u/Available_Affect_154

Disclaimer: Always DYOR and this is just my personal opinion.

Timeframe: 1 Month

From October 2020 to June 2022, literally the same pattern has repeated now.

This time it is from October 2024 to June 2026, literally same months

https://preview.redd.it/jyw3r3q2669h1.png?width=1134&format=png&auto=webp&s=eef2fd851cfeb1ffbc2064da368eca1bc84b3618

If this pattern plays out like in 2020 - 2022, the bottom should be 50sk here's why ;

https://preview.redd.it/fdxdmj84769h1.png?width=420&format=png&auto=webp&s=044aaafc6bd1a31038b28ef02769e53df3b29383

If we apply the 2020 - 2022 pattern, the bottom is 16k which happened in December 2022 (Which is contrary to the popular belief it will be over in October, but nonetheless)

Dropping from 19k to 16k is a 15% drop, hence if applied to 63-62k we get 53k - 52k

Also it is worth mentioning October was the start of bull runs repeatedly but not always

https://preview.redd.it/gnzbw8qba69h1.png?width=898&format=png&auto=webp&s=4c08b72a0495e783bfcafbef7227f08b94af2273

Example of bearish Octobers are 2022 and 2025. There's a real chance this October could trigger a bull run.

More research is required.

There are mildly infuriating factually incorrect statements being spread on on the internet which doesn't make sense, and one of them is in regards to Bitcoin.

Criticisms is part of conversations and are actually very healthy and educational. One can learn new things, expand knowledge and engage in conversations with others while hearing different opinions.

But to outright make easily refutable claims will make you look misinformed and uneducated.

I'm talking specifically about the point claiming Bitcoin has no real - world usage.

By claiming it has no use, you are denying the fact you can transfer value from one corner of the globe to another SEAMLESSLY. That is FACTUALLY true. This is a 'USE' case. Without going into details like paperless, no man in middle type of transactions to keep things brief, by the definition of usage, this IS a use. You are actually DOING something.

By claiming it has no use, you are also denying the fact it's a store of VALUE.

NO ONE said it's a stable asset or proper hedge. But to deny the ability of putting VALUE online is bizarre.

Assets do not go up 63 million % if they had no use cases, it is literally mind boggling to think things move for no reason.

No one is forced to like Bitcoin. No one is forced to like anything. But please, for the sake of all humanity, form your own opinions and do not copy other random people's claims.

To address another point before some smart comment mentions it 'what backs bitcoin', i ask you, what backs up your paper money ?

Just become a government claimed it has X value, it gave you confidence to trust it? God forbid a war, government collapse happens and the person who told you it has X value is gone what happens to your paper?

Edit: It’s astounding how some people are still emphasizing it has no real use case due to volatility and their personal convictions.

Volatility might dictate adoption but NOT utility. You can STILL send bitcoin to someone EVEN if price drops or goes up. It IS a feature that can be used and IS being used daily, such as countries with failed banking systems. Some people get PAID in Bitcoin.

The network processes roughly 600,000 to 800,000+ transactions per day. That is UTILITY. Someone USED that transaction.

If you don’t ‘like’ the feature, THAT’S FINE. But do not claim it has no real use, it’s FACTUALLY UNTRUE.

When convictions start changing perceptions and morphing realities, please seek immediate medical attention.

Disclaimer: I am aware past performance does not guarantee future result, but decided to post this anyway because i find it interesting.

The most violent, terrifying price drops usually happen in the first 3 to 6 months immediately following the cycle peak (Example, the 2011 bear market)

https://preview.redd.it/6b58gby6fs8h1.png?width=737&format=png&auto=webp&s=1dafcba98f1eb58a9579aeae7066b84c175534ce

Fast forward recently,

https://preview.redd.it/8rfklykxwr8h1.png?width=325&format=png&auto=webp&s=e73f8b1ba20dba1fe2851af9db7e31437b348b9d

Monday 6 October 2025 is when the drop from all time high began.

3 months after October of 2025 is January 31, 2026

6 months after October of 2025 is May 1, 2026

We are currently in June 2026.

Hence, IF the cycle stays true to its name the worst has passed.

1 Week timeframe

https://preview.redd.it/qu7ld1hwxr8h1.png?width=524&format=png&auto=webp&s=8ca63740205d207832d2c2e7a911adcb0f5dad97

It's worth noting this time, the bottom COULD have ended on June 5 2026

1 Day timeframe

https://preview.redd.it/nr11vqg8yr8h1.png?width=964&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed99e24c0dae6121a6b62924590f6285ac23b5e2

Also Theoretically, the upcoming months after the bottom are usually boredom and exhaustion.

But also the perfect accumulation zone. Make sure to share your thoughts.

Edit; Thank you for the feedback.

After being suggested to check history once again, it seems bottoms can still occur anywhere from 3 to 12 months.

Examples for 2021 bottom happened 1 whole year later.

https://preview.redd.it/egkdgx5t7s8h1.png?width=356&format=png&auto=webp&s=19f1ff48a5da6464adefae5f6e118492665a3aff

So the theory of a true bottom until October 2026 is valid, but it's risky to try and time the market.

I've been in Crypto for 10 years.

Whether you take these points to heart or shrug them off is up to you.

Yes, i panic sold before. No, i wouldn't be on Reddit if i was rich from this.

But i have experiences and regrets. If one person benefits from reading this, it would make my day.

Words will not convince people that the current bear market is 'free money' opportunity.

As long as paper hands exist, hard earned cash will be given out for free.

It's just a cycle of life.

During bear markets, take note that;

1. Headlines are designed to terrorize You

This happens every, single, time. Let me repeat that.

Every bear market, people will go out of their way to terrorize you in exiting the market.

Whether 'This time it's different' news, Mt. Gox collapse, ICO bust, FTX/Luna collapse, AI, Quantum fears, MEME jokes about prices.

After all, Bitcoin died around 472 times.

STAY OFF THE NEWS

2. Dollar cost average is key

Weekly or monthly, buy a small amount without looking at price. ESPECIALLY during bear markets, and where fear & greed index is 'extremely fearful' which is right NOW.

3. BITCOIN is more hated than ever

Simply put, it's human nature. Will not go into details, but it's more reason to stay off the internet (at least BTC topics).

You have been told.

Ignore the comments, don't read the headline, stick to DCA.

Have a good day.

29 yo male here. There's something just felt like sharing regarding BTC and how it might have saved me from my own country.

Growing up in a third world place where corruption knows no bounds, politicians stole everything (literally, I'm not exaggerating. Electricity, social security funds, bank accounts list goes on forever).

Economy is completely dead, stocks bonds or investment in any local company would be a disaster. Currency collapsed more than 90%.

Add the fact PayPal, amazon, stripe, google AdSense, eBay practically all online services don't work for reasons i will not go into spare myself heartaches.

In addition to being constantly in wars.

My investment options were limited to only gold and silver (Mind you even the sellers would try and rip you off for selling or when buying depending on their circumstances. Afterwards they will continue praying normally to their God. Yes I'm an agnostic). [Also please spare me the lessons that BTC is not an investment]

Somehow Bitcoin was available. Not banned, or unavailable or not 'not operating' here. Simply astonishing.

I could not believe it. Went into it without thinking once. Something i can buy and sell with no pain in the ass middle man waiting to rip me off ?!

Started accumulating.
I'm just grateful.

Also, just a reminder

https://preview.redd.it/7qbwb92ts05h1.png?width=201&format=png&auto=webp&s=7634ba036d8fbae22d4a5fb8396dfa701cc0c863

I work a desk job from 7:30 to 5:00 (weird i know as usually it's 9 to 5) but it gets soul crushingly boring.

After lunch i like napping but unfortunately there is no bed at work nor sleep schedules, so i go to the bathroom lock the door and sleep. Even mastered the technique to be as clean and neat as possible;

Take off shoes and rest my head on them, they act as a hard cushion but they do the job well. The only thing to worry about is the floor, hence why i get a thin towel and spread it with me (It's so small it fits in my pocket surprisingly yet covers entire floor).

Sometimes i get randomly extremely horny while bored so i end up jacking off too (but not while sleeping, only when sitting on toilet). It's a bad habit, but I'm working on stopping it.

To those wondering how, my work doesn't nit pick lunch breaks nor how long away from desk i am.

Figured if i will slave off for the rest of my life i'd do it comfortably.

Update: Thank you for all the support, i honestly did not expect people to be understanding of this.