-score pushed above 3 at the same time. Historically this combination has only appeared during periods of extremely overheated bullish positioning in equities.

THE STOCK MARKET SURGE JUST TRIGGERED A RARE WARNING SIGNAL

Back in early May during Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholder meeting, Warren Buffett said today’s markets are starting to look more like a casino than an investment environment.

He also warned that investors have never looked this addicted to speculation before.

After the latest progress around the bill, Bitcoin discussions across social media turned noticeably more bullish. Santiment says traders are becoming increasingly optimistic as the market reacts to the possibility of clearer crypto regulation in the US.
Right now there are around 1.55 bullish BTC comments for every bearish one. That usually shows confidence is returning fast.

At the same time, Santiment warned that markets often move against the crowd when sentiment becomes too one sided. Too much excitement too early can still create short term pressure and volatility.

Some analysts still believe the CLARITY Act could become one of the main catalysts for the next major crypto expansion phase if the bill eventually gets fully approved.
For now the White House says the process is still ongoing and more work remains before the legislation can move toward final approval.

Our XRP setup played out almost perfectly. After a confident breakout above the key 1.3895 level, the market gave a clean confirmation for entry.

Price quickly reached the first target at 1.48, allowing traders to secure around +5% profit. After that, XRP formed a clean technical pullback into support before buyers stepped in again.

The next impulse delivered another +11% move, and the uptrend is still continuing for now.

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For anyone still holding the position, it may be smart to move the stop-loss up to 1.4113 to lock in part of the profits while protecting the trade in case of a local correction.

Watching ZEC for a possible short setup. Structure already looks broken and the chart is forming a pretty clean head and shoulders pattern on higher timeframe.

There’s still a lot of liquidity sitting lower and several inefficiency zones that price may want to revisit if weakness continues.

Planning to scale into the position with market + limit entries once confirmation appears. Waiting for proper trigger now.